Election 2026

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President Donald Trump got some good news from a poll that, at least for now, puts the final nail in the coffin for the Democrats’ “buyer’s remorse” narrative. Since the 2024 election, the Democrat Party has attempted to craft a yarn that makes it seem as if Trump voters are regretting their decision to vote the president into office.

But the cold, hard data tells a different story.

According to the poll from Trafalgar Group, conducted between May 30 and June 1, President Trump’s approval rating is 53.7 percent. These findings show an upward trajectory for the President since his election. His disapproval rating is shrinking, sitting currently at 45.6 percent. Trafalgar surveyed 1,098 voters for the poll.

Some on the left are questioning the accuracy of the poll and thus the integrity of Trafalgar Group. The organization currently has a B+ for accuracy from FiveThirtyEight, making them one of the most consistently accurate pollsters in recent election cycles, especially when it comes to capturing the sentiments of voters who are often overlooked by the mainstream media surveys.

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A new poll is showing that support for same-sex marriage has dropped to a 10-year low among Republicans but spiked to a record high among Democrats.

According to Gallup, 68% of Americans overall support same-sex marriage, barely down from 69% last year. However, that “steady” level of support—approval for same-sex marriage has hovered between 67% and 71% over the past five years and has not fallen below 50% since 2011—belies a stark and rapidly growing political division.

Gallup reports that support for same-sex marriage among Republicans has fallen to 41%, down from an all-time high of 55% in 2021 and 2022 and the lowest point since May of 2016, when support stood at 40%.

Among Democrats, however, support for same-sex marriage has peaked at 88%, the highest point recorded by Gallup among any faction. That’s up from 83% last year. Support for same-sex marriage has not fallen below 70% among Democrats since 2013, when it stood at 69%.

Independent voters generally track more closely with Democrats on the issue but are still lagging 12 points behind at 76%, up from 74% last year but down from an all-time high of 77% in 2023. Support for same-sex marriage has not fallen below 50% among independents since 2010, when it stood at 49%.

Despite statistics on support for same-sex marriage, fewer Americans of all political stripes consider same-sex relationships morally acceptable. According to Gallup, only 38% of Republicans consider same-sex relationships morally acceptable, compared to 69% of independent voters and 86% among Democrats.

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One of the most fascinating aspects of the 2024 election was seeing how heavily men of all races swung to Trump and Republicans. It’s such a serious issue for Democrats that they’re planning to spend upwards of $20 million to ‘study’ men and find out where they went wrong.

Poll analyst Nate Silver apparently got into this topic in a recent post on his Substack. It’s behind a paywall, but here are a few interesting points. The divide is due in part to mental health issues. The right is winning that battle.

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Anyone surprised by these polling numbers isn’t paying attention, as they’d have to be intentionally naive not to see that the left has become the party of the rich, while Republicans are now the party of the middle class.

This becomes especially clear when you consider that the left effectively replaced a sitting president through the influence of major donors, with zero input from voters. That does not represent the little guy in middle America, as the left has increasingly become aligned with big tech and corporate interests, despite claims to the contrary.

Harry Enten, CNN’s data analyst, said what we all know to be true, which is that “For decades, polls showed Dems had a double-digit edge on the party that looked out for/was the party of the middle class. Polls now show the GOP/Trump has totally eliminated that gap.”

In other words, despite the left’s attempts to fearmonger and gaslight the public about the economy, Republicans still hold a 10-point lead on economic issues, despite claims of an economic calamity that simply won’t happen, at least not in the next several years.

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Here’s a prime example from something that Matt wrote yesterday:

Democrats aren’t even pretending anymore. If they retake the House, they’re coming for Trump—again. On Sunday, Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) openly admitted she would “absolutely” launch an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump if given the gavel on the House Oversight Committee. No pretense, no evidence—just raw political vengeance. From Elon Musk’s role in cutting government waste to Trump’s legal fights with Harvard and high-powered law firms, Crockett is already laying the groundwork to turn routine policy and legal disputes into impeachable offenses. Her comments make one thing unmistakably clear: Democrats are gearing up to use the power of Congress not for oversight, but for retaliation.

