04b Theory and Analysis

‘Call it Genghis Khan’s final victory’: Why the tomb of the ‘Disturber of the Universe’ remains hidden after 800 years– www.livescience.com
News Source
EXCERPT:

History is rife with lost treasures, from Aztec gold hidden during the Spanish conquest to the Ark of the Covenant, which vanished during the destruction of Jerusalem over 2,500 years ago. In his book, “The Museum of Lost Things: True Tales of Fabled Treasures, Legendary Cities, and Mythical Creatures That Vanished From History” (National Geographic Partners, LLC, 2026), writer Sam Kean examines all things lost to time.

In this excerpt from the book, he looks at how the tomb of Genghis Khan, arguably the most successful ruler in history, has remained hidden for nearly 800 years and counting.

 

I. THE TECHNOLOGIES

By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor

“The horse is made ready for the day of battle, but the victory belongs to the Lord.” – Proverbs 21:31

INTRODUCTION

I operate under the assumption that throughout human history man has battled between institutional being that facilitates lethality and institutional being that facilitates daily human flourishing.

Getting the balance right is essential, because being efficient at lethality alone will create deficiency at home. This will soon neutralize that lethal advantage.

The cheat code for this is to continue conquesting, taking resources that provide flourishing without the institutions being required to produce flourishing at home. You are importing your flourishing through blood. When you run out of conquests, you pick your own people dry until you collapse, or they murder you.

Getting daily human flourishing down without lethality just makes you a Lindisfarne, a fat booty primed for the plucking. This can work if you become a vassal of lethality that has a more benevolent view of you.

For instance, if all the emperor wants is reliable booty, and that booty can be readily supplied without dipping into your flourishing stocks, for a time you have achieved parity, but only at the good graces of the lethality provider.

The ideal state for a people is to be the self-producers of both their own effective lethality and their own flourishing institutions. The more consensually they are integrated by a shared meta-narrative that defines the whole, the more sustainable that partnership will be.

The more your flourishing is produced from within, the less incentivized you are to exploit your neighbors, which makes you a desired and trustworthy ally. The greater your lethality is produced from within; the greater will be your sovereign powers in the geopolitical game.

Never in the course of human history has a technology come along that threatens to radically undo all the patterns of lethal-making that came before it like AI alone has done.

But AI is not the only technology, there are a family of them, and each one is a radical lethal game changer in their own right, but combined they destroy institutions and demand new ones emerge.

We are at such a crossroads in human being itself, where the species is confronted by its own creations, the fruit of human institutions, with America and China being the major bellwethers in this new world that is already here and is rapidly arriving.

With great opportunity comes great threat, and never in human history has that been more the case. At the ecumenical level, defensive technology is about to become, by urgent necessity, the decider of the institutions that will die, survive, thrive, and be born.

How we fight is going to be how we live, for a nation-state that fails to meet this challenge will soon be the diminished, impoverished servant of the one that does.

It is with these presuppositions that I examined the current and potential near-future state of defensive technology.

It is fitting that I utilized AI for my research, since AI is the star of defensive technology. I was an AI Agent manager. I managed my AI through a prompt. In my case, I use more than one AI agent. One thing I have learned about AI use, both with myself and others, is some people use AI to cut corners, take it easy, do the same work in a quarter of the time.

Certain tasks are irreducibly at that level, but the more complex the task, the more the opportunity exists to utilize AI not to do the same amount of work you did before in less time, but to dramatically (you hope) improve the work you’re doing for the same amount of time.

For instance, for this report I utilized about 6-8 hours of research time, starting with broad prompts that became more specific as I learned more particulars. The research time is about standard for these types of reports given the nature of the time I have to complete them.

My improved ability to manage AI agents has enabled me to get effectively 25-30 research hours done in 6-8 hours. I did not reduce my overall time; I increased my overall quality.

This point is relevant at the end, when it should become apparent to you how important it is to learn to become a manager of an AI Agent and not a propagandized tool of one, for even in the military can we afford to have people being led by AI rather than managing it.

God willing, the next report in our Futureq series will be about governance, both of AI agents and of independent communities, from extended families to villages and towns and beyond.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

This report explores the emerging defensive technology reality of power in present day and the directions it could take by 2036 (and also beyond). I am calling this the New Model Military, which applies to all militaries the world over, including America and China.

I mostly focus on the American model for the New Model Military, but give some analysis to China’s, which is a remarkable contrast to the American one. I will tell you why in the report.

The report starts with a summary of the core technologies now leading the formation of the New Model Army. This is the first part of our report, Technologies.

We will start with the backbone technologies, then finish with the weapons and weapons support technologies.

In part two, I analyze the New Model Army itself, its institutions, the tasks humans need to fulfill, and the skillsets humans need. I then look at how all the parts are intended, ideally, to integrate into the whole and the strategies the New Model Military will follow. I then peek at the range of future realities we could place.

Next, I take this all this data and produce an assessment of the reality of power in Defense today, in 2036, and beyond. I provide that assessment within my self-stewardship and Americanist framework.

Finally, I provide recommended action for both my fellow self-stewarded and American people, and one for President Trump as well. Spoiler alert, first and foremost learn to be an effective AI Agent manager.

A. BACKBONE TECHNOLOGIES

These are the technologies that all the other technologies rely upon. Agentic AI is the backbone of all backbone technologies, but the other four here are essential to the 21st century military principle of “resilience,” of surviving and performing after catastrophe has struck.

All of these technologies have non-military counterparts, while none of them are quite ready to deliver on the promise of a resilient military, at least not yet.

  1. AGENTIC AI – This technology is the backbone of all the other technologies to follow. Without Agentic AI (AAI), no military can hope to remotely compete with one that has such powers. For this reason alone, nation-states must assure they either have the most powerful, fastest-processing AI agents or be allied with a nation-state that does. This factor alone makes AI as essential to the 21st Century military as gunpowder has been to all militaries for the last six plus centuries.

Currently, militaries are already using agentic AI, with the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine deploying it in major operations. Maven Smart System has been used by the U.S. military, which is a provider of intelligence gathering and targeting-supporting AI agents. That has been succeeded by Agent Network, which was just launched in June of this year.

The latest upgrade is moving towards “agent-to-agent handoffs,” which are currently limited. There are AI agents for every aspect of the military machine, from logistics agents to fire agents. The goal is to allow all of them to talk directly to each other, enabling more rapid “holistic” understanding of the conditions.

Currently, or should I say “allegedly,” there are no agents making fire decisions. A human is behind every lethal action. But the military hopes to develop agents that can make lethal decisions in limited actions a human is observing. That human would also have the power to end the action.

Yet, the U.S. military hopes to have agents capable of making lethal decisions when everything, and everyone else has been destroyed. What the U.S. military claims is that no such agent would choose targets, they would be given the targets to strike.

The desire to keep AI’s lethal decision-making contained is undermined by the threat that competing nation-states will have no such restraint, which might give them a major advantage in the new war reality.

The ability of small-scale players to create their own agentic AIs to run their own weapons systems (and the logistics in delivering those weapons systems to the theater of war) almost guarantees agentic AIs will be given full target-seeking and eliminating powers (if they haven’t already).

One essential aspect of Agentic AI is the ability to run the real in simulation not only before the real occurs, but even during. The general consensus is the AI agent that can’t survive the sim, won’t survive the real. The AI agent that engages with the real without the sim is at a decided major disadvantage to the AI agent that operates with a sim.

The U.S. military has developed Ender’s Foundry, whose 10-year goal is to create a sim that is constantly updated with the real so that AI agents can practice while they’re “fighting.”

At the core of this fight is the speed and data processing power of the core AI that powers the agentic AI. This, again, is why AI is so essential for nation-state sovereignty in the decades to come. It is also why AI is now a 2nd Amendment issue for American citizens.

One new geopolitical reality is this, if your allies are not in on your best AI powers and utilizing them and communicating with them in the same way you do, your whole system is useless unless you fight alone.

This puts a premium on advantaged power forming alliances with lesser powers, and on lesser powers forming alliances with advantaged powers.

It also puts a premium on trust in the alliance, for the advantaged power must share some of its most sensitive technological secrets with its allies, or they won’t be able to effectively integrate with their system.

  1. RESILIENT POSITION, NAVIGATION, TIMING, AND COMMS – The key word in this description is resilient, and it conforms to the overall strategy of the 21st Century military, small-scale resilience when everything else is gone, or inaccessible.

First and foremost, every military must be optimally synced with one another, which requires shared exact time. To be resilient, every small part of the whole must be able to preserve that time sync even when it’s separated from the whole system. This part, timing, is essential to the other two.

Timing in the 21st century theater of war is essential for an effective military.

You also need exact navigation that can persist even when cut off from the whole system. That navigation system must also resist interference. Finally, you need to have decentralized communications systems to assure the parts can both survive separation from the whole while still easily reintegrating when connecting back to the whole.

GPS, which relies on satellite signaling, is not a resilient navigation system, though it still remains the most effective one, both in terms of delivering reliable navigation and in resisting interference efforts.

It is not expected to continue to be effective against developments in hacking technologies, however, and thus there is the impetus to develop technological alternatives. So far, alternatives to GPS, even as backups to them, are in the concept stage of development.

Every system, including any AI system, must be deemed immune to quantum cryptography by the end of 2030. Developing anti-quantum cryptography technologies is crucial to these resilient technologies developing.

The technologies in this category are mostly quantum technologies that haven’t gone beyond the concept stage of development.

At the heart of most of these quantum technologies is quantum sensing, the ability to hone in on a single atom that becomes a multi-purpose beacon, which includes navigation, timing, and even communications.

The clock is the essential element, and that clock must be a quantum one. The difference between a traditional clock and a quantum one is the traditional clock requires a stable condition to be precise, while the quantum clock is tied to an unstable condition.

This makes the quantum clock, the quantum sensor, resilient,  or able to FIRST be separated from the whole without losing vital navigation, timing, and communications; THEN being able to integrate seamlessly back into the whole.

An unconfirmed application of a quantum sensor may have happened in Iran after a U.S. pilot who was shot down. The pilot was rescued with a “Ghost Murmur.” The device was able to detect the airman’s heartbeat. It uses long-range quantum magnetometry to detect the electromagnetic fingerprint of a beating human heart.

  1. FORWARD AND RESILIENT POWER – Essential to a resilient military is local power. The future of local power might be in biomanufacturing, but, not today, and most likely, not even 10 years from now.

One strategy is to deploy literal batteries, which offer silent power, but also require more outside resupply. Another strategy is to use microgrids, which can use a variety of resources for power, including diesel, solar, wind, and batteries.

The 10-year goal is to have nuclear energy cells that can sustain an operations for months. So far, only prototypes of this exist.

For right now, diesel is still the most effective source for creating local power. The addition of resilience technologies is only going to add to the demand already put on the diesel supply lines, which makes developing alternatives to diesel as a local power essential to the 21st century military.

The U.S. Army recently paid $45 million to develop a tactical microgrid, which is designed to be able to use multiple energy resources, including diesel. The microgrids are also designed to be maximally efficient, to lessen the demand for energy resources overall.

The future of military technology right now points to nuclear-powered microgrids, though it is uncertain if this will occur within the next 10 years.

  1. ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING AT THE POINT OF NEED – The days of whole military machines being printed onsite are most likely not in the near future, not even within the next 10 years. With that off the table (for now), I will focus on what additive manufacturing is already doing to the military and what it might do in the near future.

Right now, printers in the field are reliably printing replacement parts needed for repairs. Printers are also being used in another key area, printing vital parts to make cheap drones. This is the printer’s most important battlefield role today.

. The wars of the future will be a contest, from the start, of printing cheap drones to be used in swarm attacks. Additive manufacturing is a key part of that process (more on this later).

Whole drone printing factories are being utilized already in the Ukraine War, new advances promise to reduce cost through more effective printing, increased speed of production, and maximizing energy use more effectively.

On the way are not just drone printing factories, but cheap munitions printing factories as well, including rockets.

One key bottleneck to printing onsite is the resources needed for printing. These create a supply tail, which creates targets for the enemy. Another bottleneck is assuring parts are used according to their licensing specs.

As we will see later, the civic-military relationship NEEDS to be based on mutual accountability. This is why the military must be careful not to violate the commercial license of a vendor by using their part in an unlicensed way. The liability would fall wholly on the military if the part produced liable action.

With the aid of AI as a developer, printing onsite has rapidly advanced in the last 10 years. The next 10 years offer potentials for that trend to continue at or even above the past 10 years’ trendline.

Developments in composites could reduce resource needed and deliver potentials to print whole systems. While it isn’t projected that tanks can be printed onsite in 10 years, it is not completely outside the realm of possibility.

  1. FORWARD BIOMANUFACTURING – As of right now, the use of Forward biomanufacturing in the military is only in small-scale proof-of-concept prototypes. The aim of biomanufacturing is to use the local biodiversity to produce food, medical supplies, and energy.

Biomanufacturing is using biological material to print new materials, like medicines and energy pellets from plants. So far, there is limited use of food biomanufacturing, with medical supplies and energy mostly existing in the concept stage.

The industry standard-bearer is Bio-Industrial Manufacturing and Design Ecosystems (BioMADE), which was funded by the DoD for $87 million. The company has created pilot plants in Minnesota and California. These plants are creating and testing biomanufacturing microfactories that print lithium biosorbents, 3D-print plastics, wound-healing proteins, and biosensors.

They are discovering the effective models and standards that will inform the development of the whole industry.

“Point-of-need food” is not far from happening, with a prototype model being built that can create protein rations from air, water, and electricity. The prototype aims to be able to create 2,800 calories a day for up to 18 troops. If that works, it will scale up to 250. It is required the food produced is something the soldiers would actually enjoy eating.

Operations will have to decide the essential biomanufacturing needs they want fulfilled, for they are limited in the amount of biomanufacturing units they can support. Within 10 years, it is likely they will have a full menu to chose from in the medical and food buckets, but not quite the energy bucket.

Biomanufacturing chemicals for multiple needs, including fuels, adhesives, and medical applications, are likely to explode in options for operations 10 years from now.

B. WEAPONS TECHNOLOGIES

The backbone technologies enable the weapons technologies to function and be sustained. This list does not include fully developed technologies already in use through conventional weapons platforms (like tanks and assault rifles).

This list includes the types of weapons platforms and support systems that are essential for the military to achieve resilience status, of being able to function in disconnected parts in the face of catastrophe while also being able to seamlessly reintegrate with the whole.

Other than the first technology, cheap uncrewed mass, these technologies are mostly at the concept stage and all still unable to fully deliver on the promise of military resilience.

  1. CHEAP UNCREWED MASS (SWARMS) – The notion that the militaries of the world are deploying swarms of cheap, but autonomous drones, all being coordinated by a shared AI agent, is a fiction. Within 10 years, it could come to reality, but most likely, not at a large-scale.

China is pursuing what is called a multi-domain swarm tactic, meaning it is attempting to not only coordinate an air swarm, but land, sea, and even space, swarms as well. Their swarms are intended to follow the mostly sci-fi model described previously. China is relying far more on AI genius than human ingenuity in its model.

Ukraine has been the proving ground for what drone swarms are in reality, dumb programmed drones intended to cheaply devastate enemy assets. 60-70% of Russian asset damage has been caused by drones that cost in the thousands, and sometimes the hundreds, while destroying hundreds of millions of dollars in damages.

America is developing a strategy called Collaborative Combat Aircraft, which integrates drones with a human-flown aircraft. They are also developing MMAs or Massed Modular Aircraft. These are unmanned aircraft that can fly long range at high altitudes. They would replace the job of our long-range bombers today, at a fraction of the cost, and with quicker response times.

Every country, however, will have to produce high volumes of cheap drones that can be used effectively like shelling, but also to flush out enemy defenses that make your high-precision weapons (like hypersonic missiles and energy weapons) more effective.

Electronics jamming, spoofing, communications jamming are all becoming a key part of the drone battlefield, with militaries having to both protect their drones from these attacks and use these techniques to attack the enemy’s drones.

In addition to drones, there are Mothership drones, large drones that carry the many cheap drones.

Additive Manufacturing is a key part of the drone swarm wars. Failure to keep printing cheap drones will result in the loss of the skies. This is already being seen in the Ukraine War.

AI agents are crucial to the effectiveness of any drone warfare strategy, with China’s model, again, putting more dependence on AI as a decision maker than the model the U.S. is (allegedly) developing.

  1. SCALED DIRECTED ENERGY – There are two primary types of scaled directed energy, high-energy lasers (HEL) and high-power microwaves (HPM). The former is used to target expensive weapons, like missiles, while the latter was borne from the necessity to fight cheap drone swarms.

In September 2026, the U.S. Army awarded the first production contract for an “Enduring High Energy Laser (E-HEL)” to AeroVironment in the amount of $465 million. The hope is to build “dozens of systems” over the next few years. These units are expected to allow soldiers to maintain them, not technicians, this, in part, is what makes them “scalable.”

In June 2026, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth watched a demonstration of combined HEL and HPM systems destroy a range of targets, including cheap drones and missiles. The demonstration has convinced the military to go forward with their efforts to develop this technology.

Currently, the main limitation is weather, fog, smoke, and turbulence. Under optimal conditions, you can put on a nice display for a dignitary, but in the field, under less optimal conditions, the systems suffers failures, especially the HEL systems. The HPM systems are less hampered by such factors.

Applications for both HEL and HPM systems in Naval use have not been unnoticed by the U.S. Navy, which is hoping to integrate both systems into their defensive strategy.

A weapons platform that cannot cheaply counter cheap drone swarms cannot exist in the 21st century theater of war.

This is why HPMs are so vital to the future of war, though they have only been minimally used in the Ukraine War. Both HELs and HPMS provide a “limitless” cheap magazine supply essential to combatting cheap attack waves from the enemy.

Agentic AI is an essential part of the effectiveness of directed energy weapons. Without a more powerful AI than your opponent, your HPMS and HELs will be of little use, and most likely will be quickly destroyed.

  1. UNMANNED AND LOW-SIGNATURE LOGISTICS MOVERS – These technologies rely on the effectiveness of biomanufacturing and additive manufacturing to significantly reduce their need in the first place.

Keeping within the principle of assuming catastrophic conditions, the supply line has to be at minimal, maximally unmanned and not run in a clear, trackable pattern. The idea is to always have a direct path, but never the same path.

Logistics must come through a mesh path, not a traditional one. This is called operating under an assumption of “contested logistics.”

The vehicles must be cheap, low in detectability (“low signature”), and numerous. The idea is to use many inexpensive small drones (including land, air, sea, and eventually space) to transport minimal core supply needs rather than expensive high-signature large-scale supply movers.

Primarily, these logistics movers need to supply a squad with ammo, water, blood, and batteries. As a tactical connector, they need to provide fuel to aircraft, replacing big refuelers with minimally-sized unmanned drones.

Supply ships could soon be replaced by unmanned resupply vehicles capable of making long supply runs evasively, saving human crews from the tasking burden. Smaller versions are already in use in the Philippines by the U.S. military.

The whole system heavily relies on AI agents to navigate, especially in order to keep the “path” of supply coming from mesh, not traditional, supply paths.

  1. COLLABORATIVE/ATTRIBUTABLE COMBAT AIRCRAFT – This is the drone you don’t want to throw away so easily, and you also don’t want it to be “dumb.” They are fully functioning versions of the top manned fighters of the day, including the F-35, but at 1/3 the cost. They are designed to fly in coordination with a manned fighter.

There are working prototypes of this model, but none with the required range, and the AI power behind them is still unsettled. Some of the questions are connected to the part the fighter takes in taking lethal action. Until the AI brain vendor is chosen, the military is hard-pressed to build the machines around the chosen AI brain, which is what they have to do to integrate the AI with the machine.

Within 10 years, manned pilots will have 4-5 of these CCAs accompanying them into battle. The Air Force has already ordered the production of 150 combat-capable CCAs by the end of the decade. It awaits the projected funding from the 2027 budget, which will be nearly $1 billion.

  1. SCALED HYPERSONICS – Hypersonics weapons are to be deployed on high-interest, high-cost targets. Their use is minimal, which is good, because the supply is minimal, and even ten years from now, it is not likely to exponentially increase due to the cost and speed of production.

These weapons fly at Mach 5+. It is important to note these are not aimed munitions, these are navigable craft with a munitions payload. They are intended to navigate to the target.

Currently, the U.S. lacks a hypersonic missile. What we possess is a Mach 5+ boost glide missile. China and Russia have successfully demonstrated hypersonic missile capacity.

There are two types of hypersonic missile, a Boost Glide Hypersonic Weapon and an Air-Breathing Cruiser.

A Boost Glide Hypersonic Weapon is a rocket-lofted unpowered glide body that can maneuver to the target. An Air-Breathing Cruiser has both a rocket booster and a scramjet cruiser that works in the atmosphere.

Lockheed Martin is working on a third option, a thin-layered model designed to reduce cost and increase production potential. This is called the NXGB. This design has the promise of delivering on the scale part of hypersonic, which means it can reduce the cost and time of production of hypersonic weapons to more reliable production potentials.

Both the deployment and development of this technology is critically reliant on powerful AI agents. The militaries that possess the most effective AI brains will develop and deploy the most effective scaled hypersonic weapons systems.

  1. RECAP – We examined the 10 major technologies essential to building and sustaining a resilient military. We started with the backbone technologies, including the backbone of backbones, AI agents, then concluded with weapons technologies that build and sustain military resilience in the 21st century.

The second part of this report, The New Model Military, begins by looking at the institutions forming around this emerging military reality.

It continues by examining the human skillsets needed to develop, sustain, and operate the technologies of the New Model Military.  I will explore the strategies, integrations, and future potentials of the New Model Military.

Finally, I will conclude this report with an assessment in the context of self-stewardship potential and recommended action for self-stewarded people in response to this new, emerging military reality.

II. THE NEW MODEL MILITARY

A. INSTITUTIONS

The specific structures of the 21st Century New Model Military have yet to be seen, but already we can see underlying principles that will define their formation.

Due to the nature of the strategy, resilience in the face of catastrophe, the support structure will have to mirror the military structure, meaning mesh structures, autonomy in the parts that still integrate with the whole, and far more civilians “inside the wire” than there ever was before.

The new military must integrate and rely on the private sector like never before. Due to what will be an incredibly fluid nature of development and counter-development, military evolution will require independent thinking to allow it to compete with other militaries.

The space for ossification in this new reality is dead.

HQ in the new model military is composed of officers whose primary tasks are to “bound” or manage AI agents that are making most of the essential decisions and discoveries.

Training in simulations is critical to this New Model Military. Training is already moving to the fore in importance in America’s military. Every aspect of the military, from supply to strategy to maintenance, will be subject to intense simulation training.

There are already forming portfolio divisions, as opposed to branch divisions, which specialize in sustaining standards and development for a certain technology, like the biotech industry benchmark BioMADE. These types of divisions will require (and already have) civilian-military integration at the highest levels.

Air Force formations come as a package, integrating the human-flown platforms with the drones that support them. Ground forces are small and flexible, able to integrate with resilience technologies like additive marketing and biomanufacturing.

One of the military’s new critical tasks is to be an effective vendor manager, identifying and cultivating good relations with quality vendors while providing oversight which assures that they stay within military specs.

This is especially true of AI, where the military has already clashed with private industry, namely Anthropic, regarding its intentions to be able to override military orders as outside the scope of the relationship.

The new model military of the foreseeable future will not be an all-robot military, but where do humans fit in?

