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Tariffs may raise much less than White House projects, economists say– www.cnbc.com
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President Donald Trump says that tariffs will make the U.S. “rich.” But those riches will likely be far less than the White House expects, economists said.

The ultimate sum could have big ramifications for the U.S. economy, the nation’s debt and legislative negotiations over a tax-cut package, economists said.

White House trade adviser Peter Navarro on Sunday estimated tariffs would raise about $600 billion a year and $6 trillion over a decade. Auto tariffs would add another $100 billion a year, he said on “Fox News Sunday.”

Navarro made the projection as the U.S. plans to announce more tariffs against U.S. trading partners on Wednesday.

Economists expect the Trump administration’s tariff policy would generate a much lower amount of revenue than Navarro claims. Some project the total revenue would be less than half.

Roughly $600 billion to $700 billion a year “is not even in the realm of possibility,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s. “If you get to $100 billion to $200 billion, you’ll be pretty lucky.”

Trump set to unleash ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs– www.channelnewsasia.com
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“COULDN’T CARE LESS”

Major economies including the European Union and Canada have vowed retaliation.

“We are going to be very deliberate in terms of the measures we take, to fight for Canada,” Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Tuesday.

The European Union, which Trump has accused of trying to “screw” the United States, said Tuesday it still hoped to negotiate a solution – but that “all instruments are on the table” to retaliate.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer spoke with Trump on “productive negotiations” towards a trade deal between the US and the United Kingdom. Vietnam said on Tuesday that it would slash duties on a range of goods to appease Trump.

China ties U.S. talks to tariff removal as stalemate deepens– fortune.com
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China’s top diplomat called on the U.S. to remove tariffs it imposed on Chinese goods for Beijing’s alleged role in America’s fentanyl crisis before holding any talks on the matter, deepening a stalemate weighing on trade ties between the world’s two largest economies.

“If the U.S. side really wants to solve the fentanyl problem, then it should cancel the unjustified tariff increase and engage in equal consultation with the Chinese side,” Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi said in an interview with Russian state-run news service RIA Novosti on Tuesday.

Wang’s demand came over a week after U.S. President Donald Trump’s ally Steve Daines met with top Chinese officials and asked Beijing to stop the flow of the drug’s ingredients into the US as a condition for talks. The opposing requests dim the prospect of high-level talks to ease tensions a day before the US president is set to announce his so-called reciprocal tariffs on global trade partners.

Israel Says It Will Lift All Tariffs on U.S. Goods – PJ Media– pjmedia.com
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Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich announced and signed a plan to eliminate any remaining tariffs targeting U.S. imports. The move came in advance of Donald Trump’s announcement on Wednesday that a new schedule of duties would be imposed on foreign products.

Israel and the U.S. have had a free trade agreement since 1985 that excludes about 98% of American products from Israeli tariffs. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears to be trying to get out in front of any possible announcement on tariffs on Israel from the White House.

“Today we canceled all of the customs duties levied on products from the U.S., Israel’s largest trading partner,” Netanyahu said in a post on X. “Canceling the customs duties on American goods is an additional step in the policy that my government has led for a decade in opening up the market to competition.”

The lifting of tariffs on U.S. goods still needs approval of the Knesset, where it’s expected to pass.

New York Times:

Total U.S. trade with Israel amounted to an estimated $37 billion in 2024, and the U.S. bilateral deficit stood at $7.4 billion, an 8.6 percent increase over the previous year, according to U.S. trade data. Israeli import taxes on U.S. goods amount to $11.3 million annually, with most levied on food, according to Israel’s finance ministry.

Israel isn’t the only nation trying to forestall Trump’s action on tariffs directed against it. Previously, Mexico sent cartel leaders across the border to stand trial in the U.S. It also sent troops to the border to break up fentanyl rings. Other responses weren’t very friendly.

 

Canada, the European Union, and China imposed retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods even before Trump’s official announcement. Unless Trump withdraws or modifies his threats of high tariffs, prices of many consumer goods will rise.

Smotrich is calculating that Trump will reciprocate and lower trade barriers to Israeli goods.

Smotrich’s initiative will still have to be approved by the Israeli Knesset, where agricultural interests enjoy significant influence. There will be a rearguard action in the effort to defend the protectionist schemes from which Israeli farmers benefit. But while the Smotrich plan is not a done deal, Israel’s vital security interests depend so heavily on American support that Israeli domestic interests may have to take a back seat to its near-term foreign policy objectives.

If Trump’s true objective is to compel America’s trading partners to drop their tariffs, to which he would respond by lowering America’s trade barriers, Israel’s maneuver should compel the administration to make some concessions. The American trade balance with Israel isn’t enormous, but it’s not nothing, either. The U.S. imports Israeli commodities like stone, metals, and glass, but it also takes in finished Israeli products like industrial machinery, chemicals, plastics, and rubber.