 

I’m still not convinced that this “We still super-duper hate Trump!” approach is a winner for bringing the Democrats back to any semblance of political relevance. Sure, it gets the coastal and Illinois Democrats frothing even more than usual, but it can’t have much — if any — play at all with the traditional voters that they have been losing.

As far as long-term planning goes, the 24/7 Trump Derangement Syndrome shtick is really going to leave their tank empty come January of 2029. They’ll try to brand JD Vance, Ron DeSantis, or whomever emerges as the GOP frontrunner as the next Satan, but it’s not going have that same zing for their base that “ORANGE MAN BAD!” does.

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The Supreme Court on Monday decided to hear an election case from Illinois, which promises to clarify the legal standards federal election candidates must meet to challenge state election laws in federal court, according to Judicial Watch.

The case is known as Bost v. Illinois State Board of Electionswhere Representative Mike Bost (R-IL) and two other Republican presidential elector nominees filed a lawsuit against the Illinois State Board of Elections. The suit challenged a state law authorizing the acceptance of mail-in ballots up to two weeks after election day. A district court dismissed the case due to a lack of standing, and the ruling was upheld by the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals.

Standing has been a contentious issue since 2020. The plaintiff must meet three requirements to have standing in a federal lawsuit as established by the Supreme Court case Lujan v. Defenders of Wildlife (1992). They must show a concrete, particularized, and actual or imminent injury, there has to be a causal connection between the injury and the issue brought before the court, and it must be likely that the court’s ruling will redress the injury. The lower courts argued that because Rep. Bost had won the election, he failed to show a personal injury caused by the state election law.

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new poll released Wednesday shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton with a commanding lead over incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn in either a two-person race or a three-person race in next year’s Republican primary. But Paxton’s lead in the poll shrinks dramatically against potential Democratic rivals in the 2026 general election.

The poll from Texan Southern University’s Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center shows Paxton leading Cornyn by 9 percentage points in a two-person race and by 7 points if U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt of Houston enters the primary.

“Right now, if it’s a head-to-head race between Paxton and Cornyn, Paxton is a very strong favorite, and it’s tough to see how, absent, say, a Trump endorsement of Cornyn, Cornyn could effectively flip the table on Paxton,” said Mark Jones, political science fellow at Rice University’s Baker Institute and co-author of the survey with TSU’s Michael O. Adams.

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A new poll finds that a majority of Americans feel that Joe Biden was unfit to serve as president of the United States.

The Napolitan News Service poll released on Saturday of 1,000 registered voters across the country found that 5 8 percent agreed that Biden was not mentally or physically fit to be elected president in 2024.

Per Just the News:

The poll also found 56% of respondents overall now think White House staff members –not Biden – were making the decisions during the president’s final year in office, 2024.

There was a significant difference in responses between Republicans and Democrats.

On the question of whether Biden was physically and/or mentally capable of serving, 85% of Republicans didn’t think so, while just 32% of Democrats didn’t.

On whether staffers were making presidential decisions, 88% of Republicans thought so, compared to 24% for Democrats.

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For the first time in its 29-year polling history, Rasmussen shows that 50 percent of the country believes America is on the right track, compared to 45 percent who say we are on the wrong track.

“Holy crap – it happened!” Rasmussen’s Mark Mitchell announced on X, adding: “For the first time in our polling history, A MAJORITY says the country is on the right track.”

He added, “Don’t F it up, Republicans.”

Rasmussen first began tracking the right track-wrong track number almost 20 years ago, in 2006.

Rasmussen reported the specific numbers on X. As you can see, this is not a one-night aberration. Rather, it’s a tracking poll that averages the last five days:

The previous “right track” record high was 48 percent.

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Despite relentless attacks from the left, President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have progressively increased, marking a stunning turnaround from last month’s lows.

Since beginning his second term in office, Trump’s disapproval rating peaked at 52.4% in late April, according to RealClearPolitics. The drop in support came just weeks after Trump rolled out 10% baseline tariffs as part of his Liberation Day declaration on April 2.