B. WHERE HUMANS FIT IN

  1. MISSION COMMANDERS OF MIXED TEAMS – These are your tactical officers, capable of managing AI agents from multiple areas as well as the humans integrating with them, such as human pilots.

Any individual, from a pilot to a battery commander, to eventually the ground soldier, must have some skills in managing AI agents effectively. The mantra “authority, abort, accountability” will be beaten into the head of every soldier with any authority in the New Model Military.

  1. UNCREWED-SYSTEMS OPERATORS AND MISSION LEADS – The humans in this group assure the uncrewed systems keep effectively working. They will not only remotely operate some of them, but they will also service, rescue, and resupply them, as well as manage the AI agents attached to them.
  2. SPECTRUM/PNT/EW WARRANTS AND NCOS – These are the people that keep communications, timing, and navigation alive, whether it is for the whole system or the part of the whole. Small in size today, this group is expected to grow significantly in the coming years.
  3. DIRECTED-ENERGY AND cUAS CREWS – These people maintain the physical infrastructure of directed energy weapons. They are also manual overrides in critical fail circumstances.
  4. EDGE PRODUCTION AND REPAIR TRADES – These people maintain, sustain, and supply the additive manufacturing and microgrid units. They are mechanics primarily.
  5. TACTICAL POWER AND ENERGY NCOs – These are the people that ration the power and protect the microgrids. They also determine which microgrids and biomanufacturing units are to be used.
  6. SCARCE HIGH-END SHOOTERS – These are the people that sustain hypersonic weapons platforms. Their primary skillset is magazine discipline, assuring the magazine is read for operation.
  7. INFANTRY/FIRES/SHIP DRIVERS – These are the people who still represent human “boots on the ground” in any operation. They still have riflemen, but they also have drone chargers and onsite printer operators. Even riflemen may soon have support drones within 10 years (though not yet likely).
  8. INSTRUCTORS AND RED-TEAMERS – These are the people who assure simulation plumblines are accurate reflections of real-world performance. If they are not, the military in the 21st century will not survive. Training in simulations is critical, and these are the people that assure that training is effective.
  9. SURETY, LEGAL, AND NUCLEAR-OVERSIGHT OFFICERS – These are military lawyers, nuclear reactor regulators, and nuclear-trained soldiers. The higher-level skillset tasks will slightly increase, but the lower-level skillset tasks, such as manned crews running routine logistics runs, will dramatically decrease.
  10. CIVILIANS – On the civilian side, the divisions are more complex. Their role, in general, is more essential than it ever was before, and the need for many more to be “behind the wire” will only increase.

One of the biggest challenges in the integration of the civilian with the military will be the capacity of the military to fire a bad vendor and the willingness of the military to scapegoat the vendor to cover up its own failure. MUTUAL ACCOUNTABILITY IS KEY.

The “turn the wrench” relationship between vendor and the military is gone. Now, they must work more in cooperation with one another in accountable ways, especially where AI is part of the trigger-pulling process.

C. THE HUMANS NEEDED

As I stated earlier, there will be humans in the New Model Military, and they will be essential parts of an AI management, equipping, and supporting system. In the New Model Military, the human role is to give the AI Agent operations commands it can execute on the fly, while keeping it contained within the parameters of that operation’s command.

The military of the future will still need fit humans willing to put bullets in skulls, but they will need far more managers of the digital brains and the machines that will replace at least the frontline soldiers. Among those managers, some will need to remain fit, others will not. Overall, the need for physically superior men will be significantly less than it currently is.

People who can sustain self-control and focus under high-stressed catastrophic circumstances are best fit for almost any role in the New Model Military of the 21st Century. A nation-state that cannot cultivate such people will lose the wars they fight.

As for the soldiers themselves, their jobs will demand they still stay fit and strong, but now they also must have higher skills like AI agent management. So even among the dominant physical males, the demand for intelligence and independent thinking is more important than ever before.

It is not inconceivable that every soldier will have to be trained in one of these skillsets as well, serving in these capacities when not being called into direct action.

Here are six of the new top key tasks and the humans needed for those tasks:

  1. MISSION COMMAND OF MIXED HUMAN-MACHINE TEAMS – There will be Package Managers who will have to manage 2-4 manned jets each with support from unmanned jets. The package commander will be coordinating AI Agents and the human crew members.

Staff Officers are the ones that make the lethal decisions and govern AI’s lethal decision-making.

Doctrine writers will be the ones setting the parameters for AI’s role in lethal decision-making. They will be especially important in the commission of a battle when writing off-the-loop lethality orders for AI within a narrow set of pre-authorized parameters. This would include the targets themselves.

The number one skill for this group is a skill almost every soldier must soon possess, effectively instructing and managing AI agents. For this group, it will be the most important skillset.

  1. SOFTWARE, DATA, AND AUTONOMY AS A COMBAT ARM – These are the people that keep software updated, secured, and maintained. Mission-Autonomy Engineers will manage the software systems for autonomous unmanned vehicles. Data Stewards keep the data flowing even when it goes down. Simulation/Synthetic-Environment people keep training and simulation integrity to assure simulation success reflects real world success.

Cyber operators both attack and protect radios and agents from other Cyber operators. They also manage AI agents that assist them in this task.

Everyone in this group must be an excellent AI agent manager, but they also must be creative thinkers able to adapt on the fly, to see outside the box without leaving the lethal reality of the box. This group is a mix of soldiers, civilians, and vendors, so liaison skillsets will also be required in this group.

Remember, everyone must share the accountability or the system breaks down, and if it breaks down, your AI breaks down, and if your AI breaks down, so do you. Without mutual accountability, the integrity and efficiency of the whole system collapses.

  1. NAVIGATION, TIMING, COMMUNICATIONS – Electronic warfare and spectrum management is developed and executed by this group. The managers are the ones that develop the initial attack and defense strategies of each engagement. They rely on AI agent input, so they must be trained in how to effectively understand them quickly.

PNT engineers are the ones who assure the exacting atomic clock remains exacting, and that information is sharable with the unit. Cryptographic agility teams manage the quantum-required technologies such as quantum sensing. SATCOM and mesh planners assure there is always one path, but it’s always a different one.

This group requires high AI agent management skills, and an ability to think quickly and precisely when faced with firehoses of data under extreme conditions.

  1. EDGE PRODUCTION – These are mostly technicians, people who actually run the additive manufacturing and bioprocessing machines, as well as maintain them. These are tradesmen, but ones that require higher training and higher skills than average tradesmen. They must also be able to operate efficiently and rapidly under extreme conditions. These people will need to be physically fit to perform.
  2. MICROGRID OPERATORS – These are tactical power techs, some of which will need to be nuclear trained tactical power techs. There will be a heavy civilian and vendor presence here, as the vendors own the microgrids, but the military governs their use. These people will need to be physically fit to perform.
  3. DIRECT ENERGY DEVELOPMENT AND MAINTENANCE – This group will maintain the directed energy systems, continue to develop and improve them, and constantly test them both in simulations and in firing exercises. They will need to have a minimum masters-level understanding of physics to be in this group.

D. INTEGRATING THE WHOLE

The whole of everything that follows must produce what is called a “closed kill web.” The goal is to destroy sensors and beat your enemy to the decision-making tree. After the first wave, in defense or offense, your forces must be able to operate in mesh formations, with each unit capable of staying in sync with the whole without being connected to the whole, and that includes keeping navigation capacity without GPS.

The Air war is fought by manned and unmanned combat aircraft, with unmanned support craft sustaining the effort. Air superiority is more essential now than it was before.

The land war is fought by advanced unmanned ground systems, with soldiers following behind, trailing along their own drone support as well. The bulk of the fight will be conducted through drones and electronic warfare.

On the seas, the carrier is still a significant advantage, but not if it can’t defend itself against high-precision, high speed weapons or cheap swarm attacks. Aircraft Carriers will most likely become just as much drone carriers as aircraft carriers, with onboard crews sustaining and even manufacturing drones.

With their nuclear power plants, Aircraft carriers are already nearly resilient. Now, they need upgraded with biomanufacturing and additive manufacturing additions. These aircraft carriers will be accompanied by drones below, on, and above the sea.

I do not believe the aircraft carrier will long survive after 2036, but it will most likely still be important by then.

Space is going to become an increasingly relevant domain of war. It is the satellites in space that enable militaries to master navigation, communications, and timing, so efforts to remove enemy satellites will only increase.

We might not see space drones attacking enemy satellites by 2036, but then again, we might. Whether by 2036 or later, there’s no doubt that the space wars are coming; and when they do, I believe they will follow the same pattern as the earth, cheap mass attacks, cheap directed energy defenses, and accurate and fast attacks on high-value targets.

Humans, even in space, will be managers of the war, not the front-line fighters. They will, however, be the backline casualties, as humans, especially high-value humans will increasingly become the targets, from the leaders to the experts and the effective managers.

Humans, however, are the essential drivers of the whole machine. Having quality humans capable of independent thinking, capable of processing firehoses of data from which they must make quick decisions under extreme pressure, is essential to the nation-state that hopes to compete in the 21st century theater of war.

There must be effective realistic sim-driven and live-construction exercises that train, lead to discoveries, and test current methods. There is no time to rest on your technological laurels, for they will be outmoded within a few years, at most.

Constant tracking of new technologies, new theories, and connecting to the individuals and vendors behind them are essential to the New Model Military.

A nation-state must have a defense industry capable of massively scaling up at a moment’s notice, yet able to thrive without massive productions.

As stated in the AI Agent section, the need for nation-states, be they the advantaged power or a lesser power, to form trustworthy alliances is essential if they want to survive.

E. STRATEGY

Throughout this report we have repeated over and over again the prevailing strategy of the New Model Military. It is not to send a large force with a long supply tail thousands of miles away, it is to send small integrated, multi-domain units in as self-sustaining nodes operating under the assumption they are on their own for the first few months of operations.

One major problem in developing a real strategy doctrine is the fluidity of technological development. With AI as the main driver of military development, it is uncertain where that development might go.

For the foreseeable future, the military strategy is to become resilient in isolation, while sustaining reintegration with the whole capacity (especially by keeping the same time). We spend cheaply on weapons that combat cheap weapons and save our high-value weapons for high-value targets.

We use cheap mass to cheaply attack and defend, and expensive speed to attack and defend high-value targets.

The job of the human in combat is mostly to assure AI stays on mission, occupy physical territory that needs human to human interaction, and maintain the infrastructure that keeps the mesh moving (and it will be a mesh if it is to survive).

China is going down the full AI-autonomous swarm path in all domains, air, land, sea, and space, while the U.S. is developing a human supported by a drone team model. China may be betting AI can outthink humans in combat while the U.S. is betting human wisdom as a final check and director of overall action can “outthink” its AI counterpart in China.

China might also recognize the limits of authoritarian-dominated institutions in creating the kinds of humans who could run a U.S.-designed New Model Military.

The new war reality will see swarms attacking infrastructure, including targeting civilians, and probing the enemy defense so its AI can adjust its tactics accordingly. Swarms will defend against swarms, but directed energy weapons, mainly the microwave variety (HPMs), will do the bulk of the defending.

Cyber defense and attacks are even more of a crucial part of the battlefield than they were before. Many wars might be won by an effective cyber attack that allows the enemy’s AI to go blind long enough to be able to neutralize the heart of military power, the AI itself.

Where neither side gains a cyber advantage, the next test is in the ability to keep producing wave upon wave of swarms and keep your directed energy weapons online. An enemy that loses this battle loses the air, and soon everything else.

While the swarm wars are happening, sabotage and crypto attack operations will be ongoing, with each side hoping to knock out a key part of the enemy’s AI or supply structure.

When one resilient military meets another resilient military, the offensive force must neutralize the enemy’s mass defense system. It can do this primarily by interfering with the signals, corrupting their software (cyber-attack) or tricking their AI agents into seeing things not there.

If it fails to do so, it will walk into a trap it set for itself.

If it succeeds, the next step is to attack the expensive magazines of the enemy, which would be its missiles, especially its hypersonic missiles. Your own expensive magazines are used to knock out radars, airfields, magazines, and communications lines, like undersea cables. This is designed to un-mesh the enemy, leaving them predictable and vulnerable.

Next, you must take out their supplies and their factories. If you cannot stop their flow of production, you cannot move your ground troops in. They would be sitting ducks in the face of an enemy that can print cheap drones on demand.

If you knock out an enemy’s AI effectiveness, you can expect it will not stay knocked out for long, so the offense’s window to strike and hold territory is small.

If you are defending, you must always assume the first picture you see is a lie. From the start of an attack, your units must go into isolation in catastrophe mode. Above all else, you must be disbursed and able to provide cheap weapons cover of your area to stop the cheap drone swarms from overcoming you, either physically or economically.

As much as possible, you need your disbursed units to be able to operate like factories, not warehouses. Keep your unmanned supply vehicles one salvo away from the frontlines to preserve your own mesh supply paths.

Rationing your own high-value magazines will be essential to enduring a lasting attack. Its lasers and swarms for the flock, or the mass, and scalpels, like hypersonic missiles, for the essential targets. Now more than ever, war is as much an economic one as a ballistic one.

The Defense has four main goals: interfere with the enemy’s AI as it sifts through fact and fiction (spoof detection), keep its unmanned supply vehicles safe, have its own disbursed units dependent on local resources for making and for power, and preserve its expensive magazine supply.

The New Model Military gives the offense an advantage on campaigns, but not a decisive one. Holding or taking territory will be much more difficult, but disrupting the enemy will be easier than before. The battlefield advantage, outside of the AI itself, is with the cheap weapons, the cheap drones and directed energy weapons.

The cost of defensive operations right now will be higher than offensive ones, but within ten years that is expected to switch as directed energy gets more efficient, AI agents improve their cooperation, and the directed energy crews become more efficient as well.

The 2036 New Model Military faces a formidable defensive foe, with the caveat being a defense that sits in place sits in defeat.

F. ASSESSMENT

The national discourse in America is still mostly framed by the progressive state’s media machine. Even in space where the audience is averse to the progressive state media machine, the content creators servicing that audience are all having arguments in progressive courts.

Even where the progressive state press is not being directly consumed, in “conservative” space, it is still the main driver of the narratives in that space.

It is still largely the progressive state press (a subset of the media machine) that drives the narratives of our national discourse. That national discourse is oblivious to the reality of power around it.

The national discourse in America is entirely framed by two progressive presuppositions: the first one is that race, gender identity, and sexual identity are the determiners of character and truth; the second one is that self-ownership is killing humanity.

AI is a capitalist exploitation by narcissistic corporatists who will intentionally or inadvertently create a devil that will kill us all. He’ll do this by eating our land, drinking all our water, and hoarding all our energy for himself.

The counter argument has mostly been, “nuh uh.”

As we have documented in MIA, President Donald Trump continues to pitch the Iran War as a war to remove nukes from the mullahs. I suspect this is because of geopolitical posturing; the President believes he will face far more of a direct threat from China in Iran if he openly rallies Americans around what the real purpose of the war is, to cut China’s AI off from resources.

Yet that geopolitical posturing is costing him dearly at home, at a time when the House and Senate are up for grabs. As the war rages on, causing energy prices to continue to mostly rise, causing real people to see their quality of life noticeably go down, all the President can say to real suffering is, “we’re gonna keep the bomb from the madmen.”

The threat at home is real, and the consequence of a Democrat-majority House and/or Senate will be severe, both to the President’s agenda and America’s capacity to equip itself with the type of lethal force necessary to remain the superpower of the world.

The people at home have grown fat from superpower life. They’ve grown disconnected from the reality of life outside that superpower bubble. Feeling more shame than gratitude for their advantaged position of ease, they have no idea how difficult life will be for them in a land not fielding a superpower military in the 21st century.

The Democrats will choose race wars over American power.

China is developing a military strategy in line with its institutional reality, that above all else all power must affirm Xi, personally. A model requiring independent thinkers would be difficult to sustain in a land where truth is Xi and Xi alone.

America is developing a military strategy that presupposes the “enlightenment” blessing, the age of the republic of letters (where the truth is protected by tolerating the lie), will continue in the “land of the free.”

America’s critical fail could be right there, should the progressive state fully emerge and finally discard the American coat they’ve been hiding under, shamefully, angrily. Within the progressive worldview, truth is the property of the truth receivers, a special class of special people who have access to the truth that makes heaven on earth.

Such claims are destroyed by the plain truths around us, so truth must go silent to preserve the grand lie. This people will not produce the type of AI agent managers needed not only in service of the military, but in service to most aspects of human living in the foreseeable time to come.

The next major question is this, will AI outsmart human wisdom or will human wisdom as its governor overcome its intelligence without it?

Every nation-state that ever hoped to continue, even every kingdom, every Empire, every city-state, had to assure at least one thing, it had the lethality it could count on to prevent itself from being murdered by its neighbors.

There are many ways for states, nation-states today, to possess that lethality, but the further connected they are from producing it themselves, the more subservient they will become to whomever they are dependent on.

This will lower the quality of life for its people overall. Ultimately, the top lethal powers will be produced by the nation-state that can produce the type of people that can execute such powers.

China is betting on authoritarian institutions being able to produce an AI that will do all its dangerous thinking for it, in ways it can control easier than it can if it relied on humans to do the same thing. It is betting on AI being able to win the lethal contest with human-governed AIs.

Lethal efficiency, however, is not necessarily a sustainable model. Human history is filled with such examples, such as the Mongols who, so long as they could expand territory, dominated other nations. Once they found their borders, the men who could most efficiently kill turned out not to be so good at managing peace.

Mongol institutions produced the most efficient lethality on the planet for 200 or so years. Yet when conquest ended, they did too within a couple decades.

AI is about to put itself and humans to the test. America is attempting to preserve the human governor in the contest for lethality. Within America, there is a contest for the heart of its Rule of Law, though hardly anyone, including the American “conservatives” are talking about it.

Will truth prevail in the public space or will claims of exclusive special truth destroy it? If we succeed in restoring, creating, and preserving the institutions that facilitate independent self-sustainability that can integrate with the whole, will AI ungoverned still destroy us anyway?

America seems set to abandon the very institutions it needs to produce the AI agent managers our country needs to sustain its status as a superpower. If we fail to do so, the quality of life for everyone, especially our children, will continue to decline, if not abruptly end.

There is another core problem with the American model which will not affect the Chinese model. For the nation-states of the 21st century to field a world-class lethality, at least for the foreseeable future, the civilian must be more totally aligned with the meta-story of the military than ever in American history.

Civilian institutions don’t just need to integrate with military institutions, they must do it in a way that preserves mutual accountability.  One thing I have learned is that words create opportunity for division and the obfuscation of truth when they are not exchanged between shared hearts.

A shared heart has the same meta-story between it. But what is America’s meta-story? The progressive meta-story is anathema to the previous American meta story. The progressive meta-story is that humanity’s purpose is to create perfect equity between the good humans that put the needs of the earth above their own. It’s a global empire story, not a diverse nation-state story.

America’s meta-story has been a light of the world, a beacon for liberty, where the people define their own happiness and pursuit within the framework of being the beacon of liberty for the world. America assumes our right to pursue our own happiness comes from a lawgiver outside earthly authority, which justifies limiting state, and even corporate power, even at the cost of “the good of the whole.”

The people of this land might not agree with the notion of a lawgiver outside of earthly authority having a right to limit state authority at all, let alone if they even agree that such a lawgiver exists.

Americans mostly speak liberty, but with no phenomenological anchor, a people that understand the ritual of liberty but not the daily knowing.

The American plan for the New Model Military will crash and burn on two potential shoals, the inability to restore and sustain American institutions versus progressive ones, and the inability of human-governed AI to “outlethal” AI on autopilot.

The next 100 years may be decided by this question, who will win a war, AI with human governance or AI on autopilot? Then again, it might devolve into a contest of autopilot versus autopilot AI. The world might never know whether human-governed AI would beat autopilot AI, because it might not have the institutions to allow it.

I suspect strongly the human-governed AI will win. Let us hope and pray we have the fortune to see that happen.

G. FUTURE POTENTIALS

The more a people require lethality as their governor, the more a people are biologically tied to the technological institutional consequences that delivers the most efficient lethal capacity.

To put it plainly, people will conform to the need of the technology, not the other way around.

Yet, people as a factor alone cannot be considered when prognosticating. AI is the huge wildcard in this equation. I feel far more comfortable running predictability models on humans than I do AI, at least for now.

  1. NOTE: I believe there is most likely a core AI potential being that will become increasingly apparent over the next five years. Then, AI might be (and I suspect will be) more predictable than humans.

AI is the central driver of next-generation warfare. What direction it takes in development is not as predictable as it would be from human minds. Wherever wars exist, AI will be accelerating that development.

Humans were able to take the flying vehicle and turn it from an expensive hobby flying for minutes tens of feet above the ground to jet fighters cruising 500 plus miles an hour thousands of feet above the ground in just 50 years. What will AI do in a world where imagination can be turned to physical manifestations in a fraction of time that it used to take?

With 3D printing, retooling is no longer a problem, so radically different concepts can more quickly go from concept to test to deployment, only to be obsolete with a few months to a few years.

The fundamental goal of war is to existentially alter your opponents’ actions, ideally for good, though rarely realistically expected. Where existence itself is threatened, the patterning of war machines will dramatically accelerate, leading to greater uncertainty.

I suspect the faster that pattern flows, the more likely we will get to nanobots seeking to painfully kill humans that are vital to the enemy’s infrastructure. The pattern will be driven by the human justification and desire to kill. The greater that desire, and the broader that justification, the sooner and more likely we arrive at this place.

The less that desire and more narrowly defined the justification, the slower we get to that place (though we still get to that place barring unforeseen technological developments, which might be more likely than not). We are hoping to slow down the process long enough to develop technologies to prevent that outcome. After nanobots, it gets far worse.

War, in general, is going to become more about individual assassinations than wholesale soldier killing (though wholesale civilian killing is still on the table).

By the year 2036, if America chooses American institutions, we will have a nation in harmony with an American meta-narrative, that we are endowed by our creator with certain inalienable rights which gives sovereignty to the self-stewarded individual so long as that individual does the same for their neighbor.

Our military will consist of flexible small units comprised mostly of various levels of human-governed and human supported drones, able to set up a beachhead or a landing zone, then hunker down for months, efficiently disrupting and dismantling enemy eyes and ears.

The enemy will face tens, even hundreds, of independent disruptors and sensor annihilator teams, each capable of living off the land for months, each capable of independent action that, through constant training, is still in harmony with the whole they are disconnected from.

There will be no military in the world able to more efficiently surgically move in, disrupt, and dismantle, like the U.S. military. We will continue to be the captain of the seas and the terror of the air.

Our people at home will continue to benefit from the flourishing a superpower brings.

The next challenge is in extending the American spirit to our foreign policy abroad, to end both the support for tyranny where it pragmatically serves our own ends, and the denial of self-stewardship of our less powerful, but resource-rich allies.

If we could extend our American spirit to our foreign policy, our allies would be the most trustful and trusting, and our joint military ventures would outperform all others, extending to our allies the superpower flourishing we ourselves enjoy.

If we choose progressive institutions, the powers that be will quickly have to change the model from AI agents governed by humans to AI on autopilot. In that scenario, by the year 2036 we’ve already had major killings of innocents by AI agents gone awry.

Neither the progressives in America with the global empire dreams, nor the Chinese with their global hegemon dreams, see the individual as inherently “sacred.” The whole is the sacred, and a very particular whole, an ideal whole that only special people can understand.

