If you missed last night, a few blue state politicians won some elections in a few blue states and now the big blue sky is falling. The 2026 midterms are a fait accompli! President Donald Trump is a lame duck!
I pity my friends who live in the commonwealth across the river who have enjoyed the past four years with Republican Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin sitting in Richmond, but this is not so.
The conservative chattering class will lament loudly and profusely about Tuesday’s results, not only because it is good for business, but because it’s their elections. Virginia, New Jersey, New York City—these are the places they call home, and they expect too much of the citizens of Sodom and Gomorrah. Which I only feel comfortable saying because I’m from California, a modern-day Capernaum.
Certainly, the temptation to get swept up in the punishment about to be exacted on these places is strong. In New York City, Democrat Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani’s policies will destroy what’s left of the city’s independent working class. In Virginia, Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger is poised to set the schoolmarms loose on parents who don’t want their girls changing in locker rooms with boys. In New Jersey, Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill, if her absentee voting record in Congress is any indication, will do little to relieve citizens of the Garden State from the green policies pushing up energy prices.
Weep, if you must, but it’s best not to turn back.
As I previously wrote for The Daily Signal:
On Tuesday night, the temptation for professional and casual election observers alike will be to assume that if more candidates win with D’s next to their names than R’s, Democrats are in the driver’s seat for the midterms, and vice versa….
The truth is that the party identification of Tuesday night’s winners are oftentimes bad predictors of how the chips will fall in the midterms.