‘His rising ratings are directly the result of his easing of concerns about his tariffs.’

Trump’s critics slammed his tariff announcement, further fueling concerns about economic uncertainty that appeared to reflect in the polls, which showed a 45.3% approval rating on April 28.

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Schumer said:

Let me just say, based on what the House has passed, our chances of taking back the Senate have just increased because while Republicans claim that their tax scam will lift America across the board. The American people see it’s just plain false.

The polling data shows it. The 0.1% people will get a big tax break. The poorest 20% of Americans actually see their taxes go up. How is that fair? It’s not just taxes, it’s poor. And working class families see the costs of everyday items skyrocket.

Just what they did on the clean energy side will lose millions of jobs and cost people much more on their electricity bills. Families are gonna have to figure out how to find extra money to pay for these energy costs. Families will lose healthcare. Families will lose food benefits. Families will lose jobs, families will lose money.

The reason because the Republicans want a billionaire tax giveaway. And we’re gonna fight this tooth and nail. We know that a lot of Republicans on the Senate side are squirmy about the Medicaid cuts, the disparity in the taxes, the clean energy cuts, et cetera. And we urge everyone who’s listening to this call or who read something in the press or online to make sure that they call their Republican senators and say, don’t vote for this billionaire tax scam.

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If the election for governor of New York were held today, there’s a very good chance that the state’s most MAGA congresswoman would defeat Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul.

That’s the indication in a new poll out this week pitting Hochul against Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), the proud proselytizer of President Donald Trump’s agenda who last month withdrew from consideration to serve as the administration’s U.N. ambassador. Ever a team player, Stefanik went along with the desires of Trump and U.S. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) to stay in her seat and help secure the GOP’s razor thin majority.

But if the 2026 map of favorable House seats were to expand, Stefanik — who has indicated she’s interested in moving on from Congress — would immediately top the polls against Hochul.

Only 43% of New Yorkers said they would vote to reelect Hochul compared to 42% who sided with Stefanik, a disastrous result for the Democratic incumbent who took over from disgraced Andrew Cuomo in 2023. About 15% of likely voters are undecided, according to the right-leaning survey on a hypothetical 2026 race.

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Ask Democratic National Committee Vice Chair David Hogg why Democratic lawmakers are heading toward the exits.  It is because people like him want to widen the generational and ideological rifts growing within their party.

Their goal is to remake the Democratic Party in their own narrow, extremist image — even if it means driving everyone else out and Americans away.

Hogg recently put out a call to arms … against his own party.

“Leaders We Deserve is launching a $20 million investment to usher in the next generation of Democrats who will go to the mat every day for the American people and use every tactic and tool to stop Trump’s radical right-wing, economically illiterate agenda.”

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Republicans are gearing up for what is likely to be a brutal battle to select a GOP challenger for Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) next year in one of Democrats’ most vulnerable seats.

The decision by Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA) to bow out of consideration Monday allowed Democrats to take a victory lap, as it dashed Republican hopes stretching from the Peach State to the nation’s capital of having a star recruit. The focus quickly turned to other possible GOP challengers, including one that national Republicans behind the scenes particularly want to avoid: Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA).

“Obviously, we’re disappointed about [Kemp]. He, of course, would have been a great candidate,” Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) said. “That race is going to be competitive either way, and the good news is there’s a lot of interest.”

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Democratic Sen. Chris Van Hollen was unanimously rebuked by a group of Maryland residents who were disgusted after learning of his taxpayer-funded boondoggle to bring back an illegal alien who had been deported by the Trump administration.

As a reminder, Van Hollen has become a national laughingstock after flying to El Salvador last week in a clownish attempt to bring illegal alien Kilmar Abrego Garcia back to the United States after the alleged MS-13 gang member was deported due to a clerical error.

Van Hollen — a senator from Maryland — has been widely criticized for ignoring his own constituents and wasting tax money to fly to El Salvador in a bid to retrieve a foreign national.