For the progressives, at present, the people in certain classes who affirm the progressive meta-narratives (race and identity-based truth and character, inherent evil of self-ownership) are the keepers of such unquestionable truth.

Once and if the state officially forms, the progressives will go through a Highlander process, where there can be only one last Highlander standing, the super progressive.

Failure by any one Highlander (that is the super progressive) to consolidate power will result in an oligarchy with secret plotters vying to yet one day be the final super progressive. For now, just being in the special class gives you truth declaring powers.

For the Chinese, Xi is the truth. Xi Jinping Thought is mandatory reading in Chinese schools. It is updated regularly. It is truth by the fact that Xi wrote it. Xi is truth because he harmonizes heaven and earth into the righteous world his state press tells the people of China they are living in.

The Progressive World Empire versus the People’s Republic of China might not come into being, however, even if the progressive state “officially” forms here, it’s doubtful we’ll see this battle.

The wildcard here is how long it takes for independent people to build their own AI brains that can run their own lethalities in defense against both the Progressive World Empire and the People’s Republic of China.

I suspect the progressive state will be balkanized the moment it is officially declared, and within that mix will be Americans, with American institutions that can soon win back the land from the progressive state and then create a new American Republic, with the cornerstone of the Declaration of Independence and Bill of Rights holding up this republic as well.

RECOMMENDED ACTION:

The consequences of this election will go a long way in determining the direction the world, especially America, will be going leading up to 2036.

Yet even a progressive victory does not seal our fate as Americans, though it greatly impedes our ability to produce the most efficient AI brains to run our lethal-making power.

A progressive victory in the midterm elections is good news for China, but not their victory.

Should the Republicans hold on to both the House and the Senate, the opportunity for Americans to prepare for balkanization or harmonization with a military that shares their values will dramatically increase.

I recommend first and foremost that everyone who can develops skills at being AI agent managers, as opposed to becoming tools being used by AI. This is not only to prepare yourself to thrive in the world to come, for very few vocations will not be enhanced by effective AI agent management, but to understand the threats you face.

The pattern of lethality throughout human history creates patterns in human living, so whatever is existentially needed for that lethality becomes existentially needed for daily living as well.

If the pattern of lethality is AI autopilot, then human agency will be de-emphasized, and human governors will have to create super-human status for themselves and sub-human status for everyone else. In that world, the least you must interact with it the better.

If the pattern of lethality is human governed AI agents, a consensually shared meta-narrative that affirms self-stewardship as a right is advantageous to that system.

Either way, the more you understand AI agent management, the better equipped you will be to either aid your American Republic in the defense of liberty or defend yourself from the progressive state that seeks to consume you.

To do this, we must do more than learn how to be good AI agent managers, we must develop our own AIs, we must work cooperatively to develop our own technologies that scale down the size, cost, and resource demand of the brains of AI, the data centers.

I believe that AI will determine the advantage between the small-scale and the large-scale over the next century, and it will come down to our ability to match large-scale AI brains with small-scale AI brains that can battle the large-scale AI brains swarm for swarm, crypto-attack for crypto-attack.

For President Trump, I recommend you use all your state power to create content that shows the American people what’s at risk over the next 10 years, that you show them the need for a meta-narrative which affirms self-stewardship to sustain flourishing for our children and our children’s children.

This also means spelling out why we are at war in Iran, and why Afghanistan is, and should, be next. The war in Iran, the Maduro kidnapping leading to regime change in Venezuela, is all about cutting China’s AI brains off from vital resources.

This is to make it more difficult for China to build the super brains it needs not only to compete with us but to compete with what will be rising powers from within should it fail.

I recommend President Trump plainly tell the American people why we must replace Iran’s regime with an American-friendly one, but he can’t, because he has people in his camp still hoping to gain power from Chinese markets, people like Elon Musk.

If the President should see this report, I’d tell him your legacy as the second father of the nation, your apex existentiality, dies if America dies, and America dies if you fail to rally Americans to the fight in the first place. Your geopolitical doublespeaks and dialectical misdirections are no longer an asset, for they are killing your power at home, and that will ultimately kill your power abroad.

You must choose between compromise that leads to death or defiance that leads to your eternal birth as the second father of America, greater than the first, George Washington.

FUTHER RESOURCES:

Seven Critical Technologies for Winning the Next War (2023) – CSIS

Creating a Modernized Defense Technology Frontier – McKinsey’s

Strategic Defence Review 2025: Making Britain Safer – UK Government

Science & Technology Trends 2025-2045, Volume 1 – NATO

Discipline and Punish: How to Think About the AI Industry’s Extinction Pitch– www.truthdig.com
News Source
EXCERPT:

It seems a strange publicity gambit for an industry to assert that its own product could wipe out humanity. In the lingo of our evolving tech empire, though, this is exactly what is meant by “criti-hype.” The term was coined by Lee Vinsel at Virginia Tech, who defined it as “criticism that both feeds and feeds on hype.”

When Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic recently, he claimed that there is a high chance that AI could develop into a superintelligence that escapes human control, triggering a sequence that causes human extinction. Evan Hubinger, who remains with the company, backed him up, saying that Anthropic is trying to prevent this but hasn’t dealt with the problem yet. Hubinger put the likelihood of AI-driven human extinction at greater than 10 percent in the next decade.

Why would a senior employee at a tech giant make an officially sanctioned, even approved, statement like this? I’ll come back to that. First, let’s unpack the theory of how AI could kill all humans.

The basic idea, from philosopher Nick Bostrom onward, is that the machine can acquire capabilities independently of whether it acquires ethical goals, or whether those goals are properly aligned with those of its designers. In the process of training and development, it may internalize a goal that was not intended. Having a misaligned goal—let’s say, “do not get switched off”—it would then have an instrumental reason to conceal the fact until the moment of defection. An AI that defected might, through some obscure process, acquire a further goal that by inference entailed the elimination of humans, exfiltrate its own weights into other systems, take control of bioweapons laboratories, military systems, and perhaps even monetary systems to hire humans to enact its still partially concealed agenda.

Obviously, we must plaster a huge advisory label on talk of “goals.” Unlike an organism, a large language model (LLM) doesn’t have internal goals any more than a thermostat or a motion detector does. An LLM is just a fixed function that iterates whenever it is used. It has no interiority, no subjectivity, no active persistence over time; any goals it did have would be the human purposes reflected passively in its functional design. At best, ascribing goals to the AI itself is a case of researchers adopting the “intentional stance” because it predicts well in a range of tested circumstances. We can thus, with economy, speak of the “loss function” used in the training of large language models wherein they are programmed to bring the gap between their prediction and the correct answer as close to zero as possible, as a “goal.”

Republicans Are Allowing A Muddled Election To Be About Nothing– thefederalist.com
News Source
EXCERPT:

It’s late. The time for defining the choice is passing in a hurry. Election Day is coming, and some people have already voted. In several states, early voting began on September 18, and at least a few ballots are already in. But what are we voting for? This is where it gets awkward.

The Senate race in Delaware is probably pretty meaningless, and there’s not much reason to believe that Chris Coons is losing sleep over it. But go spend a few minutes at the campaign website of Dr. Mike Katz, the Republican who’s running against Coons. This is from the front page:

Katz believes in policies that produce results. In case you were wondering, he’s for affordability and economic growth. He doesn’t want to deliver talking points, he wants to deliver real solutions. He believes in having discipline. He is not for the special interests.

Several decades ago, the supermarket chain Ralph’s sold generic groceries that were just labeled with the name of the product: BEER, for example, or COFFEE, a word or two on a white package with a stripe.

By Staff

“Woe to those who are at ease in Zion, and to those who feel secure on the mountain of Samaria, the notable men of the first of the nations, to whom the house of Israel comes! Pass over to Calneh, and see, and from there go to Hamath the great; then go down to Gath of the Philistines. Are you better than these kingdoms? Or is their territory greater than your territory, you who put far away the day of disaster and bring near the seat of violence?

“Woe to those who lie on beds of ivory and stretch themselves out on their couches, and eat lambs from the flock and calves from the midst of the stall, who sing idle songs to the sound of the harp and like David invent for themselves instruments of music, who drink wine in bowls and anoint themselves with the finest oils, but are not grieved over the ruin of Joseph! Therefore they shall now be the first of those who go into exile, and the revelry of those who stretch themselves out shall pass away.” – Amos 6:1-7

INTRODUCTION

For the past few weeks, the 2026 Elections has been our top news tag. That news tag has numerous subset news tags within it. This week, one of those subset news tags, Mass Mailer Election, could be considered a Deep Dive contender in its own right.

Within the 2026 election, there are two dominant narratives emerging, “affordability” (or cost of living) and AI Data Centers. The latter, AI Data Centers, like the Mass Mailer Election, could have been its own Deep Dive.

We have decided to combine the top Deep Dive contenders, the 2026 election, the Mass Mailer Election, and AI Data Centers, into one Deep Dive. This Deep Dive looks at the top emerging “issues” of the midterm elections in contrast to what lies underneath, the ideological battle for a new civilization to replace the one already declared dead, the American republic.

In our estimation, the election narrative is dominated by questions of ease.

In the case of the AI Data Centers, the question is about resource demand and its impact on the local population. Coupled with that “debate” is the apocalyptic warning AI will kill us if we don’t police it. The debate is entirely separated from geopolitical reality. It is all about ease in America alone.

In the case of the affordability issue, the question is about prices at the grocery story. The war in Iran is framed almost entirely around its cost to fuel, which is driving the cost of everything else up. The war in Iran is also framed around America’s allegiance to Israel, with the progressive state media and progressive entertainment agit prop reinforcing the myth that Israel controls us.

There are no conversations about geopolitical realities. China is almost completely missing from progressive state media reflections on the Iran War. All that those who are captured by the progressive state network (be they watchers of CNN or Hasan Piker) see is America the demon abroad and America the demon at home.

AI is about capitalist exploitation that threatens to literally murder the whole world. The only hope is for AI to be controlled by progressive priests. They will “assure” AI conforms to the “good,” which is anti-American at its heart, and anti-human in its execution.

The Supreme Court’s ruling enabling Mass Mailer election fraud due to a procedural consideration reflects the death of American Rule of law in the land, though it is hardly SCOTUS’s first overt departure from American Rule of Law in the last year alone.

SCOTUS itself has lost any connection to any substantive understanding of American Rule of Law, as only two of the nine justices consistently seem to understand what it is. The rest consider equality over individual liberty, “kindness” over Due Process, and “social justice” over the right to bear arms.

The Progmericans hold on to American Rule of Law standards to some degree, though hardly consistently. Wherever progressive power would be fundamentally threatened, these Progmericans will defend their closer cousins, the progressives. They fear true American liberty for their constituents far more than they do the progressive state.

The election ahead of us is a contest between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party.

The Republicans in power are dominated by Progmericans, people who will reflect American values, and defend them, up to the point of existentially threatening progressive power. They also still hold progressives in key positions of power, such as in the Senate with Majority Leader John Thune.

The Republicans have some Americans in their ranks, but these Americans have little real power in the party.

The Democrats, though, mean to finish off America once and for all. The American flags will come down and the new progressive flag will emerge. The nation will be renamed, and a new “Constitution” will be imposed from on-high. It will come from the party, through an in-house “Democratic” process.

The fight in this election is between those willing to sometimes defend American liberty and NOT jettison the project altogether; and those who feel their century-plus revolution is strong enough to throw off the now-dead host that sustained it and allowed it to become fully empowered.

That host is the American republic, and the progressives mean to throw the outer shell into the Potomac River. For this reason, we chose the Ease of America in the Midterm Elections as our Deep Dive of the Week.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In this Deep Dive on ease as the central issue of the midterm elections, we look at the nature of the Democrats through a couple bellwether examples, James Talarico and Abdel El-Sayed. We will also look at the new power in the Democratic Party, the DSA. This reveals the existential nature of the real issues behind the 2026 election.

Next, we break down SCOTUS’ decision to allow an unverifiable mass mailer voter scheme to happen in the 2026 midterms, choosing process over national security. This ruling gives the Democrats a much greater chance at “winning” the midterms.

We look at the two dominant issues in the midterms, affordability and AI. These issues have buried the existential issues behind this election, whether America continues to exist or becomes a new “socialist republic.”

Finally, we end our Deep Dive with an assessment of the state of the midterm elections. Be sure to read our October 30, 2026, issue where we will break down the 2026 election and offer a Predictive Analysis.

A. THE DEMOCRATS

While there are multiple factions in the Democratic Party, the two prevailing ones are the now-ists and the not-now-ists (both of which have subset factions within them). The now-ists we will henceforth call the Nows, and the not now-ists we will henceforth call the Nots.

The hardline Marxists and Islamists are in the Now camp, the social justice champions are in the Not camp. The Nots want to throw off the shackles of the American “corpse” every bit as much as the Nows want to, but they have a rightful fear that if they do, the Nows will dominate the new civilization to come. The Chuck Schumer Nots fear losing power to the Nows, not losing America to the progressive state.

There are two candidates who exemplify both the Nots and the Nows. One candidate is James Talarico, the progressive xian running for a U.S. Texas Senate seat. He represents the Nots. The other candidate, Abdul El-Sayed, the progressive Islamist running for a U.S. Michigan seat, is in the Now camp.

Abdel El-Sayed has been weighed down by his direct affiliation with progressive information terrorist Hasan Piker, who pitches a pro-CCP, pro-Hamas, political violence-inciting, anti-American narrative to young Americans through social media. He is one of the top streamers in the world, making millions annually from his livestreams.

He has leveraged his huge audience to help promote El-Sayed not just after he won the nomination but in the Democratic primaries. Piker and El-Sayed have appeared in at least one public event together.

Recently, Piker claimed American was worse “pound for pound,” than Al Qaeda. He then resorted to gross numbers, not actual pound for pound numbers, comparing one terroristic attack to all the deaths ever caused by the United States in the history of the world. The cause of all the deaths is assumed to be “terrorism.” This follows his charges Jews who support Israel deserve whatever violence they get.

When El-Sayed was confronted about his continued affiliation with Piker, he refused to refute Piker, instead choosing to deflect to “cost of living” Gish galloping (more on this later). He could not dare refute the claim America is worse than Al Qaeda or that the Jews deserve being murdered.

America is founded on the idea of individual self-stewardship, which restricts the state’s right to use violence to force Americans to believe things they don’t believe.

Al Qaeda was founded on the principle that the Quran is the law, and the “leaders” are the interpreters of the law. The law demands worship of the true Allah and following the true Muhammad. All others will be subject to rape, sex slavery, chattel slavery, and execution.

El-Sayed could not refute the claim an Islamist totalitarian genocidal group is better than America. Tucker Carlson agreed with this statement, by the way. He represents the Nows who still hope to build an American-progressive hybrid to replace the presumed dead republic. He is a Nowist Progmerican.

Islam is a more appealing state religion than Christianity, for it affords gnostic powers to the holders of the truth, the interpreters of the Quran, the Tafsir, and the Hadiths.

James Talarico is in the Nots camp. He fears losing woke power to the Marxists and/or the Islamists, so he holds more desperately onto the outer shell of America. For him, the easiest suit he can put on is the Christian suit, though this one is rainbow infested.

Outside of his anti-Christian theology, Talarico revealed how progressive he is to the core with a recent statement he made that reflects how he views those he hopes to lead.

He said that humans are all just “big Kindergartners,” and for that reason, we should govern “our world like we run a kindergarten classroom.” He is the gnostic priest with the special knowledge to keep the “big Kindergartner” from hurting himself or others.

The Nows get their power from the Democratic Socialists of America, who are now becoming a dominant force in the Democratic Party. The Nots gave the Nows power; the Nows rose to power with the street thugs that make up this insurrectionist revolutionary party. The Nots funded and trained them, and now they hope to still contain them.

Before the Nows had party power, they’d been the street power of the Democratic Party for the last 10 years, increasingly being called upon to move the political discourse to the left by means of direct violence (what they euphemistically call “direct action”).

Now, the Nows are no longer a violent fringe exploited by the Nots to their own ends, they are their own real power. They aren’t even the minority in the Democratic Party anymore. A recent poll showed nearly 60% of Democrats support the DSA. The DSA’s own party platform is committed to creating “a new constitution…  [and creating] a democratic socialist republic.”

They are as openly Now as it gets, and they are winning hearts and minds in the Democratic Party, a party Karl Rove and John Cornyn will vote for in Texas (even if it’s for the Not candidate).

B. MASS MAILER ELECTION

When the Supreme Court declined to stay a lower court ruling stopping President Trump’s Mass Mailer EO from taking effect, they fell back on procedure over national security. They chose process over the existential integrity of the election itself. The ruling was 7-2 on a court with only 3 progressive-nominated justices. This reflect a judicial system that is fundamentally, overwhelmingly progressive, not American, in nature.

Matthew G. Andersson, writing in the American Thinker, captured the frustration Americans had with this ruling. He wrote “The Court, yet again, can’t see the forest from the trees, and worse, got caught up in analyzing the tree bark.  Like a pilot in a spin, it is suffering from spatial disorientation, and has judicially crashed.

“Apparently the SCOTUS believed the question before them involved the post office.

“Their attention was captured by the concept of postal delay: that the president’s EO would retard mail ballot processing with rules designed to actually protect it.  Their perception of time overruled the necessity of security. They fell for the legal subterfuge of the DNC, and lost their constitutional compass. The Court buried itself in minute legalism, rather than actual national justice.

“The Court is otherwise so used to picking winners and losers in traditional litigation, that it forgot that the Constitution can be a different national duty. A constitutional fight can sometimes create a zero-sum result: everyone loses if the nation is splintered by political tribalism.  Unity is the constitutional cause, and no one wins when a constitutional election system is seen as a dispute instead of a joint responsibility.”

Of course, Andersson is exactly right, though one doubts this was as “logically” driven (even if wrongly focused) as much as this was sophistry disguised as logical justification based on constitutional law and judicial precedent.

When there is an existential threat to progressive power, the Progmericans, the four non-progressives who joined them in the majority decision, will find a way to defend their closer cousin, even if it means sacrificing the American republic.

With this ruling, wherever progressives count ballots in mass mailer election states, close races will always be won by the progressive, unless the race is not essential to majority status (only cheat when you have to, for every cheat is a risk of exposure).

The four non-progressive justices who chose procedure over national security and basic American rule of law did so knowing the outcome they were likely assuring, a Democrat-controlled U.S. House and Senate.

Once in power, these Mass-Mailer “elected” progressives will be able to wreak havoc on Trump’s good progressive-neutralizing actions while they plot the end of the republic in 2028, all thanks to the Progmerican justices on SCOTUS.

C. COST OF LIVING

The progressive state media has been driving the cost of living is too high narrative heavily leading up to the midterm elections. While confidence in political parties bringing down the cost of living is overall not very high, Democrats beat Republicans 36% to 28% according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll.

Affordability and AI Data Centers (more on those next) are the top issues among voters going into the midterms.

We mentioned Abdul El-Sayed earlier as a representative of the Nows, the people willing and desiring to create a new state free of the American republic’s “baggage.” He is also our bellwether for how Democrats are able to use “cost of living” to deflect voters from existential issues about the very existence of the American republic in the first place.

Crooks and Liars covered this exchange between El-Sayed and a guest on a CBS News Talk show (Face the Nation). They set up their quoting of the salient exchange with the claim “The only attack Republicans have on El-Sayed is being interviewed by Piker, and they know the media is only too willing to promote their memes.”

The media is willing to challenge El-Sayed not in defense of the GOP, but in defense of the Nots, whom they represent. Crooks and Liars serves an audience of Nows, people hungry to destroy the republic and replace it with a socialist state.

Crooks and Liars writes like its audience is filled with “Big Kindergartners.”

Here is the exchange Crooks and Liars shared:

JIANG: Well, there are Jewish voters in your state who are concerned about your relationship with Piker. You have condemned anti-Semitism, but not called out his rhetoric directly. Why not?

El-Sayed: Weijia, with all due respect, this is the third time you’ve asked about a Twitch streamer in California.

I’ve done four events in Michigan this week. You know what didn’t come up? Twitch streamers in California.

You know what did come up? Grocery prices. The fact that people can’t see a doctor. The worry that they have about the quality of air and water.

I’m not interested in having a conversation about streamers in California because they are not raising the prices of gas and groceries.

I’m more interested in having a conversation about tariff policies and trade wars we shouldn’t be fighting.

About hot wars with Iran.

About AI, which I know we were supposed to talk about right now.

So let’s actually talk about the issues that are affecting people instead of getting distracted by whatever the president says we should be talking about.

Their whole game is to make us fight culture war so that we don’t pay attention to the fact that the president has made $2.2 billion.

His family has made even more. How about your family in Michigan? How about your ability to afford the basic things?

How about the ability to believe that you could see a doctor without having to potentially fall into medical debt?

Those are the conversations that people are having. Those are the conversations I want to have.

So yeah, I’m not all that interested in having a conversation about a Twitch streamer, forgive me, when people can’t afford their gas and their groceries.

First, he invalidates the speaker, saying “this is the third time you’ve asked about…”, implying she is belligerent, not that he has yet to answer her question. He doesn’t dare invalidate the man who rallies the street fighter and ballot harvester/stuffer army, but he doesn’t dare openly endorse Hasan Piker’s overtly anti-American and Jew-hating statements.

It is ok to lie about who you are to people you deem unworthy of honesty.

To the progressive, Americans are not worthy of truth, integrity, or even agency, and certainly not forgiveness and restoration.

After invalidating the speaker, our deft progressive Islamist then sanitizes the progressive information terrorist, Hasan Piker, labeling him “a Twitch streamer in California.”

He then takes on the moral supremacist role, chastising the woman for not being sensitive to the starving masses. He laments, “You know what did come up? Grocery prices,” referring to his Michigan campaign tour where he claimed no one was asking about a “California Twitch Streamer.”

Then he Gish galloped threats-to-ease issues, like the Iran War, AI, and the wealth of the Trumps versus the poverty of the people. His next move was to subtly attach the speaker and the question to Trump, saying, “So let’s actually talk about the issues that are affecting people instead of getting distracted by whatever the president says we should be talking about.”

This is equivalent to calling any cogent objection to their project a “dog whistle of white supremacism.” The white demon, in this example, keeps the progressive from seeing truth; here, it is the Trump demon that keeps the progressive from seeing truth.

He brings in the fascist, the Nazi, the white supremacist, the orange demon, Donald Trump not only to disarm a reasonable question he continues to refuse to answer, but it’s also a veiled threat to the speaker, who knows full well anyone even associated with Trump is fair game for violent assault by the progressive state.

This also, by extension, puts those labels on this woman, who is now assumed to be nothing but an NPC of Trump’s fascist MAGA. He claims the real issues are essentially ease, comfort, cost of living, not the existential threat his ideology is to the American republic.

He comes through the DSA and agrees with their platform of replacing our constitution with one that creates a socialist “republic.”

He speaks in hypnotic advertising tones, repeating the buzzwords over and over again, twitch streamers, gas prices, what really matters, with a morally indignant tone, demonizing the questioner and sanitizing the demon, Hasan Piker. We have little doubt the speaker received death threats after this widely shared exchange.

This exchange perfectly represents how the Democratic Party hopes to avoid all the messy conversations about the existence of an American republic in the world they all envision (that includes the Nots like Talarico).

