02c U.S. Politics – Election

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According to the survey, 58 percent of Americans believe the court is not politically neutral.

The majority of Americans do not view the Supreme Court as a politically neutral institution, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll.

According to the survey, only 20 percent of respondents said they believe the court is politically neutral. A majority, 58 percent, said it is not, while the remainder either did not know or declined to answer. Among Democrats, 74 percent said the court is not politically neutral, while 54 percent of Republicans said the same.

The poll, conducted last week among 1,136 adults, comes as the Supreme Court has made a number of controversial rulings in recent memory. Over the past few years, the court has handed down decisions that have generated sharp reactions across the political spectrum, including the overturning of Roe v. Wade, expanding Second Amendment protections, rejecting the use of race in college admissions, and blocking some Trump administration efforts on immigration enforcement.

Public favorability toward the Supreme Court has also declined. The poll found that 44 percent of respondents currently view the court favorably. Among Republicans, that number stands at 67 percent, compared to just 26 percent of Democrats. In late 2021, 57 percent of Americans held a favorable view of the court, but that figure dropped to 43 percent by June 2022, shortly after the court struck down Roe v. Wade.

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A 57-year-old man is in custody and charged with both murder and attempted murder after he allegedly shot two Minnesota lawmakers and their spouses, prompting a statewide manhunt over the weekend.

The story is still developing and has yielded plenty of unanswered questions about Vance Boelter’s background, living situation, and apparent re-appointment to a workforce development board by Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. The consensus so far, however, is that his motives for allegedly assassinating at least one Democrat legislator and her husband, as well as targeting another Democrat and his wife were no doubt radical and most likely political.

Corporate media and Democrats alike were quick to amplify the narrative that Boelter voted for Trump. In a sick twist, some of them even appeared to relish that the suspect, according to his alleged pizza delivery roommate, would “be offended if people called him a Democrat.”

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Even Democrats in Nevada’s state legislature–a key battleground state–now favor voter ID, but with a catch.

The catch was the bill also expands ballot drop boxes, typically favored by Democrats, which Republicans view with skepticism.

The bill passed the Senate Monday with a 16-5 vote, and now heads to Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo, who has expressed support in the past for voter ID, the Las Vegas Review-Journal reported.

Lombardo vetoed a bill earlier in the session that expanded ballot drop boxes. Assembly Speaker Steve Yager, a Democrat, sponsored Assembly Bill 499 as a compromise.

Nevada is one of 14 states that do not require photo ID for in-person voting. Since 2021, multiple states passed election reforms expanded some form of ID requirement to mail-in voting.

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Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 22 points in the state’s Republican Senate primary, according to a new poll released on Tuesday.

The survey, which was conducted by pollster Robert Blizzard on behalf of the Educational Freedom Institute and first obtained by Punchbowl News, showed Paxton leading Cornyn 50 percent to 28 percent among Republican primary voters.

Paxton expanded his lead among voters described as “very conservative GOP primary voters,” leading Cornyn 60 percent to 22 percent. Among voters described as “high propensity 3/3 GOP primary voters,” Paxton leads Cornyn by 30 points. The poll also showed Paxton leading Cornyn by 35 points among “MAGA voters” and by 12 points among senior voters.

The poll is the latest in a string of data points showing the incumbent senator trailing the conservative primary challenger. Last week, a poll from the Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University showed Paxton leading in a hypothetical two-way contest with 43 percent to Cornyn’s 34 percent, and 23 percent unsure.

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A new poll is showing that support for same-sex marriage has dropped to a 10-year low among Republicans but spiked to a record high among Democrats.

According to Gallup, 68% of Americans overall support same-sex marriage, barely down from 69% last year. However, that “steady” level of support—approval for same-sex marriage has hovered between 67% and 71% over the past five years and has not fallen below 50% since 2011—belies a stark and rapidly growing political division.

Gallup reports that support for same-sex marriage among Republicans has fallen to 41%, down from an all-time high of 55% in 2021 and 2022 and the lowest point since May of 2016, when support stood at 40%.

Among Democrats, however, support for same-sex marriage has peaked at 88%, the highest point recorded by Gallup among any faction. That’s up from 83% last year. Support for same-sex marriage has not fallen below 70% among Democrats since 2013, when it stood at 69%.