On Monday, a group of Maryland residents torched their senator — and the Democratic Party — for wasting taxpayer resources by prioritizing an illegal alien over American citizens.

The unanimous condemnation occurred during a “man on the street interview” conducted by Johnny Belisario, a producer with “Jesse Watters Primetime.”

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Big Money Democrats just dropped a fortune buying a Wisconsin Supreme Court seat, and they’re already reaping huge returns.

The left-led court late last week issued a 4-3 ruling upholding Democrat Gov. Tony Evers’ audacious ploy to annually increase public school spending for the next four centuries. With activist court rulings like this, who needs an executive branch?

The liberals’ paper-thin justification for trampling all over the Republican-controlled legislature is a sign of things to come, and immediate proof that the “nonpartisan” Wisconsin Supreme Court’s liberal majority isn’t nearly as interested in upholding the constitution as it is in protecting the leftist agenda.

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House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries appeared on ABC News over the weekend and openly defied the recently announced strategy of DNC vice chair David Hogg, who is planning to primary members of his own party.

This is the second time in a week that Hogg has been called out by a high level Democrat. Dem strategist James Carville called David Hogg ‘a contemptible little twerp’ during a recent appearance on NewsNation.

The DNC made a huge mistake in appointing Hogg as vice chair. He is an activist. He has zero experience in getting people elected to office.

The New York Post reports:

Dem Jeffries brushes aside DNC big David Hogg’s primary plan, vows to stand by incumbents

Dem House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries on Sunday rejected a Democratic National Committee big’s controversial plan to fund primary challenges against passive party members in safe districts.

Jeffries of New York instead touted his intent to back all House Democratic incumbents across the country in the 2026 cycle and push the party to focus on knocking off Republicans.

“I look forward to standing behind every single Democratic incumbent, from the most progressive to the most centrist and all points in between,” Jeffries told ABC News’ “This Week” when asked about the opposing stance by Democratic National Committee Vice Chairman David Hogg.

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Arizona Democratic Party chairman Robert Branscomb II accused his party’s U.S. senators of trying to intimidate and coerce him, prompting sharp rebukes from state and federal officials and pointing to a deep rupture in the state party.

Branscomb alleged in a Saturday morning email to party members that Arizona senators Mark Kelly and Ruben Gallego, both Democrats, “threatened” and “intimidated” him after he appointed an executive director who is not their preferred choice. According to Branscomb, one of the senators vowed to “no longer support or participate in state party fundraising,” while the other told Branscomb to reverse the decision or “face consequences.”

Within hours, Arizona’s Democratic officials—in a statement sent by party vice chair Aaron Marquez—fired back. The senators—along with Governor Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, and Attorney General Kris Mayes—said that “the Chair has lost our trust” and slammed Branscomb’s accusation as “the kind of bad-faith response we’ve come to expect from leadership,” according to Arizona’s 12News.

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In terms of both popular approval and general depravity of thought, modern Democrats have reached new depths.

Thus, President Donald Trump would do well to take a page from one of his illustrious 19th-century predecessors.

According to a Gallup poll published on Thursday, public confidence in congressional Democrats — the party now led by the likes of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, as well as lesser known yet equally radical figures such as House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York, Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, and Rep. Jasmine Crockett of Texas — has plummeted to a historic low of 25 percent.

For comparison’s sake, the prominent pollster had Democrats’ confidence rating at 34 percent as recently as 2023.

Likewise, shortly after now-former President Joe Biden took office in 2021, that rating stood at 49 percent.

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In response to DNC Vice Chairman David Hogg’s latest comments, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) said his focus remains on targeting Republican incumbents, not established Democrats in the 2026 midterm elections.

“Here’s the thing,” Jeffries told Jonathan Karl on ABC’s This Week. “I’m gonna really focus on trying to defeat Republican incumbents so we can take back control of the House of Representatives and begin the process of ending this national nightmare that’s being visited upon us by far-right extremism.”

Jeffries’s comment comes as Hogg shared he intends to use his organization, Leaders We Deserve, to spend $20 million to fund younger Democratic candidates running against incumbents in safe blue districts.