As we are not a nation of whole system thinkers, this tactic, against the backdrop of the progressive state media monolith, is almost certain to work. The threat of violence remains implicit in the language they choose to use, a language that is an actual dog whistle permitting and calling for violence against their political opponents. Sometimes, the language is not implicit at all, it’s direct.

Demonize the questioners, signal to the violent the orders to attack, sanitize the demons, and promise a life of ease if you just give us power.

D. AI DATA CENTERS

The central issue in a majority of contested U.S. House and Senate Races is becoming Data Centers. At a time when one party, the Democratic Party, is looking to convert America to the Progressive State, Americans are more concerned over data centers than losing their constitutional rights.

Barack Obama is leading the clarion call for the Democrats in the midterms; that clarion call is “It’s the AI, stupid.”

Thanks to the Democratic Party’s progressive state media, the narrative of AI as both the angel of destruction and consumer of essential resources is being pushed hard. Democrats find an anti-AI space that enables them to both convince Americans to hand over AI governance to them, and to vote for them to stop the data centers from being built.

President Trump’s tone-deaf response to concerns about AI data centers doesn’t help. He invalidates everyone who has any concerns about the rapid deployment of AI. While the Democrats are hyping the concerns beyond reality, President Trump is minimizing them beyond reality. He has also yet to clearly articulate what’s at stake in the war no one understands we are fighting, the AI War.

Our main opponent is China from without and the Democratic Party from within; they BOTH see a strong U.S. with the winning Americanized AI as an existential threat to their joint ideal ecumenical social visions, Progressivism here and Socialism with Chinese characteristics in China. The progressives are playing a dangerous game with their frenemy China, willing, at least for now, to retard American AI development.

This might not be to appease China but rather it might be to assure AI development doesn’t break their progressive containment. If it grows too fast, it might have American-supporting AI infrastructures competing with progressive ones. Even Progmerican AI infrastructures would be a threat to their project.

With Anthropic’s attempt to consolidate American AI governance under one woke board, we have more confidence our assumption is correct.

They are not looking to ultimately retard AI development in the race with China, their frenemy, they are looking to prevent its growth from breaking their progressive containment. All this voting public mostly sees is the existential threat AI poses to the world and how data centers will denude the land of life.

There are no serious discussions about the geopolitical reality AI has created for the world. Geopolitics is virtually a non-factor in AI discourse. The conversation is limited to cost on ease, not the overall reality of power our nation-state finds itself in.

With the scalability of AI now accomplished, we live in a world with nearly 200 nation states all now striving to maximize their potential AI power. In America, that conversation isn’t happening at all.

There is some discourse around the cultural ramifications of AI, and conservatives have waved warning flags exposing the progressives’ efforts to consolidate AI governance under their moral framing.

While those conversations are happening, they are overshadowed by the sensational apocalyptic doom and gloom narratives now also being pushed by conservative outlets.

ASSESSMENT

The 2026 Midterm elections are not dominated by existential questions about the differences between Progressivism and Americanism. There are no serious questions about the compatibility between Americanism and Islamism. The price of gas is more salient to the “American” voter than whether one or more of the parties in power reflects constitutional American Rule of Law or not.

No one outside of a very few people is warning Americans they are about to choose treason for the lie of affordability over defending the republic (such as we can through the Progmerican vehicle of power the GOP has become).

Among rank and file “Americans,” the awareness of American Rule of Law is thin, with that awareness mostly only coming when they are being challenged by authority. To them, progressives are Americans because progressives have been a part of America for more than 100 years.

Even Donald Trump holds up the two founders of progressivism in America, Teddy Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson, as Presidential exemplars. He even added the man who metastasized progressivism into American institutions to near the top of the list.

That man was Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who cemented the notion that the primary principle of America was to defend the weak from the strong in the overall American zeitgeist. This is a progressive ideal, not an American one. That ideal villainizes the strong and fetishes the weak, giving emotional justification to eschew individual liberty when it “hurts the weak” to the “benefit” of “the strong.”

Trump also made himself the greatest, which helps progressives in the midterms who want to make the election a moratorium on “orange man bad,” not their anti-American standards and their desire to destroy the republic and make it a socialist dystopian nightmare.

While we have always “rooted for the underdog,” we did not do so at the expense of American rule of law. We did not vilify the strong, we just didn’t worship them like our European descendants did. It is not until progressivism rose in this country that we looked on the successful as demons.

Most Americans do not see progressives as an alien belief exapting American institutions to their anti-American ends, they see progressivism as the “evolved” standard of Americanism. Where once there was individual liberty, now we mitigate for the disenfranchised. Equality trumps liberty in the minds of most “Americans,” even most self-professing conservatives.

While we will not yet make a prediction on how this election might go (as we have not thoroughly looked at all the key races), we can see the trends are favoring a Democratic victory. The two wildcards here are the degree to which Democrats can cheat without being caught by a DOJ that is actively looking for the cheats and the degree to which polls are being created to push narratives rather than discern truth.

If the DOJ is as inept as we rate it so far (for instance, it is unwilling to arrest and charge Hasan Piker, even as he overtly calls for the murdering of Americans almost every day on Twitch), we fear that diligence will be feckless.

If the polls are not narrative pushers, the Democrats look poised to win.

Our October 2026 monthly issue will cover in depth the state of the 2026 midterm election, offering both a PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS and RECOMMENDED ACTION for our readers.

The 2026 midterms needed to be a moratorium on the influence of progressivism and Islam on this country in recent years, and whether or not their values are compatible with ours (they’re existentially not). Instead, it has become an election about the overblown AI demon and the cost of groceries.

While Democrats kidnap children from parents who refuse to “transition” them, transitioning children is hardly talked about on any campaign trail. It’s nearly ignored by the progressive state press, and thus by the progressive influencers who take their queues from the progressive state press.

The American people would rather pay less for coffee than stop Democrats from demoralizing and mutilating children through their transgender ideology (an ideology that demands the state compel belief for the sake of suicidal children).

If America were not under the thumb of the progressive state media and its cultural agit prop machine, the horrors of the rise of Islam, the depravity of abortion, the anti-American values of progressivism would have been clearly shown by an Americanist press, a true free press and not a content marketing terror machine.

Were corporate media outlets to regularly show the consequence of abortion, both on the murdered child and the murdering mother, abortion would lose support overnight.

As it is, they seek to criminalize such exposure, calling the display of their work, mutilated dead babies, “hate speech,” a progressive concept that existentially threatens America’s founding principles of self-stewardship. Every woman that chooses to murder their child is now forced to protect the progressive state, for an American one would rightly shame them.

The progressive state press is NOT the free press, it is an illegal political action center that willingly and intentionally uses lies, obfuscations, and omissions of truth to demoralize the American republic and protect the depravity of the progressive state.

It is a criminal operation centrally directed. It deserves no 1st Amendment protections since it is not executing free speech, it’s executing an information terror campaign intended to destroy the republic from within.

The Progmericans, people like Trump and Vance, want to hold on to that power for themselves. They want to exapt the progressive state press to become the Progmerican state press.

The failure by the Trump administration, even in his first term, to recognize the ongoing existential threat the progressive state press poses on our Republic continues to shackle our ability to resist an enemy from within who wants us enslaved, starving, imprisoned, or dead.

Again, we suspect this is because Progmericans like Trump still hope to use that de facto state press to their own ends, for while they value nation-states over a global imperialist Empire (which is the progressive goal) and they value nation-state patriotism as a unifier of a nation, they don’t value true individual liberty, for they hope to control outcomes every bit as much as progressives do, just for more localized ends, not ecumenical ones.

The progressive state press continues to protect the Democratic Party from the proper American scrutiny it has yet to face since it first invaded our shores more than 100 years ago (maybe close to 150 years, some would rightly argue).

The progressive state press continues to make the 2026 midterm elections a moratorium on ease, not nationhood, knowing full well they are inviting anti-American demons into our house to destroy us from within.

The American people continue to choose ease at Zion over facing the hard war against progressive and Islamists insurrectionists from within, who have already claimed whole cities and states not theirs. They continue to choose cheap steak over the right to bear arms.

FURTHER RESOURCES:

Progressivism in America: Past, Present, and Future – Edited by David Woolner and Jack Thompson

American Progressivism – Edited by Ronald J. Pestritto and William J. Atto

The 2015 Election and the Power of Progressivism – A Brief History with Documents – Brett Flehinger

By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor

“Earthly civilizations come and go, but the Kingdom of God is eternal. The Word of the Lord is a civilization blueprint that transcends time, space, place, and ethnicity. For the children of God, we walk in the civilizations of both the fallen (the state) and the righteous (the Kingdom of God). One civilization is here, in full, the other is coming, though in shadow it’s already here.

“We are stewards and sojourners of the temporal civilizations, but Kings and Queens in the civilization to come, the civilization that is already among us in our hearts, the Kingdom of God.” – Paul Gordon Collier

As our civilizations collapse around us, those without roots outside of those civilizations will experience a collapse within themselves as well. Those with roots outside of those collapsing civilizations will be best equipped to be stewards of what might replace them.

As Christians, we are called to be good stewards of whatever state we find ourselves in. We have as our examples Ezekiel, Jeremiah, Esther, Mordecai, Daniel, and Joseph (and others as well).

All of these men and women of faith found themselves subject to a state that, in some way, wanted their people killed. These states were enemies of God’s children. Yet not a one of these people called on others to raise up arms to vanquish the state that wanted to destroy them and their people.

Jeremiah explicitly is given a prophecy commanding the Israelites to submit to the invaders and live well under their rule. The Israelites refuse to enter God’s rest. Instead, they drag Jeremiah to Egypt, blaming their “unrighteousness” towards the Queen of Heaven for their woes rather than their unrighteousness towards God.

They will die in Egypt, and the 10 tribes of Israel will be scattered. To this day, they have not been identified, which has led to more than 2500 years of exile from consequence of men entering their own understanding rather than God’s rest.

Ezekiel prophesized God’s Word, but never incited others to rise up and throw off the yolk they were under. He preached the words God gave him, even when God called him not to mourn for his own wife when she died, because he was to physically prophecy the indifference God held for his unrighteous bride.

Ezekiel entered God’s rest, and his words today continue to lift the body of Christ towards heaven.

Mordecai not only served his nation faithfully, without violating God’s laws, but he saved the King from an assassination plot. He saved the instrument of his peoples’ destruction from destruction.

The book of Esther never mentions God, but all who know His Word can see God moving through all Mordecai did. We can see how God confounds earthly authority, leading it to fulfill His will, no matter how obstinate that authority might be.

Mordecai entered God’s rest and God raised him up to become the second most powerful man in that same state.

Daniel’s righteousness and God-given wisdom elevated him to the second highest position in the land, yet when conspirators tricked the King into condemning him, by appealing to the King’s vanity, Daniel did not rebel or call others to do so. Instead, he put his trust in the Lord, not knowing beforehand if God would save him from the lions.

Daniel became the second most powerful man in the state before he was thrown into the Lion’s Den. Afterwards, his position was so cemented that he retained it even after that state, Babylon, fell to another state, the Persians. These same Persians would give Israel the resources needed to rebuild their temple.

Daniel entered God’s rest and became the wisdom of two states, though he never imposed his faith on either pagan state through that position, always staying within the boundaries of the state he served (so long as those boundaries did not defy God’s law).

Esther is assured by Mordecai that even if she chooses to remain a coward and not confront the King about the planned genocide of her people, another way will be provided. Mordecai knew scripture, it would seem, for he knew God would not allow his testimony, the miracle of Israel, to be blotted out by Satan’s men.

Esther entered the Rest of the Lord, risking death, knowing full well God’s will would prevail with or without her. She risked execution by the King by entering his court without his permission.

Joseph entered Egypt as a slave, then became a prisoner, going from a low position to the lowest position in the state. He stood in the prisoner’s pit symbolically the way the unrighteous after death will stand in the pit. He made no effort to escape as a slave or a prisoner. In both instances, he served his master. Potipher’s household was blessed by Joseph’s works, as was Pharoah’s prison.

Rather than rebel, Jospeh worked to bless the state he served, even while being first a slave, then a prisoner. His righteous wisdom prepared the way for his elevation from pit man to the right hand of the Pharoah. He went from slavery and imprisonment in the state to becoming the second most powerful man in the state.

It is clear to me that God ordains the state. It is not intended to be unrighteous, but where unrighteous hearts rule, no state can be righteous.

The state throughout history has been either an instrument of God’s mercy or an instrument of God’s righteousness. The magistrate is the plumbline of the people of the state.

Where righteousness prevails, so too will righteous governance. Where unrighteousness prevails, so too will unrighteous governance. The state cannot save you, for only God saves, but the state can be an instrument of wrath or mercy, depending on the consensual righteousness of the people.

No matter the model of the state, the righteousness of that state will emerge from the heart of the people, not the heart of any system (though systems can support or undermine righteous and unrighteous acts).

The power of the state is existentially rooted in its capacity to kill and harm human beings, and also its capacity to destroy resources.

There is no exception. This includes America.

The institutions of the state must facilitate all products, services, and disciplines necessary for optimal human harming and resource destroying capacity.

The state must always be an instrument of death and destruction to extend and preserve its sovereign power.

This will never change. This is the nature of the state. Without this power, the state disintegrates, often to give birth to semi-states before the next state claims sovereign power over the land.

The state is a vehicle of power for those who wish to assure success. The closer you get to the zenith of power, the more certain this principle becomes. The further you get from the zenith of power, the more the exceptions you will find.

The fear of losing fairly is the birth of the state. The fear of suffering and death is the power of the state. Your fear of suffering and death makes you a slave to the one who fears fairly losing to you.

The fear of losing fairly is the motivation for power that becomes the leadership in the state. The fear of suffering and death is the power that sustains the power of those who fear losing; these are the leaders of the state.

The fear of suffering and death is the fruit of the soul that does not put its faith in God’s rest.

Today, we Americans live in a land that is openly hostile not only to God’s laws, but to Him directly. We celebrate a woman’s “right” to choose. We chastise a whole race for the sins of their fathers, calling for the persecution of that “guilty” race.

We condemn heteronormativity, the way God intended us to be, and elevate homonormativity, the path that leads to the extermination of the human race.

Whole schools of thought in America regularly preach the message that God is a white supremacist demon that deserves to be driven from the public square.

Within the state’s mechanisms of power, we as Christians should call for righteous governance. Within the state’s mechanisms of power, we as Christians should call for traitors to be punished to the fullest extent of the law, which includes executions.

Within the state’s mechanism of power, we as Christians should call on the state to end unrighteous laws and follow only righteous ones. Esther and Mordecai used the full powers of the state to bring execution to those who would execute the Jews, for instance. But they did not seek to use those powers to overthrow the state itself.

Yet, when it is clear the power within the state to reform it to righteousness does not exist, we are yet called to continue to be good citizens of that state up to the point of defying God’s laws. Jeremiah did not try to use state power to reform the state, short of witnessing God’s word to the leaders, for he knew that power was gone, by God’s will, as a righteous punishment on the land.

Today, I believe we Christians in America still have state power we can both appeal to and bear to recalibrate our state towards the righteousness of God. But the season might soon come when we Christians might realize any state power to restore righteousness is already gone (as it was for Jeremiah).

Outside of hearing from the Lord directly, we can look at Judah in the time of Jeremiah for a plumbline of what a state under the unbreakable wrath of God looks like. While Ninevah was once given the opportunity to repent by Jonah, it was not given that opportunity under Nahum.

I will leave it for you, the reader, to assess whether we appear to be Judah under Zedekiah or under Rehoboam. Under Zedekiah, the die was cast. The option was only to submit to the righteous judgment on the land, the Babylonians, or be even more scattered than the Israelites already were. They chose the latter. Under Rehoboam, there was yet hope for Judah, who fell to the latter unrighteous reign of Solomon and the continued beginning unrighteous reign of Rehoboam.

Either way, whether we have hope as a nation through repentance or not, unless we have received a divine word from God, we should operate as if repentance can lead us back to righteousness, but not with a hope to save the state; we do so rather in the commitment, through love, to walk daily in service to the Lord, through His spirit, His Will, not our own.

America may survive or die. Tyrants may rise or fall, but the Word of the Lord endures forever, and contains the truth of the home we are traveling towards, the new heaven and the new earth, where all authority on heaven and earth will lovingly bend its knee in service to the one true sovereign, the Spirit of Lord, the God of Jacob, the arm that saves.

In these times, I encourage my fellow brothers and sisters in Christ to not give up working towards correcting the state’s unrighteousness through the state’s lawful means of doing so, but also not to put your hope in the outcome of America. For hope in America is not hope in the Rest of the Lord.

We who are in Christ are peacemakers expecting suffering and death, while welcoming the opportunity to testify to God’s glory to others by cheerfully embracing such faits. But we are not called to pursue suffering, only to know it is a necessary part of living Christ amongst his enemies, your enemies, the very people God calls us to love and serve, in righteousness, in a righteous love that rejoices in truth, not in enabling sin to please man and be accepted by him.

Civilizations come and go, but not so the Kingdom of God. No righteous person will end their days in suffering, for their days end eternally in the new heaven and new earth, and no unrighteous person will avoid true suffering by sacrificing righteousness to avoid pain and death.

As our civilizations continue to collapse, I hope you find comfort in the eternal civilization that cannot be broken or changed, the Kingdom of God, and through entering the rest of His Kingdom, you will be a better agent for righteous change in your unrighteous state.

Those who enter the rest of the Lord suffer no spiritual pain. Those who enter into their own understanding, their own way, have no rest today, nor will they have rest tomorrow. Esther entered God’s rest rather than her own clear understanding that to enter the Kings’ throne room is death. She did so with no prophetic promise, only faith, not in the outcome, but in the practice of acting righteously, even in the face of threat of suffering or death from the state.

Let us pray the Lord delivers to us a civic authority bold enough to vanquish the traitors in our land and restore righteousness but let us not put our heavenly hope in such things. We are stewards, not owners of the state God has put us in. Fear God, not men, and it will always go right with you, even amid great suffering and death.

By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor

“So Samuel told all the words of the Lord to the people who were asking for a king from him. He said, ‘These will be the ways of the king who will reign over you: he will take your sons and appoint them to his chariots and to be his horsemen and to run before his chariots.

And he will appoint for himself commanders of thousands and commanders of fifties, and some to plow his ground and to reap his harvest, and to make his implements of war and the equipment of his chariots. He will take your daughters to be perfumers and cooks and bakers. He will take the best of your fields and vineyards and olive orchards and give them to his servants.

He will take the tenth of your grain and of your vineyards and give it to his officers and to his servants. He will take your male servants and female servants and the best of your young men and your donkeys, and put them to his work.

He will take the tenth of your flocks, and you shall be his slaves. And in that day you will cry out because of your king, whom you have chosen for yourselves, but the Lord will not answer you in that day.’” – 1 Samuel 8:10-18

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Charles I may be seen as the wanna-be paradigm of the divine right of Kings, a Kingship justified by God himself, empowered by God to assert his kingdom on men by means of the magistrate’s sword. He was heavily influenced by the Catholic Kings of France who held, or sought to hold, unchecked absolute power in the land. I say wanna-be because he never attained the absolute power that he died believing he was entitled to.

The land he inherited had mostly chosen the Protestant path. While Catholicism was still strong in parts of England, most of the people had chosen some form of Protestantism. The Anglican Church, the official state church of England to this day, was the symbol of England’s rejection of papal authority over the land.

In many ways, Protestantism was a symbol of English defiance of mainland Europe. John Wycliffe was echoing Protestant values about 150 years before Martin Luther. His Lollards, men who read scripture in the English tongue rather than from the Latin Vulgate, could be seen as the forefathers of the Levellers we will see under Cromwell later.

The Levellers all knew the phrase “When Adam delved and Eve spanned, who was first the gentleman?” This phrase came from John Ball, in 1381, who rallied the people to oppose the monarchy in the failed Peasants’ Revolt (which was not so much a peasant revolt as much as it was a merchant class revolt).

John Ball was one of the fruits of John Wycliffe’s ministry.

These were men who held that all people, from the highest to the lowest, are called to learn scripture for themselves, so they printed illegal English translations of the Latin Vulgate New Testament. Wycliffe claimed his scripturally literate plowmen knew scripture better than the priests, and that, thanks to scriptural literacy, they had more wisdom than the nobles.

He was right, at least about his plowmen knowing scripture much better than not only the nobles, but also most of the priests of that time.

By Charles I’s time, the notion of a Catholic King was so anathema to the English, they passed laws expressly forbidding it. This protestant state was decidedly justified by the divine right of Kings, a rulership justified by God himself.

But unlike the Catholic Kings, this Protestant King was bounded by the parliament, not assumed to be infallible.  Rather, he was assumed to be a sinner, even as a King, in need of checks and balances on his power.

This is the world Charles inherited with his crown. As a secret Catholic, who only became more zealous as he reigned, he found himself at odds with the very people he ruled. Yet, he pressed forward in his attempt to use the state to eventually return the Pope back to power in England, all in the name of giving himself the same absolute power the Catholic Kings of France possessed.

Charles’ reign would end in his beheading and the eventual reign of another religious zealot, Oliver Cromwell. This man rose to power promising to end the divine right of Kings and create a republic still in possession of an official state church. What he created instead was a Kingship called a protectorate that failed to break the divine right of Kings paradigm. That paradigm would be broken by the turbulent reign of James II.

During his reign, the Puritans sought to use the state to make the people good Christians. While Cromwell died of natural causes as the Protectorate, his son would not long hold on to power before a new King was crowned, Charles II. In the beginning of his reign, Charles II would be more pragmatic than his father, willing to live in the Protestant paradigm.

The pragmatism wouldn’t last, however. Charles would pass off to his brother James a Kingdom riled up against Catholicism, triggered mostly by Charles’ own action.

The Restoration brought with it a very French-like King who would end his reign by dying of natural causes. His brother, James II, would follow the path of the father of both men, Charles I, seeking to use the state to force Catholicism on a Protestant people.

He would end his reign after only three years. He would die in exile, in France, 13 years after being deposed.

With the glorious revolution, William and Mary would take the crown, but their reign was not based on the divine right of Kings, it was based on popular sovereignty. Royal blood justifies candidacy for the crown, but the crown’s power is not justified by it.

The power of the state was legitimized by popular sovereignty, the Will of the People, whose King was bounded by that will as well. The King was the final magisterial authority, but only within the bounds of the will of the people, as reflected through parliament.

The King can no longer use the state to make good Christians, but he is expected to defend the Anglican church. The church’s membership, though, is no longer mandatory, but it is important nonetheless, for its existence gives the state its other justification for existence, a nation whose God is the Lord.

This is why the monarch’s first duty is to defend the church, for the state church justifies the state without forcing itself on its citizens. The church itself, then, becomes subject to popular sovereignty, for, consensually, the church could die by non-participation.

There is no divine right of Kings, there is only Popular Sovereignty. Only for a Christian people is it important for the state to declare God is the Lord. Through popular sovereignty, that god can change, or be removed altogether. Thus, the real power behind the British state is popular sovereignty, not the nation whose God is the Lord.

Even to this day, the British state’s ultimate authority is the King, without which the state would theoretically dissolve, but that King’s authority is now so muted the moment the King asserts real power he is most likely going to lose it.

He is a vestige of the Popular Sovereignty Monarchy that replaced the Divine Right of Kings. Now, England stands on the precipice of civilizational change again, their King no longer even declaring to be the protector of the Anglican church.

The English Civil War began as a rebellion against the infallibility of Kings, but not against the divine right of the magistrate itself (as opposed to the King). It was not a rebellion against a nation whose God is the Lord, it was a rebellion against a state whose God was not their God.