 

The tariffs are a calculated gamble by Trump, hoping to jump-start U.S. exports in a less restrictive, more competitive international trade atmosphere. If it works, it will revolutionize the American economy. If it doesn’t, we may be paying a lot more for everything we buy from overseas.

 

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President Trump GOES OFF as Four Senate Republicans Reportedly Plan to Defy Him and Vote for Democrat Measure to Sabotage His Canadian Tariff Policy | The Gateway Pundit– www.thegatewaypundit.com
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President Trump is livid after learning that four Senate Republicans are reportedly prepared to vote to sabotage his tariff policy on Canada.

As Fox News reported, leftist Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) has sponsored a resolution joint resolution that would terminate the national emergency Trump declared regarding illicit drugs and Canada. Trump has argued tariffs are necessary not just to curb the drug flow but also to rebalance an unfair trading relationship between the two countries.

The Senate is scheduled to vote on Kaine’s resolution this afternoon. While passage would not mean the tariffs evaporate, considering the House is unlikely to ever vote on the measure, voting against Canadian tariffs would hand the Democrats a powerful talking point and humiliate Trump in the process.

To add insult to injury, the vote is taking place on what Trump has declared “Liberation Day,” where he is set to unleash new reciprocal tariffs to bring back American jobs.

House passes bill to increase transparency on China funding U.S. universities– www.thecollegefix.com
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That money comes with ‘hidden agendas,’ Rep. Baumgartner says

Higher education institutions would be required to report as little as $1 in funding from China under legislation that passed the U.S. House on Thursday.

The Defending Education Transparency and Ending Rogue Regimes Engaging in Nefarious Transactions Act would close loopholes that U.S. Rep. John Moolenaar says the Chinese Communist Party is using to “infiltrate and influence our academic institutions.”

“The passage of the DETERRENT Act is a powerful response to China’s aggressive attempts to use financial leverage to undermine our universities and national security,” the Michigan Republican (pictured) stated in a news release.

“This legislation enhances transparency, closes dangerous loopholes, and holds institutions accountable for their dealings with foreign adversaries like the CCP,” Moolenaar stated. He chairs the House Select Committee on China.

The legislation, which now heads to the U.S. Senate, would lower universities’ “foreign gift reporting threshold from $250,000 … to $0 for countries of concern like China,” the news release states. For other countries, the threshold would be $50,000.

Karoline Leavitt Brings The Receipts, Exposes Allies’ Sky-High Tariffs On U.S. Goods– trendingpoliticsnews.com
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On the eve of President Donald Trump’s much-anticipated “Liberation Day,” the date when he is expected to launch a flurry of new tariffs intended to level the trade U.S. deficit with foreign nations, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt pushed back aggressively on media claims that they will only lead to consumer pain and higher prices.

Waving the receipts, Leavitt spoke in depth about some of the most egregious examples of U.S. goods being taxed at a higher rate by other countries. She cited a 700% markup on rice being imported to Japan and a 300% tariff in Canada on American butter and cheese.

“This makes it virtually impossible for American products to be imported into these markets, and it has put a lot of Americans out of business and out of work over the past several decades,” she declared.

One Washington Post headline on Tuesday — “Trump aides draft tariff plans as some experts warn of economic damage” — summed up the narrative that outlets are spinning ahead of President Trump’s economic upheaval. Most goods being imported into the U.S. will face a 20% tariff, according to details about the plans shared by sources.

The outlet writes that the tariffs, if enacted, “would almost immediately” cause Trump’s economy to “tumble into a recession that would last for more than a year,” citing an economist at Moody’s who called the outcome a worst-case scenario.

White House considering roughly 20% tariff on most imports, report says– www.cnbc.com
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US President Donald Trump, alongside Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent (L) and Secretary of Commerce nominee Howard Lutnick (R), signs an executive order to create a US sovereign wealth fund, in the Oval Office of the White House on February 3, 2025, in Washington, DC.

Jim Watson | Afp | Getty Images

White House aides have drafted a proposal that would levy tariffs of roughly 20% on most imports, The Washington Post reported Tuesday.

The report cited three people familiar with the matter. It also said White House advisors cautioned that several options are still on the table, meaning the 20% tariffs may not come to pass. Another plan being considered is the country-by-country “reciprocal” approach, according to the Post.

The report comes a day before April 2, when President Donald Trump is set to announce his larger plans for global trade. The date has loomed over Wall Street, where stocks have been struggling in part due to uncertainty around rapidly changing global trade policy.