Independent voters generally track more closely with Democrats on the issue but are still lagging 12 points behind at 76%, up from 74% last year but down from an all-time high of 77% in 2023. Support for same-sex marriage has not fallen below 50% among independents since 2010, when it stood at 49%.

Despite statistics on support for same-sex marriage, fewer Americans of all political stripes consider same-sex relationships morally acceptable. According to Gallup, only 38% of Republicans consider same-sex relationships morally acceptable, compared to 69% of independent voters and 86% among Democrats.

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One of the most fascinating aspects of the 2024 election was seeing how heavily men of all races swung to Trump and Republicans. It’s such a serious issue for Democrats that they’re planning to spend upwards of $20 million to ‘study’ men and find out where they went wrong.

Poll analyst Nate Silver apparently got into this topic in a recent post on his Substack. It’s behind a paywall, but here are a few interesting points. The divide is due in part to mental health issues. The right is winning that battle.

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Here’s a prime example from something that Matt wrote yesterday:

Democrats aren’t even pretending anymore. If they retake the House, they’re coming for Trump—again. On Sunday, Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) openly admitted she would “absolutely” launch an impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump if given the gavel on the House Oversight Committee. No pretense, no evidence—just raw political vengeance. From Elon Musk’s role in cutting government waste to Trump’s legal fights with Harvard and high-powered law firms, Crockett is already laying the groundwork to turn routine policy and legal disputes into impeachable offenses. Her comments make one thing unmistakably clear: Democrats are gearing up to use the power of Congress not for oversight, but for retaliation.

 

I’m still not convinced that this “We still super-duper hate Trump!” approach is a winner for bringing the Democrats back to any semblance of political relevance. Sure, it gets the coastal and Illinois Democrats frothing even more than usual, but it can’t have much — if any — play at all with the traditional voters that they have been losing.

As far as long-term planning goes, the 24/7 Trump Derangement Syndrome shtick is really going to leave their tank empty come January of 2029. They’ll try to brand JD Vance, Ron DeSantis, or whomever emerges as the GOP frontrunner as the next Satan, but it’s not going have that same zing for their base that “ORANGE MAN BAD!” does.

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new poll released Wednesday shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton with a commanding lead over incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn in either a two-person race or a three-person race in next year’s Republican primary. But Paxton’s lead in the poll shrinks dramatically against potential Democratic rivals in the 2026 general election.

The poll from Texan Southern University’s Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center shows Paxton leading Cornyn by 9 percentage points in a two-person race and by 7 points if U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt of Houston enters the primary.

“Right now, if it’s a head-to-head race between Paxton and Cornyn, Paxton is a very strong favorite, and it’s tough to see how, absent, say, a Trump endorsement of Cornyn, Cornyn could effectively flip the table on Paxton,” said Mark Jones, political science fellow at Rice University’s Baker Institute and co-author of the survey with TSU’s Michael O. Adams.

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Democrats desperately want to control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections. However, their plan to wield power will likely doom their political future, but could give Republicans a golden opportunity.

An expert political strategist has issued a stark warning to the Democrats about their midterm prospects. If their plan succeeds, it would mean short-term gain but long-term pain for the embattled party.

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Schumer said:

Let me just say, based on what the House has passed, our chances of taking back the Senate have just increased because while Republicans claim that their tax scam will lift America across the board. The American people see it’s just plain false.

The polling data shows it. The 0.1% people will get a big tax break. The poorest 20% of Americans actually see their taxes go up. How is that fair? It’s not just taxes, it’s poor. And working class families see the costs of everyday items skyrocket.

Just what they did on the clean energy side will lose millions of jobs and cost people much more on their electricity bills. Families are gonna have to figure out how to find extra money to pay for these energy costs. Families will lose healthcare. Families will lose food benefits. Families will lose jobs, families will lose money.

The reason because the Republicans want a billionaire tax giveaway. And we’re gonna fight this tooth and nail. We know that a lot of Republicans on the Senate side are squirmy about the Medicaid cuts, the disparity in the taxes, the clean energy cuts, et cetera. And we urge everyone who’s listening to this call or who read something in the press or online to make sure that they call their Republican senators and say, don’t vote for this billionaire tax scam.