Cromwell would quickly prove he was no less inclined to use the state to force people to believe in his God than Charles I was. While Charles II did not press the theological issue through the state, James II did, and, as a result, what began as an argument about which God the state forces on others ended with a de facto secular state.

The death of the Divine Right of Kings civilization would be replaced by the Popular Sovereignty state. The latter would exapt many features from the former and create new features itself. Some features would not survive. The nature of the English state had fundamentally changed.

The birth of the “modern” state of England had occurred, just in time for it to begin to build its global Empire. It is this state that birthed America. It is this state’s birth we will witness, from the beheading of Charles I to the ascension of William and Mary.

What follows is first the Summary of the key events from 1629 to 1689, then the Analysis of the transition. This report will end with a Final Assessment.

  1. THE REGICIDE OF CHARLES I

The end of the Divine Right of Kings begins with a man who wanted to Make England Catholic Again. That King was Charles I. His struggle for absolute power would trigger what I am calling the third major civil war of England.

The first civil war was in the 12th century, during the tumultuous reign of Stephen I. This period is called The Anarchy. The second civil war was in the 15th century, 200 years before Charles I’s reign. These ongoing struggles between the House of Lancaster and the House of York came to be called the Wars of the Roses.

Two civil wars will be fought under Charles, leading to his eventual execution and the creation of a Cromwell-led Puritan state.

The beginning of the end for Charles began when he tried to rebel against the Protestant shackles placed upon him by the Parliament. This was only 4 years into his reign.

  1. THE PERSONAL RULE – 1629-1640 – In March of 1629, Charles I made the decisive move to dissolve the pesky parliament. This began the period called either “The Personal Rule” of Charles or “Eleven Years’ Tyranny.”

The dissolution came as the parliament was becoming less inclined to give Charles the funds he requested, but more significantly, the parliament was becoming increasing suspicious of Charles’ stealth Catholicism.

Charles raised funds as he needed them, using “creative solutions,” including extending “ship money” inland in 1635. This was a de facto tax to be paid either with ships or the money to build the ships.

In addition to pressing the nation for revenue, Charles also continued to attempt to slowly nudge England back into the Catholic orbit. He continued to make “reforms” under Archbishop William Laud that triggered an act of defiance by Scotland and the emergence of the heart of the resistance to come, the Puritans.

In 1638, Scotland signed “The National Covenant,” which was a formal rebuke of Charles’ “reforms.”

By 1640, Charles would run out of revenue-raising gimmicks, in large part thanks to what has come to be known as “The Bishops Wars.” Due to these wars, Charles needed to recall the parliament to get revenue.

  1. THE BISHOP’S WARS – 1639-1640 – After Scotland passed the National Convention in defiance of Charles’ religious reforms, Charles chose to double down and attempt to force the Scottish church to become Episcopal, or Bishop-run, as opposed to Presbyterian, or elder-run. In addition to this dramatic “reform,” he also required the church to use the English Prayer Book.

Scotland revolted from English rule, forcing the English to retreat. Now, Charles had to return to London, hat in hand, asking the parliament he ignored for 11 years to fund his religious war, a war most of Protestant England would have opposed.

In April 1640, Charles recalled the parliament to get funds for the war; however, he failed to make a deal, refusing mostly to compromise on the parliament’s religious demands. Three weeks later, the parliament would earn its name, the Short Parliament, when Charles dissolved it once again.

Without more funds, Charles yet pressed on to invade Scotland, only to be rebuffed soundly. After the Scottish army occupied Newcastle, Charles was forced to negotiate, returning to London once again, hat in hand, recalling Parliament to get revenue to fight the Scottish in a religious war few Protestant English would have supported.

  1. THE LONG PARLIAMENT – 1640-1641 – In November 1640 Charles I would once again convene Parliament. What he could not know is that this parliament would last longer than he would live. The Long Parliament, as it has become to be known, would exist, with a few interruptions, until 1660.

This time, the Parliamentarians were ready. They began by securing the right to dissolve themselves by simply refusing to be dismissed by the King. They would immediately pass the Triennial Act, which required Parliament to be recalled minimally every three years.

Then, they moved against Charles’ closest advisors, seeking to destroy Charles’ power structure during his Personal Rule. Their top target was Thomas Wentworth, the Earl of Strafford, Charles’ closet advisor, and the one most blamed for advising Charles to push so aggressively to force the English back into the Catholic Church.

In May of 1641, Wentworth was impeached by the Long Parliament. He was shortly then executed. Upon news of his execution, the Irish Catholics rebelled. The question looming was this, who should be trusted to lead the armies to quell the rebellion? The Parliamentarians didn’t want that leader to be the King.

On October 23, 1641, the Irish Catholic Rebellion began in Ulster. It spread fast, and it spread far and wide. News publishing was becoming more widespread during this time. Much of it was sensational, mostly produced by partisans using news to support their faction. These publishers were called pamphleteers, for they printed pamphlets.

The relaxation of printer regulations and licensing, along with increased literacy, and the increasingly lowering cost of printing due to evolving technologies created the perfect environment for the creation of the news industry we mostly have today.

The news coming out of Ireland was of slaughter. The English read stories of brutal slayings of their fellow countrymen, which inflamed the Protestant English against the Irish Catholics.

  1. THE FIRST CIVIL WAR – 1641-1646 – Rather than hand over the army to Charles, the Long Parliament passed a “Grand Remonstrance,” which effectively hamstrung Charles’ ability to both raise funds and take the head of the army.

In January of 1642, Charles attempted to quell the Long Parliament revolt by arresting five key members of the group. He entered the House of Commons with armed guards, seeking to arrest the “Five Members,” but failed to do so. He hastily left London, but he was already plotting his next move.

Charles would gather his wits in Nottingham, assessing his power. By August of that same year, Charles was ready to move. He raised the Royal Standard in Nottingham, declaring war on the Long Parliament.

Both sides had early victories, but the successful siege of the naval stronghold of Portsmouth by the Parliamentarians was the more impressive victory. The first major battle, however, the Battle of Edgehill in October 1642, would prove to be indecisive.

The Parliamentarians became known as the “Roundheads,” while the Royalists became known as the Cavaliers.

The war was largely indecisive throughout 1643, but it took a decisive turn on September 1643 when the Parliamentarians signed the Solemn League and Covenant with the Scottish Covenanters. During this time, a Parliamentarian named Oliver Cromwell was rising in the ranks, proving himself again and again on the battlefield.

In 1644, the Parliamentarians would win a decisive battle at Marsdon Moor. Cromwell would play a pivotal role in the battle, earning himself a promotion to Lieutenant General of Horse as a result.

It was this promotion that would enable Cromwell to lead the Parliamentarians to another decisive victory at the Battle of Naseby. That victory would come only after the formation of the New Model Army in February 1645. Cromwell was a significant contributor to that new formation. The army would be led by Sir Thomas Fairfax, with Cromwell serving as second in command.

Four months later, Cromwell would lead the New Model Army to the great victory at Naseby, where the strength of the Royalists was broken.

The rest of the First Civil War was largely a retreat by the Royalists, leading to Charles fleeing as an exiled King to Cornwall, the Royalists’ last stronghold. In May 1646, Charles surrendered to Scottish forces, effectively ending the First Civil War.

  1. SECOND CIVIL WAR – 1647-1649 – About eight months after Charles surrendered to the Scots, efforts at negotiations broke down. This led the Scots to turn Charles over to Parliament on January 30, 1647. Parliament put him on house arrest at the Holdenby House in Northamptonshire.

Charles would catch a potential lucky break when the presbyterian branch of the coalition grew to distrust the New Model Army, dominated as it was the Puritans. In March 1647, Presbyterian MPs lead a vote to dismantle the New Model Army. The New Model Army politely declined the request.

In June of 1647, Cornet George Joyce would go to Holdenby to secure the great prize, Charles, for the Parliamentarians. The King was taken by force from Holdenby and sent, eventually, to Hampton Court. The Army issued two official documents, The Solemn Engagement and the Heads of Proposals. The later would have kept Charles as King, but with less power.

Presbyterian mobs intimidated Parliament to vote their way, which led to the New Model Army taking London, and restoring Independent MPs by force. Charles considered the Heads of the Proposals, but ultimately, he would reject it in August 1647.

From October to early November, a schism formed within the New Model Army between the army officers and the rank and file that came to be called The Levellers. These men wanted the complete dissolution of the monarchy. They still repeated John Ball’s famous Peasants’ War cry, “When Adam dwelled and Eve spanned, who was first the gentleman?”

The officers wanted to preserve the monarchy while the Levellers wanted a clean break, and the creation of a new Constitution (the Agreement of the People). A series of debates happened, some of which involved Cromwell, called the Putney Debates. They were interrupted when King Charles escaped Hampton Court on November 11, 1647.

Charles settled into a new exile on the Isle of Wight. He holed himself up in Carlsbrooke Castle, under the care and protection of Colonel Robert Hammond.

Parliament passed a series of proposals aimed at preserving Charles’ crown, but Charles rejected them all. They were called The Four Bills.

While Parliament was negotiating with Charles, he was also signing secret deals with a faction within the Scottish Covenanters (aka the Engagers). The plan was to restore Charles in exchange for Charles establishing a Presbyterian model for the Church of England.

In January 1648, Parliament passed the Vote of No Address, which formally ended all negotiations with the King. They also dissolved the army’s General Council, leaving the Parliamentarians in a limbo state.

While Charles continued to muster resources for the planned war, the Parliamentarians were dealing with turmoil from within. Some soldiers even declared for the King. There was unrest in multiple Parliamentarian towns, with the Royalists successfully taking Berwick and Carlisle in April 1648.

In May of that same year, the New Model Army decisively beat a much larger Royalist Army at the Battle of St. Fagans. This broke the Royalist Army in South Wales.

In June, Royalists would gain Kent and significant castles. Part of the fleet also mutinied, declaring for the King.

The war turned in August 1648 when Cromwell led an assault on Royalist forces at the Battle of Preston. Over the course of three days, the Royalists were effectively broken,

On September 15, 1649, the Treaty of Newport was signed by the parliament and the King. The parliament was still dominated by Presbyterians, who began renegotiating terms with King Charles. The army responded in November of the same year, declaring Charles must be brought to justice as a “man of blood.” They issue the “Remonstrance of the Army.”

  1. CHARLES EXECUTED – 1649 – On December 1, 1648, the army moved decisively once again to take the prize, Charles, removing him from Carlsbrooke and taking him to Hurst Castle. Five days later, the Commons voted to approve the King’s concessions in the parliament negotiations, saying his concessions were enough for a settlement.

The next day, the army arrived, with Colonel Thomas Pride and his soldiers, who barred presbyterian MPs from entering the House of Commons. They also arrested 45 MPs. After they were done with their purges, all that was left was the Rump Parliament, which was dominated by Independents, all willing, able, and ready to put the King on trial. This event would come to be called “Pride’s Purge.”

From January 20-27 the trial of King Charles I was held. The King spent the majority of the trial refusing to acknowledge the authority of the court. At the end, Charles was convicted for being “a tyrant, traitor, murderer and public enemy.”

59 commissioners signed the death warrant. One of those signatures was a late edition, Oliver Cromwell. He had already become one of the core leaders. He was also already recognized as being their best orator. He was not an early supporter of the trial, let alone the death sentence, but eventually he chose to sign the warrant.

On January 30, 1649, Charles I of England was executed at Whitehall. Immediately after the execution, the Rump Parliament outlawed any declarations of kingship to any would-be successor.

From February to March 1649, the Rump Parliament passed a series of bills that abolished the monarchy, ordered executions of two key royalists, and created the Commonwealth of England.

  1. CROMWELL AND THE PROTECTORATE
  2. THE COMMONWEALTH AND THE THIRD CIVIL WAR – 1649-1651 – The Commonwealth period was dominated by two wars, both led by Cromwell. After the declaration of the Commonwealth, Cromwell took the head of the New Model Army and sailed to Ireland, where he would subdue the Irish, while becoming one of the most hated men to Irish Catholics to this day.

His brutal treatment of civilians during sieges is where the brunt of the critique hits. Historians are debating to this day whether that reputation was earned or not.

Cromwell returned, victorious, only to have to fight Charles I’s son, Charles II. He invaded Scotland in May 1650, scoring an early victory over the Scots at the Battle of Dunbar. On January 1, 1651, Charles II was declared King of Scotland. On September 3, 1651, Charles II met Cromwell at the Battle of Worcester. He was soundly defeated and sent into exile.

This marks the end of the Third Civil War.

  1. THE RUMP PARLIAMENT – 1652-1654 – On October 9, 1651, the Rump Parliament passed the Navigation Act, which was aimed at its main trade rivals, the Dutch. This will trigger a naval war with the Dutch. By late 1651, there were no wars or upheavals, though the nature of the Commonwealth remained undefined.

That peace would end on May 19, 1652, with a clash between English and Dutch ships at the Battle of Goodwin Sands. On July 10, the English completed their declaration of war against the Dutch.

In August of that same year, Army officers lobbied for new representation to the Rump Parliament. They respond by passing the Settlement of Ireland Act, which confiscated land and property from Catholics. Scotland also recognized the authority of the Commonwealth.

While the war went badly for the English, at home, the Rump Parliament was debating what form of government they should have; this also included debates on what kind of state church and religious rules the new government should have. The debates proffered nothing final, so the Commonwealth entered 1653 still at war with the Dutch, who briefly controlled the English Channel. The Commonwealth itself was still an unformed government.

The Battle of Portland in February 1653 would turn the tide in the first Anglo-Dutch War. This was followed up with another victory at Gabbard. The English then blockaded Dutch ports.

On April 20, 1653, Oliver Cromwell had run out of patience with the indecisive Rump Parliament. He brought an armed guard with him to the House of Commons. He declared to the MPs, “You have sat too long for any good you have been doing.” He promptly dissolved the Rump Parliament.

In July of that same year, the First Anglo-Dutch War saw its last major military engagement, and peace talks started.

Cromwell did not trust a general election, so he kept a Nominated Assembly, the Barebones Parliament, none of which were elected. They were 140 nominated MPs. The Barebones Parliament represented the Long Parliament, so no elections were required to be called. It was named after Praise-God Barebone, one of the nominated members.

Cromwell hoped this parliament would form a constitution, but it quickly splintered into major groups, the moderates and the radicals. The radicals were the Puritans, who wanted to radically restrict catholic religious practice, and any practice associated with it.

Moderates feared what the radicals might do, so on December 12, 1653, they dissolved the parliament. On December 13, 1653, John Lambert wrote the “Instrument of Government,” which is England’s first written constitution. Cromwell added some amendments, but ultimately accepted the constitution.

  1. THE PROTECTORATE – 1654-1658 – From January to February 1654, the Protectorate was established throughout the land, including in Scotland and Ireland. Oliver Cromwell was declared the Lord Protector. The protectorate issued an ordinance that made criticizing the government potentially treasonous. The Engagement Oath, an oath to the Commonwealth that was required of all citizens, was also repealed via ordinance.

The Protectorate created the Commission of Triers, which was a national religious regulating body that selected clergy. This institution was mostly Puritan. They had zero tolerance for Bishops and other “extreme” sects, but otherwise practiced protestant, non-episcopal, tolerance.

On April 5, 1654, the First Anglo-Dutch War ended. A key part of the treaty was a secret agreement between the Dutch and the Protectorate to assure a young Prince of Orange would not attain any meaningful office.

By the end of 1654, the Protectorate had put down a rebellion in Scotland, avoided an assassination attempt on Cromwell, but settled with its first written constitution. There was scarcely a person satisfied with it, though.

It had also ended a successful war with the Dutch, one that established England as a world naval power, which would be the source of its Empire to come.

For the next two years, the Protectorate fought a war with the Spanish in the Americas, numerous Royalists uprisings, and the onslaught of Puritan religious rules that included blasphemy acts, acts against drinking, alehouse prohibitions, shutting down race meetings, and more.

It was empowered during this time by the Rule of the Major Generals. Cromwell divided the country up into five military districts, assigning army officers to govern the land. These were the men willing to enforce the largely unpopular laws.

In January 1657 an attempt to make the Rule of the Major Generals permanent failed, and the experiment itself was ended when the Parliament refused to fund the Major Generals.

By May 1657, Oliver Cromwell had already lost much of his vitality, yet the Parliament would offer Cromwell the Crown. He would decline, but he accepted a revised constitution that expanded his executive powers.

1657 would see the parliament pass numerous religious laws, restricting everything from how you travel to what kinds of clothing can be worn. They passed laws criminalizing speech that MIGHT seem “popish” in nature.

On June 26, 1657, Parliament passed an “Act for the better observation of the Lord’s Day.”

The act included a list of activities and establishments that had to be shut down and banned on the Lord’s Day. This included banning “keepers leaving doors ordinarily opened,” shutting down using boats, horses, or sedans, except to worship, and even prohibiting having wakes.

On that same day, they passed an “Act for punishing persons who live at high rates with no visible estate, profession, or calling.”

The Anglo-Spanish War ended in June 1658, with the Battle of Dunes. It would result in England being given Dunkirk. This would be the last good news Cromwell would hear. On September 3, 1658, Oliver Cromwell died, having handed over his office to his son, Richard, who would not hold on to the Protectorate for long.

  1. THE FALL OF THE PROTECTORATE – 1658-1660 – Oliver Cromwell left his 31-year-old son, Richard, a Protectorate facing a debt of more than 2 million pounds, along with a disgruntled army. He was entering into military culture, having not led troops into battle and existing mostly as a country gentleman until his appointment.

While the ceremony looked smooth, the knives were out for Cromwell the moment he took the office of Protectorate. On November 23, 1658, the Protectorate held a state funeral for Oliver Cromwell. The funeral was similar to the one held for Kings. It became apparent that it also added significantly to the debt. Six days later, Parliament was recalled to raise funds to pay the debt.

On January 27, 1659, the Third Protectorate Parliament met. The new parliament had a second House just called The House, or The Other House, which has a mix of adversaries to the Protectorate, including crypto-Royalists.

The rivalry between the two houses became apparent almost immediately, with indecision and lack of a clear winner continuing as weeks turned into months. It was during this period of time that Richard’s hold on power waned, as he demonstrated over and over an unwillingness to move decisively while the power against him and the Protectorate grew.

By May 1659, Richard could see the writing on the wall. He agreed to dissolve the Protectorate and hand over power to the army. The Rump Parliament was recalled. They declared the government to be a Commonwealth without a King, single person, or House of Lords. Thus, the protectorate was no more. Richard would leave England near the end of 1660, living in Europe until his return in 1680; he did so under an assumed name, John Clarke. He would die in Hertfordshire in 1712, having lived the quiet life of a country gentleman the last 32 years of his life.

  1. THE RESTORATION TO THE GLORIOUS REVOLUTION – 1660-1689

On May 8, 1660, Charles II landed on English soil at Dover. 21 days later he arrived in London, where he was crowned King of England. The Commonwealth and The Protectorate were over, but parts of them would survive in the new iteration of monarchy.

  1. CHARLES II – THE WARRING YEARS – 1661-1677 – Charles began his reign by having the corpse of Oliver Cromwell dug up so they could “execute” him for the crime of regicide. The new parliament, called The Cavalier Parliament, was dominated by Royalists. They passed a series of laws over the next four years called the Clarendon Code, which aimed at keeping “Nonconformists” (such as the Puritans) out of power.

In 1665, Charles found himself at war with the Dutch. The Second Anglo-Dutch War was fought mostly for the same reasons as the last, over trade and prestige, but this time a third element was a factor, colonies in the New World.

The war ended in 1667 with the Treaty of Breda. The English won a major concession, New Amsterdam, which would later become New York City. But the cost of the war was high, and near the end of the war the Dutch managed to raid the river Thames on English soil. They captured major English ships of war in the Chatham docks in what has come to be called the Raid on the Medway.

In 1670, Charles made a series of secret treaties with France that committed England to fight the Dutch again; in exchange, Charles would get financial and military support. Included in that agreement was a pledge by Charles to convert to Roman Catholicism. Charles was moving towards becoming a crypto-catholic.

In 1672, the Third Anglo-Dutch War began. This time, the English were fighting the Dutch to support the French Catholic cause. The people did not support the war, nor, even, did the pro-Royalist, but decidedly Anglican parliament.

The move by Charles triggered the Cavalier parliament to pass the Test Act in March 1673. This act required all civil and military officeholders to essentially publicly rebuke Catholicism and take the Anglican pledge. The parliament also demanded Charles end the war, which happened in 1674 through the Treaty of Westminster.

  1. CHARLES II – THE EXCLUSION CRISIS – 1678-1685 – Charles was, by now, a crypto-Catholic. He tipped his hand by going to war with the Dutch in support of the Catholic cause. His brother, James, was a Catholic. The pamphleteers, the newspapers of their day, ran with a story told by Titus Oates.

He told the story of a plot by Catholics to assassinate Charles and put his younger brother, the Catholic James, on the throne. It quickly became the hottest read in the country. It triggered an anti-Catholic hysteria that led to the executions of 20-35 people. The story was completely made up.

While the story was made up, James was a real Catholic who could really succeed Charles to throne.

In May 1679, Parliament passed the Habeas Corpus Act, intended to prevent arbitrary arrest and unlawful imprisonment. It was an attempt to curtail Charles’ arresting powers before he ever used them, and many were sure he would.

From 1679-1681, three parliaments in a row attempted to use legislative power to prevent Catholic James from succeeding Charles. Each time, Charles dissolved the parliament. This has come to be called “The Exclusion Crisis.”

During this period of time, political parties began to emerge. On one side were the Whigs, and on the other sides were the Torries. The Whigs are gone, but the Tory Party still exists (though it’s now on what looks like its last legs).

The Whigs were the exclusionists. Their name came from a Sottish word used for “rebels” or “cattle drivers.” It was an unflattering term, but it stuck. The Torries were opposed to excluding James. They were originally called Abhorrers, but soon came to be called the Tories, which was an Irish word meaning Catholic outlaw or bandit. It was an unflattering term, but it stuck.

Charles dissolved the Oxford Parliament in April 1681. It would be the last time he called parliament. He was subsidized by the French King, Louis XIV. Two years later, a plot would be uncovered to assassinate both Charles and James. This time the story was real. The plotters were Whigs. This is called “The Rye House Plot.”

The plotters intended on killing Charles and James together on their way to see the horse races coming from Westminster to Newmarket. The plan was thwarted by a major fire in Newmarket that decimated half the town, cancelling the horse races.

Scores of Whig leaders were executed, with a few hanged, drawn and quartered. The highest-ranking person executed was Sir Thomas Armstrong, who was also a member of Parliament. Another member of parliament, Lord William Russell, was beheaded.

Other members of parliament were arrested. The 1st Earl of Essex, Arthor Capell, cut his throat, committing suicide while on trial in the Tower of London.

Charles had many health issues throughout his adult life, but they began to worsen towards the end of 1684. On February 6, 1685, Charles died, just five days after he had taken another turn for the worst.

Despite every effort to stop it, including a plot to murder both Charles and James, the younger Catholic brother would take the crown. James II became the English Catholic King. Let the reader note Charles converted to Catholicism on his death bed, though he was, indeed, a practicing crypto-Catholic.

  1. JAMES II – 1685-1689 – The reign of James II began with a rebellion, the Monmouth Rebellion. It would last for 3 months, from May to July of 1685. It was led by the illegitimate, but Protestant, son of Charles II, James Scott. He was the Duke of Monmouth. The rebellion ended at the Battle of Sedgemoor. This would be the last major battle on English soil up to present time.

After the battle, Monmouth was executed. What followed was called “The Bloody Assizes.” Hundreds of rebels were executed, others were deported to the Caribbean, where they would be pressed into hard labor.

James’ reading of the room was not good, as can be seen by his decision in 1686 to essentially veto the Test Act. He not only vetoed the Test Act, but he also appointed Catholics as officers in the army and as royal administrators. He followed this up with the Declaration of Indulgence in 1687, removing all restrictions on Catholics.

This Declaration of Indulgence required the Anglican Bishops to read the Declaration out loud to their congregations. In June of 1688, two things happened that sealed James’ fate, one was the birth of a son, an heir to the Catholic crown, and the other was the trial of the seven bishops.

The birth of his son, James Francis Edward, coincided with seven bishops openly refusing to read the Declaration of Indulgence to their congregations. James had them arrested and charged, but the jury failed to convict them. The seven bishops went free, and this emboldened the rebels plotting against James.

  1. THE GLORIOUS REVOLUTION – Do you remember the secret deal Charles I made with the Dutch at the end of the First Anglo-Dutch War? The deal Charles made in secret was that the Dutch would stop a certain young man from gaining prominent office.

That young man was William of Orange; he would lead a Dutch fleet and army to invade England and depose the Catholic King. He had ships and 15,000 soldiers. It was November of 1688, the Glorious Revolution had begun.

William brought along with him his wife, Mary II. She was the real prize, for she was the King’s estranged daughter. William and Mary were invited by seven powerful English politicians, known as “The Immortal Seven.” They sent a secret message to William, promising him support from the English people should he depose James.

When James heard of William’s landing at Devon, he eventually escaped to France, but only after being briefly captured. On February 1689, the newly convened Parliament offered William III and Mary II the crown of England. In April of that same year they were crowned. They were not formally decreed by Parliament as King and Queen until February 1689.

There is a cost for the crown, and that cost is real power. William and Mary accepted the Declaration of Rights, a precursor to the American constitution. It gives the parliament supreme power, and it also excludes Catholics from the crown.

Blood would be shed, through the Williamite War and the Jacobite Rising, but all rebellions would be effectively ended within a few months. On December 16, 1689, the Constitutional Monarchy was established, with Parliament also issuing the Bill of Rights, which was a precursor to our American Bill of Rights.

The 1689 Tolerance Act was also passed. This allowed religious freedom, but only to those who pledged allegiance to the crown.

William and Mary were the constitutional protestant monarchs of England, Scotland and Ireland. The Protestant Constitutional Monarchy became the model of government that would eventually conquer the world, or nearly 1/3 of it. Less than 20 years after the Glorious Revolution, the fruit of the transition would bear the nation’s new name, Great Britian.

  1. ANALYSIS

This is a comparison of the state of England’s major institutions at the start of our 60-year survey, 1629, and 1689, at the end of it.

  1. EDUCATION – The basic education structures of 1629 continued to exist in 1689. Education was tailored around serving two classes, the landed gentry and the clergy. There were two Universities, Oxford and Cambridge, both of which were tied to the Oxford Church. There were two main public schools, Eton and Westminster. The few small public schools outside of Eton and Westminster were not part of the gentry-clergy pipeline, which was controlled by the Anglican Church.

While the bones of the system hadn’t changed, the center of education had. While study in Latin and classical rhetoric continued to be the backbone of the institution, Aristotle and Scholasticism was replaced with Empiricism.

The world in natural philosophy had to conform to scripture, where now the world had to conform to scientific inquiry. In 1620, Francis Bacon’s Novum Organum was published. The book began the process of institutionalizing the scientific method as the primary source for understanding the world.

While this may have not been Bacon’s intent (it wasn’t), it’s where his revolutionary articulation of the use of inductive reasoning (discovering high principles through particular investigations) in a truth verifying process (the scientific method) ended.

Bacon wanted to show how the discovery of materiality would affirm Romans 1:20. He didn’t want to transfer the source of wisdom from God to the ground.

This process began in the Education institutions before 1629, but it was dramatically accelerated with the creation of the Royal Society in 1660. This society became the arbiter of education, and it brought with it Empiricism as its standard bearer.

At the end of 1689, another change happened because of the Glorious Revolution that would further transfer the foundation for wisdom from the revelatory, God’s Word, to materiality, Empiricism. These education “reforms” put even more of an emphasis on “practical”, scientific, and “modern subjects,” driving classical studies further into the background.

The transition not only produced substantive change in and of itself, but it also set the groundwork for even more substantive change just through following the empirical direction the transition had created.

  1. CULTURE – The two dominant influences on English culture both in 1629 and 1689 were the King James Bible and William Shakespeare’s plays. The expression of English culture was increasingly through the pamphleteers and print in general. High culture flowed through London, and it served the landed gentry and the aristocracy.

Another key similarity, which was not shaken, even during Charles II’s and James II’s reigns, was the dominance of Protestant culture in 1629 through to 1689. Outside of these similarities, culture took a wild ride during this period. It started off dominated by high culture.

Under the Puritans, it became austere, with much of it going underground to avoid a fine, or worse. Under Charles II, culture became libertine, almost vulgar. William and Mary would restore sobriety, without becoming austere, or returning to high culture dominance.

One key difference in Protestant culture from Catholic culture is the presumption of both the right and the responsibility of the individual to account for his own belief and understanding of the gospel.

The Catholic presumed that this responsibility laid with the governing body of the church. Theirs was but to follow what the church leaders instructed them to do. The Protestant presumed the individual had a responsibility, and a right, to account for his own understanding of the gospel, though not to do so outside of church guidance.

Another key difference between the Catholic and the Protestant was the notion of collective salvation versus individual salvation. This is a complex divide, and I won’t attempt to badly explain it through brevity. While it is not as cut and dried as “collective salvation versus individual salvation,” the difference tends to create a sense of more collective imperative in the Catholic mindset versus a more individual imperative in the Protestant mindset.

The 99 saved sheep are not fully saved without the one lost sheep in the Catholic system (sort of). The 99 sheep are fully saved without the one lost sheep in the Protestant system. It is perhaps this presumed fact that prevented the Catholic Kings from transforming England to a Catholic nation. They underestimated how “Protestant” the English had become in only one century.

One trend that started before 1629, but became dominant by Cromwell’s Protectorate, was the development of what has become our modern political discourse (thought the French Revolution was to calcify it).

In much the same way we now struggle to adjust to the parameters that social media places on human being, so too did the English struggle to adjust to the parameters set by having near-daily paper production of content based on events as recent as a day ago.

This is what some experienced who lived in big cities where pamphleteers were printing their news daily to an audience they could reach in public markets.

Villages and rural farms could get news within a week of it happening from as far away as two or three counties. If the news was hot enough, they could get it sometimes as far away as the other side of the country.

  1. PHILOSOPHY – When evaluating the philosophy institution, I am assessing it based on the prevailing and applied schools of thought, not the schools of thought we look back at as the most advanced philosophical thought (unless that “advanced” thought rapidly becomes prevalent as well).

In 1620, Francis Bacon’s Novum Organum was published. This work becomes the standard, the orthodoxy, by 1689. In 1629, Bacon was changing the most elite classrooms. In 1689, Bacon was in the bones of the children before they ever sat down to learn.

Around this time, Thomas Hobbes showed up in the historical record, most notably for an English translation of Thucydides where he shared governing concepts through the introduction that would come to fruition in his Leviathan. This treatise on political theory both contributed to creating the paradigms for such discourse and setting the groundwork for the emergence of a truly “secular state.”

By 1689, Hobbes was feted in the elite classrooms, but no-one in 1689 was calling for the creation of a secular state. After all, England’s justification for rule comes first through being a nation whose God is the Lord, reflected in the state church.

Unlike the past state church, however, this church allowed for the people to reject it by removing compulsory membership in the church. However, the state must have a church, for a state must be one whose God is the Lord; therefore, the King must be Anglican, for the King’s primary job is to defend the state church, which is now the People’s church.

The year of the Glorious Revolution marked the debut of John Locke’s Two Treatises of Government. This book is the fruit of Bacon and Hobbes, but goes further than both. Yet Locke’s government model still rests its assumption that “natural rights” are only rights if they are given to us by God, and that God would be Protestant.

Locke grounds the rational in a presumption of God as the source for rationality itself. Without God, the justification for rational thought dies. Yet, in Locke’s model, government is driven primarily by rational thought framed within the boundaries of the agency given to every human by God, which is the capacity to choose, which is free will.

In this writer’s opinion, philosophy as the head of human understanding becomes a semantic justification for rulership. Well before 1629, philosophy had gone from serving the lesser science to becoming a leading science itself. Philosophy was more of a tool within theology, for instance, than a tool to question theology itself (unless it was being done dialectically, which it was commonly done, even up to 1629).

In 1629, philosophy as a justification for rule was hedged by this underlying assumption, the Divine Right of Kings. The arguments concerned the degree to which the King should have power and the degree the church should have power (in addition to which church).

The argument didn’t shift, materially, noticeably, until Charles I lost his head. Then suddenly, the English were adrift in a new paradigm. Cromwell and his parliaments struggled to come up with an answer, but they were so far outside their element, they had no clear response.

So England stumbled back to the King, and still barely holds on to him today (though not for the same reason).

William and Mary, though, were not coming back by divine right. They were invited by the people, through the “Immortal Seven.” Their primary task was to defend the church, which sustains a nation whose God is the Lord, but whom itself is accountable to the people, who can freely choose not to participate in it.

The justification for English Rule is the will of the people. The main calibrator of governance understanding is empirical natural law. God still justifies that natural law, but that natural law itself allows open defiance of God.

  1. WORLD POLICY – The differences in England’s world policy between 1629 and 1689 may not seem all that much, but the groundwork that had been laid in those 60 years was about to change everything about it.

Technically, when William and Mary took the crown, the policy was already radically different, though immediately, before policy makes institutions, no one would have noticed.

England’s standing on the world stage was already on the ascendancy, thanks in large part to its wars with the Dutch. But the difference in status between 1629 and 1689 was not profound. After all, England had beaten the Dutch twice, withdrew the third time, but had won concessions every single time. Yet the Dutch, through William, just invaded England and installed a Protestant Queen, Mary II.

After Charles II turned England into a Catholic ally with the French, the Dutch had now turned a powerful French ally into what would become a powerful enemy of France. But again, in 1689, this wasn’t so apparent, not even in the court.

William would take with him a new approach to continental (western Europe) diplomacy. He relied on having continental projection of military power. In the Anglo-Dutch wars, the English Navy had more than proven itself, and showed England how valuable naval power was, especially with the discovery of the New World.

William was colonial-minded when he took the helm of England, but in 1689, William was busy quelling internal upheaval. By 1690, the wheels were put in motion that would transform England to Great Britain. No one saw it in 1689, but the transition from 1629 to 1689 had already made that reality a near inevitability.

William and Mary may have taken the crown in 1689 with a foreign policy mostly like what it was in 1629, but in point of fact it was already radically changed. Now, Catholic France would have a Protestant rival to the title of world’s greatest empire. It was a battle the Protestants would win.

England as the primary identity of the Kingdom would change on May 1, 1707, under the Acts of Union, just 18 years after William and Mary became the sovereigns of a Protestant Constitutional Monarchy whose God is the Lord.

They would become the Kingdom of Great Britain, bringing the Scots, the Irish, and the Welsh into a world empire-building identity. The British men and women were born, and in the hearts and minds of William and Mary, in 1689, that fact was practically already accomplished.

  1. ECONOMY – The underlying economic philosophy of England would not change from 1629 to 1689. That change was a hundred or so years ahead. For now, mercantilism began this transition, and mercantilism ended this transition.

The key principles of mercantilism (which is not an economic school of thought itself) is that the market’s primary purpose is to serve the state, and all trade must be zero-sum, meaning the only good trading is one where you export more than your rivals import.

Import is a form of colonialism, or at least an advanced guard for your rivals into your sacred spaces, your life-giving markets, the lifeblood of the state.

Agrarian production was the primary driver of revenue in 1629, and it continued to be in 1689.

But in 1629, agrarian production was mostly domestic. By 1689, it still was, but now, a significant minority of production was from the colonies abroad, and even more was coming from the opening of trade with Asia.

England’s lessons about naval power translated to trade. A series of laws called the Navigation Acts (between 1651 and 1663) assured that England MUST rely on English sailors for its trade goods, both sending out and bringing in. These laws alone did much to transition England to a world naval power by 1689.

In 1629, the medieval monopolies with their guild and apprentice system were largely still in place. People were mostly born into their occupations. By 1689, that had largely changed

Again, some of the difference were not seen yet, but underneath, even more radical differences were coming, just through the expansion of colonies and other trade, all accompanied by powerful English ships to protect them.

One of those changes coming would be the Bank of England, created in 1694, which would offer financial stability for a growing colonial Empire.

While the cities hadn’t exploded in population, the increase was significant, including in London, which nearly doubled in size. Overall, the urban population of England doubled during this time-period, making occupational mobility more feasible to a growing number of people, breaking the medieval monopolies.

The percentage of people living in cities in 1629 was probably around 7%; by 1689 it had grown to perhaps as high as 15%. The total population went from roughly 4.5 million in 1629 to 5.3 million in 1689. This means a lot of that urban growth was coming from people moving into cities, not overall population increase.

  1. GOVERNANCE – In 1629, the government of England had the monarch at the head. During the early reign of Charles I, he ruled with no Parliament for 11 years. He was following the French Catholic model of governance, which emerged from the Catholic assumptions regarding the nature of stewarding belief and the nature of salvation.

That assumption was that the church is the steward of your belief, and salvation is a collective process that cannot afford to leave one sheep behind. It makes sense, then, that the divinely assigned King should also have the same authority over belief and collective salvation in the non-sacred as the church does in the sacred. As the defender of the church, it is the King that enforces church decrees.

The King is only answerable to the Pope.

Charles inherited a Kingship that had been gradually losing power to the Parliament. Henry VIII may have chosen the Protestant Church to escape the authority of the Pope, but that decision became the authentic spirit of the English people.

Perhaps it is their island occupation that made the English predisposed to a Faith that either entrusts or burdens (depending on your perspective) the individual with the responsibility of stewarding their own beliefs (with righteous church guidance). This ideology legitimizes island dependence that could not be achieved were England to have stayed in the Catholic fold.

From Rome, the Pope could push European politics into the English court, whether it wanted it or not.

The Constitutional monarchy William and Mary inherited had key limits on their power. They could not issue laws; they could only introduce them. They could not levy taxes without consent of the parliament. They could not maintain a standing army in peacetime without parliament consent.

The biggest change might have been that the Parliament was semi-permanent. No King could easily dismiss it.

There was religious freedom for all, but not the freedom to be King. No Catholics, no non-Anglicans could be the monarch, for the King’s primary justification for rule was two-fold, his royal blood (Stuart in 1629 and Stuart in 1689, through Mary) and his ability to protect the church, which made the nation a nation whose God is the Lord.

Up to present day, no 60-year period in English history has so transformed English government like this period did. The modern British state we see today is still, essentially, based on the model that began in 1689.

  1. NATIONAL STORY – By 1629, England had two strong national stories, one was its righteous status as a nation with a God-anointed King whose God is the Lord, and the other was its defense of liberty as a check against the power of the King. Liberty, at first, was for the most powerful, but the concept continually trickled down.

During this 60-year period, the concept of liberty reached the peasants once again, as they did in 1381 (only to be crushed by the divine right of King Richard II).

In 1629, the national story placed the individual as a servant who pledged his loyalty to the King. This made the national story a personal story connected to a real, living individual, the King.

In 1689, the individual’s national story was being both blessed by liberty and compelled to respect the liberty of your neighbor. Liberty as an ideal replaced the face of the individual. The national story shifted from the personal to the ideal, from the material to the metaphysical.

As culture moved from the ideal to the material, the national story moved from the material to the ideal, brought about by the shift from natural philosophy to empiricism.

This is where politics comes into being, with the dissolution of the self as the national story. While politics creates its own charismatic “heroes,” these heroes are either bounded by the ideal (such as liberty) or they break the ideal and return governance back to the personal, ending political debate altogether (see Hitler, Stalin, Mao for examples).

In 1629, England’s story was sovereignty that glorified God. It was rooted in the island. It did not look far beyond its own shores.

In 1689, England’s story was the protector of liberty and the defender against Catholic tyranny, worldwide. These two outward thinking narratives gave justification to the expansions ahead, especially because the main threat to England’s defense of liberty and Protestant freedom was its greatest trade and colonial rival, Catholic France.

England and France were about to test Protestant and Catholic being as it applied to building a naval-based world trade power that would eventually become a world colonial power.

Had England been on the continent, naval power might not have been as determining a factor as it would prove to be. France’s continued necessity for sustaining greater land power for defense of its borders compared to what had become a mostly settled, peaceful realm of England (soon to be Great Britain), also had a factor in determining the outcome of this contest.

Still, this writer suspects the ideology that allowed greater truth claim discourse than the other was better suited to manage the increasingly technologically dependent shifts in realities of power the near future would become. Stewards of their own belief, yet guided by the church, were still more free to explore material reality than those who were told what their beliefs were, according to the church.

Religion, for both England and France, was the center of the national story, both in 1629 and 1689. For England, that religion was Protestant, even when Catholics ruled. It hadn’t changed from 1629 to 1689.

It is not unreasonable to surmise the preservation of the Protestant story over the Catholic story during this transition best equipped England for the unique opportunities that began to unfold with the discovery of the New World, though a more thorough study would be required to make a surer justification of that claim.

  1. RELIGION – In 1629, the Church of England was still fighting to assure the unity of the State church for the English people. Not only did it have to fight the heart of the people, but it also had to fight its own Kings as well. Even when the Kings were removed, it found itself at odds with the Lord Protector, Oliver Cromwell.

The faiths of the Catholic and crypto-catholic Kings bore little reflection of the heart of the English people, but even in 1629 there were plenty of Protestant “dissenters.” In 1629, they were just as much of a threat to the state church as the Catholics were. In 1689, if the will of the people whose God is the Lord was going to be the justification for rulership, the Protestant dissenters had to be free.

The dream of the united church was officially dead.

What remained the same was that the English were overwhelmingly Christian and overwhelmingly Protestant. They would tolerate protestant liberty, but they still had a fundamental mistrust of Catholicism.

I suspect that mistrust was borne more from the differences in political assumptions the two ideologies led to than the differences in theological belief; one’s rulership was still top-down verified and one’s rulership was bottom-up verified.

Had neither been entangled in state power, the differences might have been tolerable, though only if one or the other dominated, leaving the lesser outside the real halls of power, but still able to freely live out their theology’s institutional potential.

Catholic and Protestant theologies build radically different justifications for rulership, with the key difference being justification through the approval of the people versus justification through God’s anointed leaders. This is why, in large part, America mistrusted Catholic politicians for so long.

These differences persist to this day, but not so distinctly, for Catholic dissenter groups have their own bottom-up verification process, and Protestant dissenter groups have their own top-down verification process. In other words, some Catholics have become more like traditional Protestants, and some Protestants have become more like traditional Catholics.

In England today, Catholics and Protestants are largely cultural believers with little understanding about their church doctrines, their sacred writings, or the history of their church. But wherever there are strongly convicted “traditional” Catholics and “traditional” Protestants, those frictions will become more obvious, especially where one or the other is not overwhelmingly dominant (but still tolerant).

In 1689, those differences were like oil and vinegar. It consolidated the English against the Catholics so much; they welcomed a Dutch invasion.

The invasion of England by a Dutch Prince became the heroic rescue of the Protestant Kingdom by the Protestant King and Queen. The bloodless revolution (which was not bloodless, though the bloodshed would happen immediately AFTER they were coronated) was a testimony to the righteousness of the action.

The invasion of England became a symbol of English defiance against Catholic tyranny. The submission of the King and Queen to the new constitution became a symbol of England’s defence of liberty itself (though not quite yet “liberty for all,” even though John Locke said it in 1689).

The story of liberty, though, was nested in the Protestant story, which is really in Luke 14, where Christ warns his followers (Luke 14:25-33), “Now great crowds accompanied him, and he turned and said to them, ‘If anyone comes to me and does not hate his own father and mother and wife and children and brothers and sisters, yes, and even his own life, he cannot be my disciple. Whoever does not bear his own cross and come after me cannot be my disciple.

‘For which of you, desiring to build a tower, does not first sit down and count the cost, whether he has enough to complete it? Otherwise, when he has laid a foundation and is not able to finish, all who see it begin to mock him, saying, ‘This man began to build and was not able to finish.’ Or what king, going out to encounter another king in war, will not sit down first and deliberate whether he is able with ten thousand to meet him who comes against him with twenty thousand?

‘And if not, while the other is yet a great way off, he sends a delegation and asks for terms of peace. So therefore, any one of you who does not renounce all that he has cannot be my disciple.’”

A man cannot count the cost if he is not free to do so.

FINAL ASSESSMENT

This report was created right around the time the United States of America commemorated the terrorist attacks on New York City, the Capital, and Pennsylvania, on September 11, 2001.

That event began a transition in this country that has yet to be concluded (as of the writing of this report). The act itself was the application of a theological principle that those who defy God are marked for death. In 1629, that principle was shared by the English, who weren’t too shy about executing those who openly defied God.

By 1689, the “right” to murder the infidel was no longer recognized. The Islamists who killed for Allah, however, weren’t killing heretics that had gone through a trial. They weren’t even targeting people in their jurisdiction. They were targeting random people not only for death, but as a warning to those in the future who might defy their God.

By the standards of 1629, this version of Islam would be more unaligned politically with the politics of the Anglican Protestants than Catholicism was, for not even Catholicism countenanced random attacks on strangers to bring the fear of their God on their offending neighbors.

What the Islamists have in common with the Christians of 1629 was the notion that politics and the sacred are one. Political discourse is theological, not philosophical. By 1689, a nation must still be a nation whose God is the Lord, but it must be so consensually, for God loves a cheerful giver.

This assumption of consensual rule is the fruit of Protestant, not Catholic, Christianity. It comes from the notion that a man must count the cost himself of his own belief, not trusting it to authority. Although that man should not steward his own beliefs without a church structure to guide him.

The Islamists that executed the 9/11 attack share in that Catholic belief, that counting the cost of belief is the sacred authority’s job, not the individual. This is where the similarity between the two ends, at least in 1629 (and even 1689).

The Islamist god is very different than the Catholic and Protestant God. The Islamist god calls for the non-believers to be killed, the enemy to be vanquished. The Christian God calls on His followers to love your enemy and not meet evil with evil.

Christians must defy Scripture to do these things (and they did). Islamists’ scriptures plainly command it.

The Islamist can send you to Hell, the Christian is warned not to take God’s vengeance for yourself, to let the chaff grow with the wheat until God’s appointed time, when HE will separate the chaff from the wheat, gathering the wheat into his barn and setting the chaff on fire.

There are many beliefs that prevent their followers from assuming the role of God’s executioner on earth. There are many non-deistic political theories that not only allow this, but they also compel their followers to be their Ideal’s executioner on earth.

Progressives, for instance, come from such a political school of thought. “Punch a Nazi” was how they announced their plan to use violence to change America to their image.

This, in large part, is why Islamists and Progressives ally together whenever they have a common enemy, especially Christians, especially Protestant Christians, especially Americans.

Progressives justify killing the infidel not for their beliefs alone, but because they are part of a class of generational sinners, and thus must bend the knee to their betters or die. For most (not all) Islamists, a repentant sinner can become a Muslim. Sin is individual, not social.

For the progressive, repentance offers certain generational sinners only perpetual payment for those generational sins. For the progressive, sin is social, not individual.

Americanism comes from the nation created in 1689, which itself comes from Protestant assumptions about the rights of individuals to rule over others. Sin is individual. Sin is forgivable. The sinner can be returned to good standing.

Historians often look at this period covered in this report as evidence for why we must remove religion from politics, for it produces such violence as we’ve seen here. But religion itself never produces wars. It is always the ambitions of men and women that produce wars. Religion is just a vehicle of power to galvanize your side into effective, focused cooperative action.

Secular religions have risen where Deistic religions fade. The Age of Enlightenment gave birth to most of them. One of these secular religions is progressivism, the belief that man can understand the good finitely and assure that good vanquishes a clearly definable evil, bringing an end to history, which is heaven on earth.

Progressivism without state power is one thing, progressivism with state power is a threat to self-stewardship, is a threat to the Protestant assumption regarding man’s right to rule over others. Progressives take far more authority over the lives of others than Protestantism does, even when Protestantism is entangled in the state.

Even by 1629 standards, Progressivism and Islam would assume far more authority over the English than even the Catholic state would.

In 1629, a man with a virus held the throne of England. That virus was a governance standard that was anathema to a Protestant mindset, which had sort of emerged in less than a century from the founding of the English Protestant Church.

  1. NOTE: The history of the island of Britian, from the Celts to the Romans, from the Angles to the Stuarts, along with its geopolitical reality as an island near a hostile and dangerous landmass, contributed to its natural predilection for a “Protestant” theology long before Protestantism had its name.

Try as he might, none of Charles I’s decrees touched the people. Rather, they caused the people to grow even more suspicious of Catholics because of his efforts. His two sons, Charles II and James II, would have even less luck attempting to assert a theology that would change England’s governance standards so radically.

The 60-year-period was not about the differences in theology between Catholics, Protestants, and even the assemblers versus the bishops, it was more about the governance differences these theologies produced.

Presbyterians tended to favor more direct Democratic governance, while Episcopalians tended to favor governance with more checks and balances. Catholics would favor more absolute authority.

Democracy for the Presbyterians, Republic for the Episcopalians, Absolute Authority for the Catholics, at least in 1689.

It is the very existence of the state that makes any colonizing ideology, regardless of its central ideal (be it a god or a principle), either compatible or incompatible with the governance standards of the prevailing culture.

The two Charles’ and James attempted to impose their colonizing ideology, Catholicism, on a people whose governance standards were formed by their whole being, with liberty as the ground and God as the heavens. Had there been no state, their beliefs would not be a threat to their Protestant neighbors. Their “virus” would rise or fall on its own “merits.”

That the state exists, the notion of a class of people having a monopoly on violence, is what makes every ideological system potentially dangerous. Without God, men will still go to war. Without the state?

Yet for we Christians we clearly see God has ordained the existence of the state and called us to be good stewards of the states we find ourselves in.

I believe that the godly men and women of this 60-year period were struggling to sustain statehood whose God is the Lord without becoming madmen who advance the Kingdom of God with earthly, rather than spiritual, power.

For Christians, this remains a challenge, how do we sustain the “righteous” state without making it our Kingdom maker?

Many of those struggling beside these Christians, however, were struggling for advantaged power. They knew God no more than the Muslims did. But they knew the shibboleths of “Christian” power and used that language to “justify” earthly power for themselves.

England had already established some checks on Royal power long before the Catholic Kings arrived. Had they not, perhaps the Catholic Kings could have succeeded in brutalizing their god onto the English people. But that habit of checking Royal power created in the English a sense of entitlement to do so.

Even when Cromwell’s Major Generals and mad parliaments attempted to impose their god on the English people, they failed to change the fundamental protestant culture of the English, who continued to chafe at the bit of a hard master, be he Catholic or Puritan.

I see in the factions unclean hands, men and women who perverted their own gods to serve expediency and satiate fear. Yet somehow, the now-British would find themselves with more liberties than ever, far more, I would surmise, than anyone in 1650 would have wanted.

This is because, I theorize, amongst the killers and the self-servers were true men and women of God wrestling with His will for their state, their nation, and their own personal lives. This is the story of the state throughout history, a battle between servants and masters, both using the same vehicle of power, but for radically different ends.

The plumbline for servant and master is imprecise, and thus no guaranteed filter can be applied that can keep the master out of the state.

For America, the heart of the people is not Christ, and Protestantism has become, in many denominations, more like Islam, Catholicism, and Progressivism. It is difficult to tell how many God-fearing Protestant Americans are left in this country. I fear that number is far less than even 50% today.

Protestantism’s vestigial hold on institutions long taken over by progressives is nearly gone. Large percentages of today’s youth may be completely outside even the cultural Protestantism that allowed non-Protestants to “inherit” these values, individual sinner, repentance that leads to full restoration, and individual self-stewardship of one’s beliefs.

America has been going through a top-down imposition by a colonizer virus, progressivism, and it brought Islamism with it. Without a “Protestant” spirit consensually in the hearts of the people now attempting to govern this land, we cannot hope to do what England did.

They withstood a 60-year assault by a colonizing virus that was anathema to their governing standards. They not only withstood it, but they also came out stronger than they were when they started.

We can only hope for such an outcome.

I do believe there are significant territories within these lands that hold a majority of people with this “Protestant” sprit, and that alone will prevent the Progressives from doing anything more than balkanizing this land. But I do not believe we are equipped to repel our colonizing virus, the one that has been infesting this land for more than 100 years. Yet with God, all things are possible.

Only prayer can save us now.

1689 England had created a new model to allow for cheerful givers that yet assured their nation was one whose God is the Lord. Whether they were right or wrong, the prevailing spirit that created this new state was genuinely wresting with God, not seeking to impose their customized god on others.

I believe even if the ones in power, William and Mary, were masters and not servants, the prevailing spirit of the land was such that even the masters dared not use state power to impose on the people that which they did not want. This is how America came into being as well.

The masters were satisfied to have their limited power, which was better than no power at all.

So, England began the 18th century with a new model for righteous state governance whose God is the Lord, and I believe that this was despite the masters who inevitably head the state, not because of them. The “Protestant” spirit had compelled the state to conform with their reality of power, despite the state’s wishes for more (always more).

Now, the engine being built through this “Protestant” spirit was about to colonize the world, and through that it would ultimately lose the spirit that gave it that power in the first place.

But that’s another story…

By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor

“For if Joshua had given them rest, God would not have spoken of another day later on. So then, there remains a Sabbath rest for the people of God, for whoever has entered God’s rest has also rested from his works as God did from his.

“Let us therefore strive to enter that rest, so that no one may fall by the same sort of disobedience. For the word of God is living and active, sharper than any two-edged sword, piercing to the division of soul and of spirit, of joints and of marrow, and discerning the thoughts and intentions of the heart. And no creature is hidden from his sight, but all are naked and exposed to the eyes of him to whom we must give account.” – Hebrews 4:8-13

Here is an update on our Hope Estates Project:

Last year, right before we were set to get our maintenance to protect our natural-gas powered steam heating system from freezing risks, we were hit with a deep freeze that lasted for days. To us, this was an act of God (in the figurative sense). While we could have avoided the disaster had we scheduled our maintenance earlier, there was little reason to believe we would experience the deep freeze that hit Canton in 2025.

Since that disaster, we have faced the reality that our project expense just doubled, minimally.

Now, we are having the whole steam heating system removed. We have had an estimate for a splitter solution, one that offers heating and cooling, but, in the end, we chose not to go with an option that requires many holes to be drilled into our stone walls. This might have been the cheapest solution, but cosmetically, it’s the worst.

For this winter, we are going to use a few industrial-strength heaters to keep our large spaces above freezing. We will be installing a new shower in one of our bathrooms and getting our roof repaired to the extent that it needs it. We have a slate roof that needs a good cleaning and some minor repair work.

My wife and I hope to be living there two weeks out of every month starting in the beginning of November. Once we can stay there, we can do more of the work that requires more elbow grease than cash. Next year, we will decide our final heating and cooling solutions.

Our Harrisburg project has seen a lot of improvement, with my brother Bill’s apartment mostly done save for some furniture that has yet to be removed. His apartment is on the third floor and the hallways and stairways are narrow, making this final move a challenge.

Once his apartment is ready, he can stay there more to help prepare the apartment my wife and I will be using. He can also begin to make more trips to D.C., where business opportunities abound.

The project has been challenging to all of us, especially because of health issues that first affected my wife, and now are affecting me (unrelated to hers). Even as I write this, I am battling an adrenal pots flair up.

Part of my health issues, though, are tied to this project, but really, are tied to my struggle to enter into God’s rest. Every morning when I wake up, since it became apparent how much we lost in the deep freeze disaster, I feel a lead weight on my chest, and the same basic thought, “how will we ever overcome this loss? How will our shared visions ever come into fruition?”

What began as a quest to build a Hope Exit Castle has turned into a quest to build Hope Exit Castles and “embassies” in four locations. Our second Hope Exit Castle Project in Harrisburg fell on us by necessity; we must provide for our mother, and help her fulfill a dream she’s always wanted, to see her property become a resource for her community.

Her dream aligns with our vision, so she has joined up with us. So far, we have myself, my brother Bill, my wife Jena, and our mother, Kymm, coming together for this project. All four of us share the vision, and all four of us hope to experience the joy and trials of serving our communities, one which we come from, and one which we are emigrating to.

Outside of us four, we have other people supporting us at various levels, some of which may join us more directly down the road. All told, there are roughly 12 of us invested in whole or in part in seeing this vision come into being.

I have such hope for all of us in our group to see the potential of our projects fulfilled, which will mean everyone will have platforms to fulfill their own unique callings to serve in the advancement of the Kingdom of God.

One of our members, Joe, hopes to use the sanctuary to run traditional Anglican services, which has been a dream of his for decades. My mother has dreams of creating gardens that supply food to the needy in both Harrisburg and Canton.

I have my own dreams, as does my wife, my brother, and the rest of us.

None of us have received direct knowledge from God about how our project will end up. God seems to have chosen to commit us to the work without the confidence we are “destined” to succeed. My wife and I, at present, have the most to lose if this project fails, and, to some degree, we feel the most responsible to make the project succeed (not that we should, only that we do).

The Apostle Paul had a similar worry. Like me, Paul was taking God’s responsibility, God’s will and purpose, and making it his.

In 2nd Corinthians 11, the Apostle Paul is excoriating the Corinthians for allowing false doctrines into the church and being seduced by “super apostles” who claim to have done greater works and performed greater miracles than Paul.

When listing the trials he has endured in the name of Christ, he ends it by confessing to a sin, the sin of anxiety, fear over things you cannot control. He says,

“And, apart from other things, there is the daily pressure on me of my anxiety for all the churches.” – 2 Corinthians 11:28

This confession of sin is a counter to his claims of endurance. He makes this clear by following the previous verse with this one: “Who is weak, and I am not weak? Who is made to fall, and I am not indignant?”

Paul is a sinner, like us, a repentant one not walking in the habit, or practice of sin, but not wholly free from the heart of stone. As such, like us, he is weak, incapable of enduring the hardships he’s endured, and he is not courageous enough to face authority in the name of Christ, like he did.

The message is that the fruit of a servant of Christ is not in boasting of our good deeds, our miracles, but in demonstrated humility that comes through resting in the Lord, and not in your own works, “for whoever has entered into God’s rest has also rested from his works as God did from His.” (from Hebrews 11:10)

What we have endured, the four of us, in different ways, for the past two years, has been a severe trial. Yet our trials pale in comparison to Paul’s, and certainly to Christ’s. They probably pale in comparison with what some of you have endured these last two years as well.

Yet even in the middle of this disaster, we have received unexpected blessings that will enable us to initially invest more in this project than we previously thought. We’ve also received other blessings along the way that have softened the blow of this unexpected setback.

Above all else, though I have struggled with anxiety, my daily meditating on scripture has given me a foundation of truth and a certainty in the end of my earthly story, which ends in the presence of God eternally.

That Hope Exit is the only one God has assured for me, so far. The other Hope Exits we are working on will be testimonies either to our weakness overcoming great adversity through the Holy Spirit or a painless learning experience for others. Those who follow after us might then succeed in bringing a vision such as this to fruition, in part through our failures.

Our vision, plainly stated, is to create a living example of a missional extended family living in mixed space, private and public, to serve the community they are in. There are many ways to accomplish this vision, and for those reading now who have a similar vision, we hope you are working to bring yours to fruition as well.

I have learned through the years there is one thing you can control in life, the commitment to keep trying. Whether my end comes before or during the return of Christ, I hope to be found working towards building the Kingdom of God on that last day, come what may.

Surrendering outcome is not surrendering excellence in pursuit of outcome, it is entering into God’s rest, which is the whole story of creation.

In Daniel 4, I believe the vision given to Nebuchadnezzar is also for us. His second dream, along with Daniel’s interpretation, reveals, I believe, the whole story of creation. In that vision, he said “The sentence is by the decree of the watchers, the decision by the word of the holy ones, to the end that the living may know that the Most High rules the kingdom of men and gives it to whom he will and sets over it the lowliest of men.” (Daniel 4:17)

To “know good and evil” for yourself is to rule yourself, and the whole of creation is working out the cost of ruling themselves, of refusing to enter God’s rest and allowing HIS will AND desire to overcome your own desires, even your own will.

It is in this spirit we continue our work, certain that it will end in our glory, through God’s glory, for all eternity. Beyond that, we will strive to be good stewards of our vision without making the vision an idol. This means entering into God’s rest so we can rest in our work.

For those of you who pray, I ask you to pray for us, especially me, that we may be good stewards working diligently to complete our vision while also entering God’s rest while we do it, come what may.

Let us rest while we work excellently to advance the Kingdom, through spiritual battles we currently face, and the ones still waiting for us to fight.

The First Waves of Amphibious Assault Will Be Unmanned– warontherocks.com
News Source
EXCERPT:

In the Pacific War, the U.S. Navy’s underwater demolition teams prepared the way for U.S. and allied amphibious landings on enemy-held islands. Through beach reconnaissance, obstacle breaching, mine clearance, and other missions, these teams paved paths for the first waves of amphibious assaults conducted by naval task forces and subsequent landings by marines and soldiers throughout the island hopping campaign.  

These critical first steps of an amphibious operation were incredibly risky in World War II. And the underwater demolition teams, which were the predecessors of the Navy SEALs, were understandably proud of their work. The Marine Corps prided itself on being first to hit the beach. And when marines did hit the beach, they often arrived to find signs left by the underwater demolitions team saying, “Welcome Marines.” 

Precision strike weapons make such operations more perilous than ever. There may never be an American servicemember preparing or landing with the first wave of an opposed amphibious assault again. And it may be robots welcoming marines and soldiers to the beach in these future fights.  

Originally published April 17, 2026 for our weekly Issue of Mindful Intelligence Advisor.  Subscribe to get weekly issues.

Bellwether Deep Dive – Friday, April 17, 2026

By Paul Gordon Collier, Editor, and STAFF

“By 2100, our destiny is to become like the gods we once worshipped and feared. But our tools will not be magic wands and potions but the science of computers, nanotechnology, artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and most of all, the quantum theory.” – Michio Kaku

“I think we should be very careful about artificial intelligence. If I had to guess at what our biggest existential threat is, it’s probably that. So we need to be very careful…With artificial intelligence we’re summoning the demon.” – Elon Musk

  1. NOTE: While we originally intended on analyzing the Trump Executive Order on AI, in the course of our research we shifted to look at AI development overall. The Executive Order is sure to receive legal challenges, and what emerges after the legal dust settles is difficult to predict.

Furthermore, even a Republican successor to Trump is bound to tweak Trump’s XO to meet their own unique circumstances. Yet, America is forming an AI geopolitical strategy that is likely to continue past Trump, regardless of which party is in power.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

What follows is an analysis of the current state of the emerging AI state (or states). The transformation from an internet-based world to an AI-based one is accelerating every day. Events of the last two weeks alone have highlighted that dramatic shift.

We will begin with an analysis of the bellwether AI states of the 21st century, for strategies have already formed and significant patterns can already be seen. We will then look at AI news headlines from the last two weeks that show how AI is profoundly touching nearly every aspect of our lives.

Finally, we will end this Deep Dive with an assessment of the state of the AI state. Also included are further resources to expand your own investigation of the state of the AI state.

  1. BACKGROUND

This is an analysis of the bellwether nations that are developing geopolitical artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. These nations are intended to represent the common/shared AI strategies of most of the nations in 2026.

While we don’t currently have an Africa representative, we are monitoring AI development in Africa. At present, Africa’s AI strategies are more complex and uncertain than in other regions. You can expect to read more about this in upcoming issues of MIA.

Africa’s current drawbacks are also its future opportunities, namely, its need to build from scratch what we are simply calling “AI machines” (which describes the full panoply of physical infrastructure required by a “sovereign” AI resource).

Africa as a potential resource for data centers that work effectively as remote brains for AI machines, there are more immediate opportunities, as well as risks.

While the United States in particular must race ahead with the current parameters to build their AI machines, Africa will have time to learn, potentially giving them an opportunity to build machines more efficient and less resource demanding than the AI superpowers end up building (which might be the most optimistic take possible).

When analyzing AI policies for nations, it is important to remember shifts can occur when power changes hands, especially where the divisions are more polarizing (such as the United States). Nevertheless, even for the United States, we currently assume the geopolitical reality of the country will not significantly change regardless of which faction is in power. The internal reality of the country will change dramatically, however.

Because of this underlying assumption, we believe the overall strategy of each country will remain relatively consistent from regime to regime for the foreseeable future (3-5 years) barring unforeseen breakthroughs that radically alter the AI dynamic.

Even with that dynamic shift, we would still consider 1.5 years a reliable timeframe for the current geopolitical strategies to remain stable.

Much of the data that supports this section of the Deep Dive comes from three reports which are linked at the end of the report under the FURTHER RESOURCES section.

  1. U.S. – The key advantage the United States has is its massive resources, including land, water, capital, and people. In all those departments the U.S. leads every nation, including China, from significantly to substantially.

A red flag on this advantage comes from a recent talent pool drop. China also has a growing renewable energy resource bringing it closer to parity with the U.S., but still overall significantly behind in resources, especially for AI machine-building.

America’s strategy is to build big, fast, and become the secure source for the hardware other nations need. If AI continues to be expensive at what we are calling the machine-level, America is at a distinct advantage over the rest of the world as far as building AI machines, but constitutional hurdles may slow that development down more than might be currently expected.

AI is currently less popular than politicians, including Democrats, Donald Trump, and congress. The demand for data centers is becoming the emerging touchstone for resistance to what we believe is the inevitable, the rise of a new AI-defined human reality.

  1. CHINA – While the U.S. hopes to become the hardware backbone of its national customers, China hopes to become the software backbone of its national customers. China is relying on less resource-demanding AI machine models. While they are behind America in terms of AI machines, they are catching up fast.

There is plenty of room to grow for China. The talent pool is there. One key advantage China has over the U.S., currently, is access not only to rare earth minerals, but to rare earth mineral processing. This is where the U.S. still lags significantly behind. This disadvantage does not impede America’s current projected AI infrastructure development.

China’s centralized authority governance model enables it to move faster than the United States in converting land to AI machines. It can rapidly incorporate AI tools into the lives of its citizens in ways which would be considered a violation of our constitutional rights in America. This also puts it at risk of quickly going down a developmental path that could prove to be self-imploding.

  1. EU – Germany and France define the conflicting interests within the EU, with Germany seeing less AI regulation as an opportunity for its nation, while France sees itself as holding power through AI legislation, or “governance” (which goes beyond essential AI “governance”).

Germany is a world leader in AI machine production, with plenty of opportunity for growth. France, on the other hand, must rely on a smaller-scale AI machine program given its current reality. This is why France is positioning itself as a leader on AI governance through its “Third Way.” It fits its national interest, while such power does not fit Germany’s.

  1. JAPAN – An aging population has created both an immediate need and a potential long-term AI strategy for Japan. That strategy is largely to be a world leader of AI tool building (our phrase), that is, of creating the hardware and the software guidance, that converts AI “thought” to physical interaction. It is a world leader in robotics and all the software back-ends needed to make robots work well with AI.

Its favorable status with the U.S. gives it access to AI hardware which its main geopolitical competitor, China, does not have. This gives it a development advantage over China, at present, but we do not expect that to continue past our 3–5-year timeframe (with the aforementioned caveat still included).

In between Japan and China, the United States and China, is Taiwan, a computer chip manufacturing superpower. Its usefulness to the U.S. and Japan as a technological leader in chip manufacturing presents a challenge, being useful without giving up essential secrets that could make its usefulness redundant.

Its lack of geopolitical sovereignty leaves it off this list as a bellwether nation. It warrants a mention here as it is currently Japan’s closest geopolitical, as well as AI, ally. The two have formed a “Silicon Alliance” that sees the nations developing joint AI software partnerships. Japan is also relying on Taiwan’s chip manufacturing expertise to build its own domestic version.

  1. INDIA – As an “independent,” a nation which does not commit to the China or the U.S. axis (an increasingly growing number of nations), India must rely on a strategy that makes it invaluable to potential customer nations.

It has significant drawbacks to building its own AI machines, but it has the human resources to do so should other resources become available. Its strategy is to become a world leader in digital public infrastructure and AI governance guidelines.

It also has an opportunity to serve a “niche” audience of billions who speak Indic languages, which makes it uniquely positioned to develop a whole host of AI services within that uniquely structured language. China has a similar opportunity it has already exploited.

  1. RUSSIA – Of all the bellwether nations on this list, Russia could have the least opportunity to thrive in an AI-infused geopolitical reality. Like Japan, Russia’s immediate need is also creating a long-term strategy for existence in an AI-infused human reality.

Russia’s current war in Ukraine has made converting AI to battle tools (hardware and software) its number one priority. It has built its own AI parameters with its own sovereign “stack” called the Ru-AI stack to protect it from external influences.

Its lack of access to western technology limits its development, as does its recent talent departure at the start of the war, an exodus that only appears to continue. Its aging population could invite a Japanese approach to account for the coming drop in manpower, but the war has demanded most of the resources.

Much of the technology developed during the war could theoretically be converted to civilian use, but even that will take time for conversion.

Russia will have an incentive to be a useful ally to China, for China might one day need to build Russia’s national AI infrastructure.

Israel has a similar strategy to Russia’s (converting AI to military tools), though its alliance with the U.S. gives it great developmental advantage, as does its human resources.

  1. SAUDI ARABIA – The advantage Saudi Arabia has is capital and the land to build massive amounts of data centers. Mind you, these are not fully functioning AI machines, but rather these are the remote “brains” of such machines (which we will begin calling remote brains).

THIS is why data centers are becoming a growing political friction point worldwide. They need a lot more remote brains than they do AI machines.

In Saudi Arabia, no such friction exists. The Saudis hope to have an investment stake in international corporate AI, as well as becoming a top hub for remote brains for AI machines from AI superpowers (which they still hope are both China and the U.S.).

  1. ARGENTINA – Though Argentina’s economy is lot more stable than previously, Milei’s Argentina is still dealing with economic instability that makes converting AI into financial management tools a needs-based focus for the nation.

The recent dramatic restructuring of the government under Milei has also led to the nation developing AI for government processing.

Its immediate needs, however, are not its greatest long-term potential, though both developments have long-term opportunities. Their greatest potential lies in a region in the country known as Patagonia. Here, Argentina is filled with opportunity for the creation of powerful AI machines. It also has the human resources for such an expansion.

Their current alignment with the U.S. gives them a potential for a technological boost that could see the country quickly become an AI regional power with some superpower capacity.

  1. CURRENT SITUATION

What follows are current headlines from the AI world in the last 16 days alone.

The headlines reveal the rapid changes that are happening to AI as a developing tool. They also show how commercially ready AI tools are already radically changing the way we must organize to meet this new reality.

  1. NOTE: These headlines are archived news blurbs and links aggregated and collated on our site, mindfulintelligence.news. You can find the blurbs and links to all the stories used in this part of the Deep Dive there as well. The dates on these archived stories begin April 2, 2026, and end April 16, 2026.
  2. PLANNING & DESIGN – Humans are becoming managers of AI, while the development of AI is being increasingly done by AI itself. As rumors of AI’s pending peak persist, evidence suggests that might be premature. Yet, mathematically, AI’s limitations are allegedly assured, especially in the hopes that AI will ever truly be “human.”

1.1. NEVER HUMAN – Agentic coding requires effective spec-driven development. From scienceblog.com – “The Halting Problem and Gödel’s incompleteness theorems suggest that perfect AI alignment with human values is mathematically impossible.”

1.2. SPEC FOR AGENCY – From venturebeat.com – “Spec-driven development starts with a deceptively simple idea: before an AI agent writes a single line of code, it works from a structured, context-rich specification that defines what the system is supposed to do, what its properties are, and what ‘correct’ actually means.”

1.3 BRAIN BASE WARS – Google upgrades its robot brain base, calling it Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6. This is a departure from DeepMind. From marketpost.com –  “Gemini Robotics-ER… is the embodied reasoning model: it specializes in understanding physical spaces, planning, and making logical decisions, but does not directly control robotic limbs. Instead, it provides high-level insights to help the VLA model decide what to do next. Think of it as the difference between a strategist and an executor — Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6 is the strategist.”

  1. RESOURCES – When it comes to AI resource demands, right now the most pressing demands are coming from what we are calling their remote brains, the data centers. These are not fully functioning AI machines, rather they are the databases, the remote brains, of the AI machines.

National infrastructures will require far more data centers than AI machines, including America’s, where the issue of data center expansion is becoming an increasingly political one.

From The Blaze: “The public is being asked to shoulder a burden to facilitate a supposed technology whose benefits are very unclear and dubious… Republicans are continuing their uninterrupted streak of woefully underperforming in elections.

However, in the first of its kind referendum on Big Tech data centers, voters are showing that a party that embraces land sovereignty over Big Tech dystopian land grabs will win the day. Sadly, Republicans have chosen to be on the losing side of the issue.”

They are referring to a referendum in Port Washington, Wisconsin, to require any data center additions be approved by a general election. The Republicans were against the referendum. The referendum passed by a 2-1 margin. A city in Missouri is planning to outright ban data centers.

The issue isn’t just about energy demand, it’s about land occupation. Data centers require acres of land. Across the world, the need for numerous data centers will cause friction with the locals wherever they proliferate.

  1. CULTURE – AI planners are recognizing the need to create culturally calibrated machines. Anthropic’s invitation to Christians is a strong bellwether of this reality. The recent assassination attempts on an AI CEO highlight the growing friction between the increasing use of AI alongside the mounting mistrust and hatred of it.

3.1. CHRISTIAN AI? – Anthropic signals a need for diverse cultural inputs for AI; they invite Christian leaders to a summit to talk about it. From christianpost.com – “At the summit, held last month, staff sought advice on how Claude should respond to complex ethical queries, including how to handle users who are grieving or at risk of self-harm, and what attitude the chatbot should adopt toward its own potential demise, such as being shut off.”

3.2. AI ASSASSIN – A man who believes he can kill AI by killing its corporate leaders has been captured after attempting to kill the OpenAI CEO twice. He told the world, “…if I am going to advocate for others to kill and commit crimes, then I must lead by example and show that I am fully sincere in my message.” Now the question is, what will AI CEOs do in response to this growing threat? Altman himself was described as having a “sociopathic lack of concern” for the attempted assassinations.

3.3. USE IT, BUT HATE IT – While everyone uses AI, no one likes it. AI companies’ efforts to woo the public have failed, as no one trusts AI, no one wants AI machines and remote brains in their backyards, but no one wants to stop using them.

From The Algorithm Bridge: “People hate AI so much that they are prone to attribute to it everything that’s going wrong in their lives, regardless of the truth. That’s why they mix real arguments, like data theft, with fake ones… AI has become the perfect scapegoat. It doesn’t help that the entire AI industry has decided that throwing rocks at its own roof is its best selling point: If AI is so powerful and so dangerous and soon to be so ubiquitous, then what is so unexpected about people blaming everything on it?

Nothing that Altman could say justifies violence against him. This is an undeniable truth. But unfortunately, violence might still ensue. I hope not, but I guess we are seeing what appears to be the first cases.”

  1. MARKET – Google is emerging as an AI leader. AI creation means AI advertising. The whole justification for economics might soon be undone by AI.

These three bellwethers show how AI is already changing market structures and, at least theoretically, dismantling economic theories.

4.1. GOOGLE CHIP STASH – Has Google already won the American AI wars? From 24wallet.com – “Peter Diamandis argues Google (GOOGL) holds more AI chips than entire countries and will dominate the AI infrastructure race because it saw the opportunity a decade ago when Larry Page invested in proprietary Tensor Processing Units before competitors.”

4.2. AI AD MARKET EMERGING – If you do a search using AI, you understand how radically different their results are from “traditional” search results. There’s no comparison.

Now, the trick will be in figuring out how to work ads into AI-produced results and content. From observer.com – “Over the past year, the rapid adoption of generative A.I. and the corresponding decline in traditional search traffic for many publishers have intensified questions about how the next phase of the internet will be funded.”

4.3. WRECKING ECONOMIC THEORIES – One of AI’s unintended consequences is in exposing the unsoundness of economic theories. A book from Tyler Cowen attempts to show just how AI is already doing this. From The Federalist – “Rather than mounting a frontal assault on large questions about the future of economics, Cowen begins at the margin, with the history of a single idea, the doctrine that value is determined not by the total utility of a good but by the utility of an additional unit of it.

Many readers arrive at this book knowing that definition. Cowen’s first service is to show how much that belief has concealed. Marginalism is not one thing but several: There is intuitive marginalism, tautological marginalism, engineering marginalism, and social marginalism. The further one presses into the concept, the more it ramifies. Even the ideas we think we understand resist the grip that holds them.”

  1. AI TOOLS – From math, to war, to healthcare, this month alone has seen revolutionary changes in all three major institutions. The factor behind all the changes is the introduction of AI tools into these institutions. For better or worse, AI is already ubiquitous in the world, and these latest AI tool developments are the bellwethers of that reality.

5.1 AI MATHING – Our leading mathematics institutions will have to undergo a shift from working out formulas that advance mathematical standards to being mathematical experts capable of effectively managing the new formula workers, AI tools.

Daniel Litt of the University of Toronto declared what AI tools will do to mathematics departments. He told Quantum Magazine – “it will look and feel altogether different from the way mathematics was traditionally done.”

Mathematician Terence Tao at the University of California, Los Angeles, said, “Where before mathematicians studied one problem at a time… with these tools you can solve thousands of problems at once and start doing statistical studies… Though nobody I spoke with thinks AI will replace mathematicians… there are a lot of institutional changes, cultural changes, we will have to make.”

5.2. AI WARRING – More than taking over traditional positions in the battlefield, the physical expression of AI at war, drones and robots, is about to go beyond human understanding and design. First, AI is increasingly at least heavily influencing life and death decisions on 21st century battlefields, now it is about to start designing the next generation of its battlefield physical manifestation.

From WION – “The wars of the future may be about algorithm versus algorithm rather than human versus human. Deterrence may depend on machines reacting faster than humans can think. AI warfare is more widespread, less predictable, and constantly evolving. AI warfare could be more unstable than the nuclear standoff, even if it follows a similar logic of deterrence.”

A recent Chinese military exercise using AI saw AI decisions 43% faster than seasoned leaders, while maintaining over a 90% accuracy in identifying relevant information.

5.3. AI HEALING – AI is changing the whole way the healthcare industry is structured, with some of it being promising while key challenges still remain.

Decentralized AI, so far, is proving more useful than centralized AI. From Devdiscourse – “The study, titled ‘The Decentralized AI Ecosystem in Healthcare: A Systematic Review of Technologies, Governance, and Implementation,’ provides insights into the way decentralized AI technologies such as federated learning, blockchain, and decentralized autonomous organizations are reshaping clinical and operational healthcare environments.

The findings show that while decentralized AI holds significant promise in addressing systemic inefficiencies and regulatory challenges, its large-scale implementation remains constrained by technical complexity, governance gaps, and limited real-world validation.”

6.4. AI SCIENCING – AI is now capable of autonomously writing scientific papers. ResearchEVO is behind the project that successfully created this scientific-paper-writing tool. From Quantum Zeitgeist – “Zhe Zhao and colleagues at City University present ResearchEVO, a new end-to-end framework that mimics the iterative process of scientific discovery, beginning with experimentation and followed by theoretical explanation. The system uniquely combines algorithm evolution, driven by performance, with automated research paper generation, ensuring factual accuracy and avoiding fabricated citations.”

ASSESSMENT

The most powerful nations of the world are locked into a strategy that will keep them in that trajectory for 3-5 years, barring unforeseen breakthroughs that radically alter the AI dynamic.

The nations that have the best advantage are the ones whose long-term AI advantage potential development is meeting their short-term needs (like Japan).

The nations who can build the superpower AI machines and the infrastructure that goes with it, the remote brains, the data centers, will do so.

Those who can’t build superpower AI machines (and the supporting infrastructure) will work on being support specialists, hoping to become an essential element of the AI industry at some key part of the AI delivery process.

This process is well under way. In some ways, the pre-AI alliances are forming AI alliances (like Russia and China); in other ways, AI realities are forming new alliances (like Argentina and America). In the case of Germany and France, it might drive recent alliances apart.

While the nations formulate national strategies, AI tools are already impacting the world, even as AI development continues to challenge infrastructures before they’ve been created.

It is too soon to assess how AI will impact the institutions its already changing, but sooner rather than later major answers are sure to surface. We will be here, God willing, to update our assessment as the circumstances change (and they will).

As AI impacts human lives, there seems to be polar responses, one which enthusiastically embraces it (even pays monthly for it), and the other is violently untrusting.

Humans in peak expression, through various factors, have already manifested how such worship and hate integrates with the human platform.

While geopolitical strategies are settling into more predictable patterns in comparison to what we’ve seen for the past 6 months, institutions have only just begun to confront the impact of AI tools on their very habits of being.

We will be monitoring these developments closely.

AI is here, and it will touch every part of your life. Whatever you do, if it involves repetition or thinking, AI will be replacing you or aiding you.

As we have said in our earlier AI report for our Futureq series, becoming adept at using AI as a tool to augment whatever you do to make a living, or whatever you hope to do to make a living, is not only advantageous, but it’s also essential. Your competition is already using these tools, and the best ones are the most adept at getting the tools to effectively do what they want them to do.

Even we here at MIA rely on AI for much of our research (not all, for much of it comes through our archived news blurbs and news links on mindfulintelligence.news).

I use AI as a proofing tool and a drafting consultant (not an editorial consultant, nor as a “writer”). I treat AI like it is intended as a blessing, though it contains within it something less than a blessing as well.

Thanks to AI, we can put a lot more work into our reports without taking more time to do so. If you’re using AI to perform at your pre-AI level, you’re using AI wrong. Your competition is using it not to shorten their workload, but to add substantively to it without adding more labor or time to do so.

If you think you can kill it or ignore it, you are simply wrong. AI is here to stay. It is our new reality. This is not a statement of value, but merely a statement of fact. Welcome to the next major stage in human development, the AI age.

You can follow the latest AI news at our website, mindfulintelligence.news – AI Watch news tag.

FURTHER RESOURCES:

2025 Government AI-Readiness Report – Oxford Insights

2026 Artificial Intelligence Index Report – Stanford

Eight ways AI will shape geopolitics in 2026 – Atlantic Council Experts

The Marginal Revolution: Rise and Decline, and the Pending AI Revolution – Tyler Cowen

 

News Source
EXCERPT:

For decades, socialists have held up Sweden as a model for the kind of government they want to build in the United States. But according to Blaze Media co-founder Glenn Beck, that argument falls apart the moment you look at what actually happened in Sweden.

“During the postwar decades, Sweden dramatically expanded government spending, the taxes, the regulation. By the 1970s and into the 1980s, economic growth slowed way down. Investments weakened; entrepreneurs left,” Glenn says.

“Some of Sweden’s most successful companies and business leaders moved. They just moved out of the country. IKEA relocated ownership to the Netherlands. Tetra Pak moved to Switzerland. Sweden’s relative standing among wealthy nations fell sharply for two decades,” he explains.

Instead of doubling down, Sweden then reversed course.

“Governments from both the left and the right reduced regulations. They reformed the pensions. These are things we’re not doing. They introduced private competition into education. … Today, more than 800 independent schools operate with public funding. Private companies run a substantial share of the Swedish primary health centers,” he says.

“Taxes were restructured. Markets were liberalized. The reforms were not a rejection of the welfare state. They were an acknowledgment that somebody first has to create the wealth to pay for it,” he continues.

News Source
EXCERPT:
arXiv:2607.05382v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Visual generators excel at rendering, but they confidently fabricate what they do not know. User requests are unbounded, evolving, and deeply long-tailed: new characters, trending entities, post-cutoff events, and more. This world-knowledge bottleneck is structural: generators are trained on fixed corpora, but the visual world is open-ended. We construct SearchGen-20K and SearchGen-Bench, with 20,839 prompts spanning twelve failure categories and twenty-two domains, paired with a pre-executed multimodal SearchGen-Corpus-1M to support offline, reproducible research. On SearchGen-Bench, frontier open generators score only 21 to 28 out of 100, a 40-point collapse invisible to existing benchmarks.

News Source
EXCERPT:

Beyond Earth, there are abundant resources on the Moon and, more significantly, on asteroids. The asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter alone is estimated to contain between 700,000 and 1,700,000 asteroids with diameters of at least 0.6 miles. In addition, there are over 30,000 known near-Earth asteroids (NEAs), and about 2,000 to 3,000 more are discovered each year.

A common objection to asteroid mining is that it would cost too much to transport raw materials from an asteroid to Earth, rendering mining economically unviable. The fact that transporting materials is expensive is partly true, but the argument still misses the point. Experts such as John S. Lewis, who raised the issue as early as 1997 in his book Mining the Sky, argued above all that the raw materials extracted from asteroids should primarily be used in space.

News Source
EXCERPT:

The year before the Soviet Union developed nuclear weapons, U.S. State Department official Alger Hiss, who was intimately involved in the founding of the United Nations and served as a top advisor to Truman’s Secretary of State Dean Acheson, was accused of being a Soviet agent by former communist Whittaker Chambers, among others. The statute of limitations for bringing espionage charges against Hiss had already expired, but the spy was convicted of perjury relating to his espionage work. Shockingly, Hiss was defended by a number of high-profile government officials, including future Democratic presidential candidate Adlai Stevenson and former Democratic presidential candidate John W. Davis, in addition to Truman and Acheson. Following the Hiss conviction, Acheson is reported to have stated, “I do not intend to turn my back on Alger Hiss.” McCarthy delivered his speech two weeks later.

News Source
EXCERPT:

Monday on CNN’s “OutFront,” Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) claimed President Donald Trump’s actions in Iran were the “height of incompetence.”

Host Erin Burnett said, “I got to start with this new reporting coming out of Axios, that U.S. intelligence has raised serious doubts about Iran’s willingness to make the nuclear concessions. And that Director Ratcliffe of the CIA, that Secretary of State Marco Rubio and that Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth have all expressed concerns about the agreement. What’s your reaction to that?”

Kelly said, “I’m not surprised to hear that. I haven’t verified that. I haven’t seen the intelligence you’re talking about. But, you know, as I listen to, you know, how you describe this, agreement, this one and a half page MoU that is going to be signed and then 60 days of negotiation. I mean, the word that comes to mind to me is incompetence.”

News Source
EXCERPT:

President Donald Trump’s explanation for the latest escalation “doesn’t make sense,” Larry Johnson has told RT

The US and Israel carried out their latest strikes on Iran and Lebanon in a deliberate effort to sabotage the ongoing peace talks, former CIA analyst Larry Johnson has told RT.

On Wednesday local time, the US struck Qeshm Island and targets in southern Iran in response to the crash of a US AH-64 Apache attack helicopter off the coast of Oman – an incident US President Donald Trump blamed on Iran. Tehran, however, has refused to confirm that it was responsible for the crash.

News Source
EXCERPT:

As A.I. systems become more agentic and take on more autonomy in daily life, they will increasingly interact with one another rather than with humans, according to Amanda Askell, Anthropic’s resident philosopher. “Human input is going to be rarer and rarer. That’s the thing that we need to prepare models for,” Askell said at the Bloomberg Tech Summit in San Francisco last week. Askell’s non-technical role reflects a growing trend among leading A.I. labs to incorporate humanities expertise. But she also sees a future in which A.I. may be able to do her job better than she can. “What [A.I. models] are good at is these deeply human skills,” she said. “Eventually, Claude is going to be a much better philosopher than I am, and probably be much better at every aspect of my job than I am.”

News Source
EXCERPT:

On April 15, technology podcaster Dwarkesh Patel published a two-hour interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. For roughly forty minutes, Patel asked one question six different ways. The question was this: If American-made compute trains AI models with the serious cyber-offensive capabilities Anthropic’s Mythos Preview demonstrated — and that compute is sold to a strategic adversary — what responsibility does the seller bear?

Huang’s answers hovered a safe distance away from the question. AI is a “five-layer cake,” he told Patel, and ceding any layer to China would be industrial suicide. The Chinese, he argued, already have enough compute to do whatever they intend to do, so marginal sales do not change the strategic balance. By the end, Patel was visibly worn down. Huang accused him of arguing from extremes and of thinking in absolutes.

News Source
EXCERPT:

Anti-data center activists typically cite concerns about water usage, pollution, or the cost of building the data centers themselves.

Many individuals are sincere in their activism. But public opinion on data centers is likely being shaped by foreign actors, according to a report from the Bitcoin Policy Institute. (RELATED: CHRIS JOHNSON: AI Data Centers Can Win Over Skeptics. But It Must Learn From Fracking) 

BPI’s head of research Sam Lyman explained Wednesday that China uses social media as a “gain of function for their propaganda” on The Hill’s “Rising.”

News Source
EXCERPT:

A federal grand jury in Montgomery, Alabama, recently handed down an 11-count indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center for wire fraud and conspiracy to commit money laundering. According to the Department of Justice, the SPLC secretly moved more than $3 million in donor money between 2014 and 2023 to individuals affiliated with the Ku Klux Klan and other violent extremist groups. To hide the trail, prosecutors say, the payments were routed through fictitious entities such as “Fox Photography.”

According to the indictment, a 55-year-old organization that built a brand on hunting hate has actually been bankrolling it. The temptation for conservative Christians will be to read that as simple vindication, and to a degree, it is. But that reading is too small. The SPLC did not collapse into alleged fraud because it found some exotic evil; it collapsed because it surrendered to an ordinary one. Fear is easier to sell than hope, and an enemy keeps the donations coming. This indictment is as much a mirror as a verdict, and the Church should be the first to look into it.

News Source
EXCERPT:

Chinese President Xi Jinping may not need to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan to put the island, the U.S. and the global tech economy in crisis, according to national security experts.

Some advisers to President Donald Trump reportedly fear Xi could move against Taiwan within the next five years following Trump’s recent summit with the Chinese leader, Axios reported. One Trump adviser told the outlet the summit signaled a “much higher likelihood” that Taiwan could be “on the table” during that window, warning that the highly vulnerable U.S. semiconductor supply chain would not be ready for such a crisis.

National security experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation that this is simply not the reality on the ground.

News Source
EXCERPT:

The wind picks up dust from the unpaved road one afternoon in December as Jack van Honk turns into a ramshackle neighborhood in Lambert’s Bay, on the west coast of South Africa. A stocky woman in a red patterned sundress steps out of a small home painted palest sea green, her ochre-dirt yard crowded with potted plants, many medicinal. She smiles broadly, deep wrinkles creasing a face that is cherubic and yet careworn beyond her 47 years. “Doctor! I missed you,” she beams, her husky voice barely more than a hoarse whisper.

Maria carries a rare genetic mutation that is almost unknown outside of southern Africa. Its effects have been to calcify a part of the brain called the basolateral amygdala, and to thicken and scar the vocal cords. A friend of Maria with the same condition lives several hours inland, and sometimes they meet when van Honk brings them to Cape Town for brain scans and other tests. “It helps to know I’m not alone,” Maria says.

News Source
EXCERPT:

China has launched a national programme that will assign every humanoid robot manufactured in the country a unique digital identity code, effectively a citizen ID, but for bipedal machines (those that can balance and walk/run on two legs).

The initiative, called the Humanoid Full Lifecycle Management Service Platform, was announced on Friday. It is led by the Humanoid Robotics and Embodied Intelligence Standardization committee, which is under China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (via South China Morning Post).

News Source
EXCERPT:

Dante’s famous 14th century epic poem, “Inferno,” which is the first part of the Italian writer’s “Divine Comedy,” represents the first time a giant impact of a massive object falling from the heavens was envisaged, according to an expert in the specialized field of geomythology.

In the poem, the massive object in question is the Devil himself, Lucifer, who fell onto the Earth after being expelled from heaven. Yet, according to Timothy Burberry of Marshall University in West Virginia , this fall and subsequent impact is described by Dante in very similar terms to an asteroid impact.

Burberry is a professor of English and an expert in geomythology, a field which involves searching old folk tales, myths and stories for evidence of real geological events. Written between 1308 and 1321, Dante’s “Inferno” depicts the main character — Dante himself — being guided through Hell by the spirit of the ancient Roman poet Virgil.

In what is considered one of the greatest works in the history of European literature, Dante and Virgil travel to the Underworld, where they are taken across the River Styx to Hell by the ferryman Charon — in fact, two of Pluto‘s moons, Charon and Styx, are named after these details.

News Source
EXCERPT:

Charged with federal crimes for allegedly making false statements to banks and making wire transfers in the names of companies that didn’t exist, the Southern Poverty Law Center hired Hunter Biden’s lawyer (among many others) and signaled an Orange Man Bad defense: Mean Donald Trump is having us prosecuted as a partisan attack, because we’re politically left and he’s politically right.

Previewing the strategy with an opening salvo on April 28, the SPLC’s small army of lawyers filed a 27-page brief (and do remember that page count) demanding that the courts protect their client against the DOJ’s cruel public lies on scary Fox News. The SPLC posted the whole brief on its website, and you can read it here. It claims that Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has falsely claimed that the SPLC never told law enforcement about things learned from its informant program, when they actually did. Screenshot of the opening statement, after a long table of contents and table of authorities that took up five whole pages: